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Mason City hit 44º this morning.  Wow!  That's not easy to do in mid July.

So weird, it was right around 70 here this morning.  Looks like the official low was 68.  

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Sunset here  

Holy smokes, what a night of driving...we are currently just passed Springfield, IL and on our final leg of the trip. I managed to drive all the way just before Tulsa, OK, then took a 2 hr break whil

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Note: Some current rainfall numbers. Keep in mind, all data below is preliminary and has not undergone final quality
control by the National Climatic Data Center.

 

 

 

Regional Max/Min Temp and Precipitation Table
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
 

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
ASUS63 KDTX 161514
RTPDTX
MORNING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1114 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020

Values represent yesterday`s highs/lows over the last 12 hours
and precipitation over the last 24 hours ending at 8 AM EDT.


.BR DTX 0716 ES DH00/TX/DH07/TAIRZP/TA/PP


:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:........................................................
: STATION MAX / MIN / 8 AM / 24-HR
: NAME TEMP/ TEMP / TEMP / PRECIP
:.......................................................
WHKM4: NWS White Lake : 84 / 66 / 67 / 0.26
ADG : Adrian Airport : 89 / 69 / 69 / 0.58
123M4: Ann Arbor : 88 / 69 / 69 / 0.44
BAX :*Bad Axe Airport : 85 / 67 / 67 /
CFS :*Caro Airport-Tuscola: 88 / 68 / 68 /
DET : Detroit City Airport: 88 / 73 / 73 / 0.32
DTW : Detroit Metro Airprt: 87 / 71 / 71 / 0.36
FNT : Flint Bishop Airport: 86 / 68 / 69 / 0.21
ONZ :*Grosse Ile Airport : 86 / 72 / 72 /
OZW :*Howell Airport : 85 / 67 / 68 / M
DUH :*Lambertville Airport: 89 / 70 / 70 /
D95 :*Lapeer Dupont Airprt: M / 69 / 70 / 0.32
IKW :*Midland Airport : 87 / 68 / 69 / 0.21
TTF :*Monroe Airport : 86 / 70 / 70 / 0.13
RNP :*Owosso Airport : 86 / 67 / 69 /
PTK : Pontiac Airport : 87 / 70 / 70 / 0.16
P58 : Port Hope : 88 / 69 / 70 / 0.12
PHN :*Port Huron Airport : 86 / 70 / 70 /
MBS : Saginaw - Tri-Cities: 88 / 70 / 70 / 0.26
HYX :*Saginaw-Harry Browne: 86 / 68 / 68 /
VLL :*Oakland/Troy Airport: 89 / 69 / 69 /
.END


*The temperature data for these sites above represent the highest and
lowest temperatures that were reported on the METAR observations
that transmit three times an hour and may not represent the actual
high or low for that site. These sites do not measure precipitation.
.....................................................................


The following Cooperative Observer sites report from midnight to
midnight EST.


.BR DTX 0716 ES DH07/TAIRZX/TAIRZN/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ


:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:.........................................................
: STATION MAX / MIN / MIDNITE/24-HR
: NAME TEMP/ TEMP / TEMP /PRECIP
:........................................................
.....................................................................


Cooperative observation values are for approximately 24 hours from
the previous OB time to the current Ob time. Previous observation
times may not always be exactly the same. The 24 hour low may be
from the previous morning. Use the temperature at observation time
to help determine if the 24 hour low occurred this morning or the
previous morning.


.BR DTX 0716 ES DH07/TAIRZX/TAIRZN/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ




:.............................................................
: STATION OB /MAX / MIN /OB / APPROX
: NAME TIME /TEMP/ TEMP /TEMP/24 HR PRECIP
:.............................................................
: ***BAY COUNTY***
AUBM4: Auburn :0630/ 91 / 68 / 69 / 0.30


***MIDLAND COUNTY***


: ***HURON COUNTY***
BDAM4: Bad Axe :0740/ 87 / 67 / 67 / 0.12
FLNM4: Filion 5NNW :0630/ 88 / 69 / 69 / 0.10
POAM4: Port Austin :0750/ 87 / 66 / 67 / 0.14


