August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change.

Really bored with the Mariners... always in the playoffs every year.   Same old same old.  

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change.

My Man! 

First place in the West all alone Mariners in a pennant race! 

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

86 = toasty

88 = toastylicious

90 = warm

It’s science. 

Texas Toast?

Starting to see early signs the trees in the cooler spots in the foothills are starting to prepare for a color change. The decidous trees on the other side of Alpowa summit are usually the first in my area to change. They are east facing in a spot that blocks south facing sunlight. Getting closer. As of today's drive, they haven't. But the leaves are starting to turn a lighter shade of green. More a lime color and less of a forest green. They usually start changing by mid September.

[LowerGarfield]

56 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Fall comin’

Pumpkin spice reaction coming any day now.

[Deweydog]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

On some days... noone really knows for sure though.  

We need a rules committee.

[Front Ranger]

It's almost here!

[Front Ranger]

Fortunately, the area models seem to be honing in on for Idalia to hit in Florida is fairly sparsely populated, compared to much of the state. No big coastal cities in the likely impact area.

[HuskyMaestro]

42 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change.

Can't wait. Colder dreary days to have warm coffee in the living room, the M's being in the division race, while football and the Kraken come back.

How's fantasy football coming along?

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, HuskyMaestro said:

Can't wait. Colder dreary days to have warm coffee in the living room, the M's being in the division race, while football and the Kraken come back.

How's fantasy football coming along?

We didn't have enough ppl. We will have to try again next year!

[HuskyMaestro]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

We didn't have enough ppl. We will have to try again next year!

Boooooo! Lol

[Cloud]

Nice rain maker Thursday! 

[MossMan]

It’s August 27th. 
Anyway, my grass is still green but is starting to stress a little.

And the moon is out. 

[Jbolin]

Lightning SE of Tofino right now

[SouthHillFrosty]

18 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Nice rain maker Thursday! 

Post pls?

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Post pls?

Yeah Def wetter. 

Ending 9am Thursday 

[YahRaEl]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Yeah Def wetter. 

Ending 9am Thursday 

How's it look for Thunderstorms for tomorrow-Tuesday?

[Kolk1604]

Solid. 5pm Monday to 5pm Tuesday 
 

[YahRaEl]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Solid. 5pm Monday to 5pm Tuesday 
 

I bet that lightning density is lit up especially for Eastsound

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

How's it look for Thunderstorms for tomorrow-Tuesday?

Like looking a snowmaps lol. It took away any lighting for tomorrow, but Tuesday Morning is still solid. 

I wish it was later in the morning though and not so early. This is from 12am Monday to 12pm Tuesday. 

[Kolk1604]

Here, Midnight Tuesday to 11am 

[Meatyorologist]

This could be hours of lightning starting in the late evening tomorrow. A classic setup.

[Front Ranger]

0z Euro is basically troughy all the way through day 10.

[Cloud]

European rain totals.

[Kolk1604]

Last day of summer for white pass is tomorrow lol 

[Cascadia_Wx]

The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling.

86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there.

[Tyler Mode]

4 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling.

86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there.

I agree, last year was nearly 90 in October...

[LowerGarfield]

5 hours ago, Cloud said:

European rain totals.

If this happens, @MWG is going to miss their smoke. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In a 90s throwback we have a marine layer Monday. Probably our most rare form of weather these days. 

[Phil]

Franklin out in the NATL trying for Cat5 status. Very lucky that one is missing land..what a beast.

[Phil]

5 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling.

86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there.

I don’t think guidance is correct out in the NPAC for week2. Seems to lose the RWT for the most part.

[Cloud]

A very fall-like morning with the deep marine layer intrusion. Feels nice!

[TT-SEA]

The only way its fall is if we have well below 500mb heights?   It will still be fall even when we have inevitable ridging in September and October.   Just like our mega-trough in June was still summer.    

On a side note... we might get to do some water activities this coming weekend per the EPS even though its winter now.  

 

[Phil]

00z EPS looks nice out there!

[TT-SEA]

06Z ECMWF on the fun coming tonight and tomorrow morning.  

 

[Phil]

Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns.

Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence.

[Cloud]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

06Z ECMWF on the fun coming tonight and tomorrow morning.  

 

Guess I'm busting out the rain jacket tonight for work! 

[Phil]

FWIW, the east-based niño/p8 structure in tropical forcing statistically favors a troughy pattern in the west during S/O/N.

Come D/J/F that reverses, of course.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns.

Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence.

I would say the Earth's axial tilt and it's orbit around the sun are also responsible.   

 

[Cloud]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns.

Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence.

Anecdotally, I look at the Western Pacific and have been last couple years during this time of the year since my wife is currently there, but what I noticed is that their monsoon season (starting in June) is starting to wind down now, with rain and t-storms becoming less frequent as we transition to fall  here. Obviously, I can't prove this either, but it's what I've been noticing last couple years since I start monitoring the SE Asia weather more frequently. 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I would say the Earth's axial tilt and it's orbit around the sun are also responsible.   

 

Now that’s a radical, groundbreaking take if I’ve ever heard one.