TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 And the entire run... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 The 12z EPS is looking pretty warm for next weekend. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: And the entire run... Thanks. I would definitely like to see the gfs play out. The troughiness will be welcomed and at least there is potential for it to be more wet. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The 12z EPS is looking pretty warm for next weekend. Everywhere but Western Central and Northern CA Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 38 minutes ago, Phil said: Future Idalia is gonna outperform expectations. Major hurricane landfall wouldn’t surprise me one iota. Looks like the “I” curse is going to strike again. 1 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 82 at SEA already at 1 p.m. Smoke there is definitely not holding back temps. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 (edited) 44 minutes ago, Phil said: Future Idalia is gonna outperform expectations. Major hurricane landfall wouldn’t surprise me one iota. 'I' storms are always beasts. Edited August 26, 2023 by BLI snowman 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Tonight may be good in the Seattle area, assuming enough lift is realized. Watching the Cascades today to see if anything gets organized, especially into the evening. NAM hints at 4-800 j/kg CAPE in the midlevels. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Hmmm I can see the plume from that Bull Run fire from south of Molalla. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Tonight may be good in the Seattle area, assuming enough lift is realized. Watching the Cascades today to see if anything gets organized, especially into the evening. NAM hints at 4-800 j/kg CAPE in the midlevels. Some signs of instability aloft here. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted August 26, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 12z EPS seems more promising than previous runs. 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 80 #33 this year. I think we’re going to stay below 85 today though most likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 82 at SEA already at 1 p.m. Smoke there is definitely not holding back temps. Can actually smell it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Some signs of instability aloft here. Some accas overhead here too. Also as a side note, the smoke looks much thinner in your area. It's pretty noxious here in the city. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Some accas overhead here too. Also as a side note, the smoke looks much thinner in your area. It's pretty noxious here in the city. Basically nothing here... just a light haze. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Grand slam!! Smoke doesn't look too bad at the game. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 @Front Ranger 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Grand slam!! Smoke doesn't look too bad at the game. Looked pretty bad after the two run shot. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Just now, Deweydog said: Looked pretty bad after the two run shot. I was just going to mention that... firework smoke drifted right across the center field camera looking towards home plate. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 84 at SEA and out here. Should end up warmer than yesterday but fall short of 90. Days are getting shorter! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak! 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak! I was looking at those runs and can totally imagine my spouse trying to pick up my son in a thunderstorm...pow! 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Deja-vu all over again. https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1695504421088551404?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Pre-dawn explosion on Tuesday per the 12Z ECMWF. I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, Phil said: Deja-vu all over again. https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1695504421088551404?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ And yet Euro only has this...I know it's way better than GFS, but does it usually struggle in these situations compared to the "hurricane models"? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 RIP Bob Barker 5 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: And yet Euro only has this...I know it's way better than GFS, but does it usually struggle in these situations compared to the "hurricane models"? Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on. This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 37 minutes ago, MossMan said: I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. I'm in that color to here in Tacoma 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 25 minutes ago, Phil said: Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on. This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs. Oof, let's hope not. Michael became a hurricane way down by Cuba, though...which this thing looks unlikely to do. If it doesn't start to form into a hurricane until it's halfway through the gulf and moving rapidly towards the panhandle, not sure that's enough time to intensify to Cat 5. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 The Gulf is jet fuel right now. Gonna be a lot of room for growth. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 18z GFS Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 Can see what I think is the pyrocumulus from the Camp Creek Fire near Sandy. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 24 minutes ago, Phil said: 18z GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 83/55 so far today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted August 26, 2023 Report Share Posted August 26, 2023 I’m about 40 miles north of Tampa right now until Wednesday morning. On hurricane watch. Love seeing clouds explode again. It is so hot here. 5 1 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 18z GFS essentially ends summer. 2 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 A typical sunny, late summer afternoon at University of Communist Indoctrination where the high temperatures in October average higher than the high temperatures in May. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 18z GFS essentially ends summer. Get ready for the rain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 27, 2023 Report Share Posted August 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Phil said: 18z GFS What hour? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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