: ***SAGINAW COUNTY***
CHSM4: Chesaning :0700/ / / / 0.40
FKMM4: Frankenmuth 1SE :0925/ 87 / 67 / 68 / 0.50
MBSM4: Saginaw 8NW :0730/ / / / 0.30
SAGM4: Saginaw :0800/ 89 / 69 / 69 / 0.22


: ***TUSCOLA COUNTY***
CARM4: Caro :0745/ 87 / 68 / 68 / 0.32
CSSM4: Cass City :0630/ 86 / 66 / 67 / 0.08
VSSM4: Vassar :0700/ 88 / 57 / 68 / 0.36


: ***SANILAC COUNTY***
LEXM4: Lexington :0630/ 87 / 61 / 69 / 0.06


: ***SHIAWASSEE COUNTY***
DRNM4: Durand :0800/ 90 / 67 / 70 / 0.36
OWSM4: Owosso :0700/ 89 / 67 / 67 / 0.59


: ***GENESEE COUNTY***
GODM4: Goodrich :0730/ 86 / 68 / 68 / 0.22


: ***LAPEER COUNTY***
LPEM4: Lapeer 2W :0900/ 88 / 68 / 69 / 0.38
LPRM4: Lapeer :0730/ 88 / 69 / 69 / 0.44


: ***ST. CLAIR COUNTY***
AGCM4: Algonac :0800/ 91 / 65 / 71 / M
YALM4: Yale :0645/ 87 / 61 / 65 / 0.05


: ***LIVINGSTON COUNTY***
WHLM4:Whitmore LK 1N :0700/ 86 / 65 / 69 / 0.42


: ***OAKLAND COUNTY***
FARM4: Farmington :0730/ 88 / 64 / 69 / 0.33


: ***MACOMB COUNTY***


: ***WASHTENAW COUNTY***
AASM4: Ann-Arbor SE :0730/ 90 / 64 / 70 / 0.60
CHLM4: Chelsea :0930/ 88 / 61 / 70 / 0.59
MCHM4: Manchester :0652/ 88 / 62 / 69 / 0.58
SLNM4: Saline 4SW :0800/ 90 / 60 / 69 / 0.46
SALM4: Saline :0900/ 85 / 69 / 69 / 0.99


: ***WAYNE COUNTY***
DBNM4: Dearborn #2 :0949/ 90 / 71 / 71 / 0.63
GPFM4: Grosse Pte Farms :0800/ 91 / 72 / 73 / 0.12


: ***LENAWEE COUNTY***
MRIM4: Morenci :0730/ 91 / 61 / 70 / 0.53
TECM4: Tecumseh :0645/ 90 / 60 / 71 / 0.38
TIPM4: Tipton 2WNW :0715/ 90 / 61 / 66 / 0.75


: ***MONROE COUNTY***
DNDM4: Dundee :0645/ 89 / 65 / 71 / 0.20
MLIM4: Milan :1015/ 88 / 60 / 70 / 1.15
.END

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70 dew at noon. Only going to get worse the next 2 days. NWS Hastings talking about heat advisory that may need to be issued for Friday or for sure Saturday with heat indexes of 105 in Central Nebraska to 110 in Eastern Nebraska. Was just working in the yard and my hat is completed soaked and my t-shirt looks like I went swimming. These are days that I dream about Fall and Winter.

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Mason City hit 44º this morning. Wow! That's not easy to do in mid July.

Yeah northern Iowa had near record lows this morning! Clouds and some fog kept us mild.

 

I've also noticed some of the models keep shifting next week's heavy rain further south. Northern Mo. got a deluge just the other night so I hope it stays in Iowa.

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Here’s how two MCSs merged the other night and why eastern Iowa didnt see much. It was backing up.

https://twitter.com/uwcimss/status/1283376995385180160?s=21

If I remember correctly, this same sort of atmospheric set up happened across KC earlier this year.  It's interesting that it happened nearly in the same spot again!  LRC in play???

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00z EPS/Euro runs lookin' good for many of you across the central ag belt through Wed...locally, the Euro is showing a strong line of storms driving south bound from Wisco into N IL early in the morning on Sunday.  I love these type of set ups.  Hope it happens.

