TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Agreed, a couple rainy days during the weekday and a sunny weekend is what I prefer this time of the year. Probably won't work out that way... there was no EPS support. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Or it could be a flip to just normal. Or a flip to a little wetter overall but still drier than normal. Or a flip to wetter in some areas but still dry for others. There seems to be kind of a myth perpetuated here that the region moves through several week cycles of much wetter than normal to much drier than normal then back again, and it is of course all centered around how much rain western Washington gets compared to average. Although it would make things really simple to predict, weather doesn't actually work that way. I was more talking about western WA and how we’ve flipped from dry to wet to dry this cold season. I understand that it doesn’t necessarily alternate between anomalous wet and dry here on a regular basis...it just has here in western WA this year which makes me think we will have some decent soaking times coming later this month and the next one. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Foothills got a nice dusting of snow this morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Hey Jesse, check out those ensembles. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Hey Jesse, check out those ensembles. I see you have already seen them, Andrew. Warm members EVAPORATING. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 March is currently at 4 out of 22 days with significant rainfall (0.04” or higher) at PDX. Today is currently at 0.03” so a stray shower making it to PDX should do the job. Coast range seems pretty hungry though. Probably will actually end up with even fewer rainy days than last March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 There we go. A nice wet and cool 0.20" so far today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 12z Euro swung back to way drier than the 00Z run. Following the models can be pretty annoying when they are like this. Part of me already knows the writing is on the wall for this upcoming wet period not being very impressive down here when all is said and done, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Luckily the 12z EPS has much lower heights over us than the operational from hour 168 onward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 12Z EPS 10-15 day mean: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 47*.13 precipitation 1.48 mtd That’s all I got! All the time in the world and I still don’t want to fold the laundry! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Just had a couple bands of moderate to heavy rain move through here with some gusty winds and hail mixed in. Temp dropped from 51 to 45 pretty quickly. Fun spring stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 47*.13 precipitation 1.48 mtd That’s all I got! All the time in the world and I still don’t want to fold the laundry! You're good dude. Just post here all day like the rest of us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Lots of cold showers moving onshore now. Cascades could do well for snow tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Been getting some heavy rain/hail showers on and off today...looks like some decent cells have developed NE of the Olympics and some moving in from the SW from the coast into the south sound. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Temp has been all over the place this afternoon too during heavy showers was 50 at 1pm currently 41 and moderate rain. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 According to my wife's most recent Facebook post it is snowing at our house right now. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 According to my wife's most recent Facebook post it is snowing at our house right now. The ensembles predicted this if you would only just have looked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Well , https://westseattleblog.com/2020/03/just-announced-west-seattle-bridge-closing-because-of-deterioration/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Well s**t, https://westseattleblog.com/2020/03/just-announced-west-seattle-bridge-closing-because-of-deterioration/Could help with social distancing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Could help with social distancing. Well s**t, https://westseattleblog.com/2020/03/just-announced-west-seattle-bridge-closing-because-of-deterioration/Ouch! That’s gonna hurt ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Light hail and rain shower moved through dumping .09 in the gauge and drooping temp to 43* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 18z GFS focuses the jet into WA most of the time, rather than OR. CA almost completely dry after 84 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 18z GFS focuses the jet into WA most of the time, rather than OR. CA almost completely dry after 84 hours. Feels like this is the most likely outcome. Then as we head into our annual late April start to summer with months of torrid weather ahead we will be hearing about how we were due for it and it's just the natural progression of things since it was wet for a few weeks again in the North Cascade foothills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Love when the sun breaks happen during these types of days. Make the storm clouds look more dramatic! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Feels like this is the most likely outcome. Then as we head into our annual late April start to summer with months of torrid weather ahead we will be hearing about how we were due for it since it was wet for a few weeks again in the North Cascade foothills.No matter how much you complain about it... it usually works. Not sure why... but it does. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 VIRAL THUNDER!!! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Been a dry last 30 days from WA to northern CA. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 44616A6D-B660-478D-B46E-066166F1C2FB.png Been a dry last 30 days from WA to northern CA.Pattern flipped Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Pattern flippedWA is drier and SoCal is wetter. Oregon, NorCal, and eastern WA have been dry since early February. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 WA is drier and SoCal is wetter. Oregon, NorCal, and eastern WA have been dry since early February. Yep... and Oregon seems to frequently miss out both ways. Nature is cruel... which is painfully obvious lately. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 18z ensembles starting to converge on the idea of a ridgy pattern in the long range. After cutting back rainfall amounts down here more and more in the believable range. Seen this movie before. F*ck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Just had a rumble of thunder to the south (over Lake Whatcom). Sky is looking dark but it looks like it is going to slide to the east of me. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Just had a rumble of thunder to the south (over Lake Whatcom). Sky is looking dark but it looks like it is going to slide to the east of me. Nice. Everyone try to keep the weather reports coming. If we let the coronavirus thread surpass the March 2020 weather discussion thread by the end of the month then the virus WINS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Just had a quick quarter inch of graupel here. Even the road turned white. Currently 43 degrees. That should set me up for a pretty chilly night. No doubt this airmass is cold! This setup in January would have delivered an Arctic outbreak in all likelihood. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 FWIW..pretty big shift in the EPS today. Stronger Greenland block, deeper western trough in the medium/long range. Could be a theme with the vortex breaking up (IO forcing doesn’t hurt either). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 FWIW..pretty big shift in the EPS today. Stronger Greenland block, deeper western trough in the medium/long range. Could be a theme with the vortex breaking up (IO forcing doesn’t hurt either). Plz God. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Picked up 0.27” so far today and 1.36” for March. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Plz God. Its just timing... here is where it ends up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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