 

 

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The pattern that keeps on...giving???  I like what I'm seeing for those of us around the GL's and parts of the MW looking out ahead in the LR and to close out this month.  What was supposed to be the hottest weekend here in the Chi, is now looking looking like a one day event with a Heat Advisory issued for Saturday.  I'm not going to complain bc personally speaking, I've seen enough heat already for the year!  Glad to see the models are cooling temps overall and increasing the chances of storms over the next several days.  Win-Win in my book!

 

After looking at the Euro Weeklies run from yesterday, it may be starting a trend of loading up a cold pool in western Canada in early August and seeping it south into the north/central Sub sometime during Week 2-3 of August.  The CFSv2 and JMA weeklies are similar in the pattern as we head into mid/late August.  Could this really be the hottest stretch of Summer???  Confidence is growing that most of us across the northern and eastern Sub certainly may. 

 

With that being said, the Euro Weeklies showing a very wet pattern over the next 45 days for a lot of us.  The CFSv2 agrees.  Yes...please???

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The low here at my house was 61 the official low at GRR was 60. The current temperature here at my house is 69 and the 9 AM reading at GRR was 72. The sky clear.

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Beautiful 63°F morning here in Riverside, CA. Usually when I come here they're in the midst of a heat wave so it's nice to have slightly below normal highs in the low 90s.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Beautiful 63°F morning here in Riverside, CA. Usually when I come here they're in the midst of a heat wave so it's nice to have slightly below normal highs in the low 90s.

 

I was just going to post how Fargo gonna get rolled by a monster MCS later....

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I'm a bit concerned with the model trend for the next week.  The trend is for MCS action well north this weekend, then the front swings through with nothing, then there are a few nights of MCS action south of my area, then a heat dome builds back in and pushes all the action well north/northwest again.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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00z EPS/Euro runs lookin' good for many of you across the central ag belt through Wed...locally, the Euro is showing a strong line of storms driving south bound from Wisco into N IL early in the morning on Sunday. I love these type of set ups. Hope it happens.

Please let this happen! We are way overdue for some heavy rainfall and storms.

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I was just going to post how Fargo gonna get rolled by a monster MCS later....

Yeah, it sucks to be missing a hatched moderate risk.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Gorgeous morning out there while taking a break from my "Zoom Meetings." Last I checked was 77F w deep blue skies and dew at 61F. Highs will top at 90F today, low 90s tomorrow n Sunday, which marks the beginnings of this heatwave. Luckily, it will not last all of next week. CF sweeps on by Sunday w some more hvy rains.

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NOAA:

 

 

Hot and humid air mass firmly entrenched for the latter half of the
weekend. Heat index nearing 100 degrees Sunday a possibility as
dewpoints climb well into the 70s, assuming convective development
fails to short circuit the standard diurnal temperature curve.
Convection will organize across the upper MS valley by Saturday night
as stronger shortwave energy engages the higher instability plume.
The possibility for some downstream propagation of this activity
and/or renewed development along the advancing attendant frontal
boundary or composite outflow will then improve chances locally
depending on the timing relative to diurnal heating. Increasing bulk
shear magnitude with time suggests any activity that manifests could
quickly organize and present a severe wx risk for strong winds.

 

I think the bulk of severe weather stays south of my area on Sunday w mainly hvy rain, causing a flood situation. MCS remains south away near the OH-MI border for now.

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I was just going to post how Fargo gonna get rolled by a monster MCS later....

 

Not something I have followed for more than the last couple years, but I have never seen "moderate" severe weather risk issued for Minnesota or the Dakotas by the SPC.  The most severe I have seen issued by the SPC is "enhanced".

I don't have cable tv anymore, but if I did, I wouldn't count on watching much on the major networks tonight around here due to interruptions for severe storm alerts. If that is still even a thing?

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Attm, its 78F under deep blue skies. Humidity is not even at noticeable levels. Absolutely splendid outside from what I am seeing. Hopefully, later, I will have some time available to go outside for a bit.

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I feel like the GFS just needs to be shut down.  It consistently is WAY off base.  Tomorrow for example it has heat index values in the low 90s in Iowa, while every other model has them from 105 to even 115.  115 is likely overdone, but getting to 100 seems inevitable.  It's just a garbage model anymore.  The resolution on precip is all weird and funky too.  Just doesn't look right.  At least on Pivotal.  Maybe if I checked the NOAA site it looks different.  

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Not something I have followed for more than the last couple years, but I have never seen "moderate" severe weather risk issued for Minnesota or the Dakotas by the SPC.  The most severe I have seen issued by the SPC is "enhanced".

I don't have cable tv anymore, but if I did, I wouldn't count on watching much on the major networks tonight around here due to interruptions for severe storm alerts. If that is still even a thing?

 

Looks like an Enhanced Risk may be needed again tomorrow a bit further east and south in MN. Some of the models today are showing up around 4500 J/kg of SBCAPE later today/tonight. This thing could take off in a hurry. And yes, tv warnings will be scrolling for sure. We even get N MN warning scrolls here in the Cities. It's a bit odd to me. 

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I feel like the GFS just needs to be shut down.  It consistently is WAY off base.  Tomorrow for example it has heat index values in the low 90s in Iowa, while every other model has them from 105 to even 115.  115 is likely overdone, but getting to 100 seems inevitable.  It's just a garbage model anymore.  The resolution on precip is all weird and funky too.  Just doesn't look right.  At least on Pivotal.  Maybe if I checked the NOAA site it looks different.  

GFS = Garbage For Sure.  The temps on that model are so ridiculously off-base that they shouldn't even be looked at. 

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MPX talking 80F dew points and up to 110F heat indices on Saturday with the potential for a significant severe weather outbreak. You coming up this weekend, James?

Wow you might be rockin up there! We're down at my place this weekend. Hoping to see a storm but looks mainly hot. And too hot for my taste. I'll take it though if the cap can break.
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Here is some info on a July that was the coolest on record in many areas.

July 2009 mean temperature at Grand Rapids of 67.1 made it the coolest July in recorded history here at Grand Rapids. It beat out the July of 1992 by 0.1° From June 28 to July 28th there were 31 days in a row of below average temperature and for the whole month of July 2009 there was just one day that was warmer than average. The average high at Grand Rapids in July is 83 and it did not get that warm that year until July 28th and that was the only day. The high that day was the warmest for the whole month at just 84 The low for the month was 50 and that happened 3 nights on the 8th and then the 13th and 14th For a comparison July 2009 was more like a typical July up at the Sault.

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GFS = Garbage For Sure. The temps on that model are so ridiculously off-base that they shouldn't even be looked at.

This is what happens when you rush a revamp of the model.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Forget tomorrow, SPC expanded the Enhanced area southward tonight. Now covers a portion of the metro. Talk of a possible derecho and a significant damaging wind event. 

 

Currently 89F with a DP of 73.  HI of 96. 

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90/77 with a heat index of 103. Its one of those days, but at least there’s relief after tomorrow, which is never the case in the Deep South!

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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Back to this again..........

 

 

Air Quality Alert
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-083-190000-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Monroe-Including the cities of Port Huron, Howell, Pontiac, Warren,Ann Arbor, Detroit, and Monroe1223 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2020...Air Quality Alert in effect for Saturday July 18th...The Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy hasdeclared Saturday July 18th to be an action day for elevated levelsof ozone. Pollutants are expected to be in the unhealthy forsensitive groups range.The action day is in effect for the following Michigan counties...St. Clair...Livingston...Oakland...Macomb...Washtenaw...Wayne andMonroe.People and businesses are urged to avoid activities which lead toozone formation. These activities include...refueling vehicles ortopping off when refueling, using gasoline powered lawn equipmentand using charcoal lighter fluid. Positive activities include...biking to work, delaying or combining errands and using water basedpaints.It is recommended that active children and adults, and people withrespiratory diseases such as asthma, limit prolonged outdoorexertion.
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Fargo to Brainerd looks to get hammered.  It will be interesting if the severe weather stays concentrated with a relative small area of intense storms or if they are widespread by area as well.  Obviously the NWS has to hedge things and assume a widespread area of severe with the setup tonight.

 

Forget tomorrow, SPC expanded the Enhanced area southward tonight. Now covers a portion of the metro. Talk of a possible derecho and a significant damaging wind event. 

 

Currently 89F with a DP of 73.  HI of 96. 

 

 

 

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If I remember correctly, this same sort of atmospheric set up happened across KC earlier this year.  It's interesting that it happened nearly in the same spot again!  LRC in play???

Yes I remember that too, but the eastern complex that time was a bit further south across Mo.

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Latest observation (3:53pm CDT) from the Omaha Millard Airport about 3 miles from my house...

 

Air temp: 94

Dewpoint: 79

Heat Index: 112

 

My observation: It’s absolutely disgusting outside and you can see the humidity in the air right now... it’s nicer in Houston, TX right now than in Eastern Nebraska.

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Partly Cloudy

 

93°F

 

34°C

 

Humidity 67%

Wind Speed SE 16 G 22 mph

Barometer 29.92 in

Dewpoint 81°F (27°C)

Visibility 10.00 mi

Heat Index 113°F (45°C)

Last update 17 Jul 3:55 pm CDT

 

Fremont

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The Omaha metro is now officially in the D1 Moderate Drought category as well as several areas to our north and east in Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa.

 

Crazy to think last year at this time we were still dealing with lots of flooding around here... my how things change in one year.

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Latest observation (3:53pm CDT) from the Omaha Millard Airport about 3 miles from my house...

 

Air temp: 94

Dewpoint: 79

Heat Index: 112

 

My observation: It’s absolutely disgusting outside and you can see the humidity in the air right now... it’s nicer in Houston, TX right now than in Eastern Nebraska.

How people can stand to live in humidity like this for long stretches amazes me. I guess we have to put up with it for awhile.

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Partly Cloudy

 

93°F

 

34°C

 

Humidity 67%

Wind Speed SE 16 G 22 mph

Barometer 29.92 in

Dewpoint 81°F (27°C)

Visibility 10.00 mi

Heat Index 113°F (45°C)

Last update 17 Jul 3:55 pm CDT

 

Fremont

Yuck. That is what you see closer to the equator. Tomorrow may be worse.

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The Omaha metro is now officially in the D1 Moderate Drought category as well as several areas to our north and east in Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa.

 

 

Crazy to think last year at this time we were still dealing with lots of flooding around here... my how things change in one year.

We were in Omaha last Saturday for a wedding. It was dry. Looks very similar to my area of Central Nebraska. One positive, haven’t noticed very many mosquitoes. There is no standing water to breed in that’s for sure.

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I just received this Emal I was surprised that I have had so many reports.

 

750 Reports!
Thank You!

According to our database, you have surpassed 750 reports.
Spectacular!
Thank you for being such a great volunteer.

The CoCoRaHS Team

appreciates

James
MI-KN-33
943 Observations

We really appreciate all that you do for us. Please let us know if we can do anything to make your CoCoRaHS experience any better.  Thanks again!

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Grilling some chicken, along w Greek salad on the side and some sweet red wine. Its gonna be terrrrrrrrific!!!!!!! Desert will be "Strawberry shortcake." Then, I will have to go to my gym area and sweat it all off later tanite :lol:

 

 

Oh, its beautiful outside as I am on my patio. Temp in the 80s w low humidity. Gotta luv this type of weather in the heart of Summa!!!!! ;)

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The MCS just reached Fargo.  The sagging line should drop some good rain on Fargo.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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What is this low humidity you speak of?

Dew being in the upper 50s to near 60F is considered comfortably low even low 60s, considering the time of the year.

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I just received this Emal I was surprised that I have had so many reports.

 

750 Reports!

Thank You!

According to our database, you have surpassed 750 reports.

Spectacular!

Thank you for being such a great volunteer.

The CoCoRaHS Team

appreciates

James

MI-KN-33

943 Observations

We really appreciate all that you do for us. Please let us know if we can do anything to make your CoCoRaHS experience any better.  Thanks again!

Great work there!
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