RentonHill Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Probably means it won't verify. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 2 hours ago, RentonHill said: Starting to look a bit chunky in the reversal zone around New Years... We should have a shot at something before the dreaded El Nino pattern sets up after mid Jan or so. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: We should have a shot at something before the dreaded El Nino pattern sets up after mid Jan or so. If it sets up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted November 26, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 For some reason our run of misfortune just continues unabated. About an hour ago our son had his first seizure in years, and last week our dentist, who we have been going to for years just up and died. This guy would have been one of the last people on anyone's list to die so young. I had some serious marathon sessions with this guy in the dentists chair. Anyway my son is fine now, and that makes six people who are either family, friends, or close acquaintances to die in the past three months. 24 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: If it sets up. There is a small chance it won't, but even the best Nino winters are usually losers in the second half. 2018-19 was very odd in that it was awful the first half and great the second. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Phil said: Asked an AI image-generator what it thinks you’ll look like during next weeks storms. I think it’s accurate. That is NOT the look of a man who thinks it’s coming. 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 45 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: There is a small chance it won't, but even the best Nino winters are usually losers in the second half. 2018-19 was very odd in that it was awful the first half and great the second. This. I had around 30” on the ground on the 26th of February in ‘19. It stuck around for quite some time with a couple bouts of snow the following few weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 2 hours ago, MossMan said: Does this still count as a white Thanksgiving weekend? Been white for all 4 days! It came? Currently 43 and still frosty in all of the shady spots. It’s been white here all week. Heavy frost. Loving it. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 Cascadia thinks all my comments are confusing. Really funny.. 1 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: For some reason our run of misfortune just continues unabated. About an hour ago our son had his first seizure in years, and last week our dentist, who we have been going to for years just up and died. This guy would have been one of the last people on anyone's list to die so young. I had some serious marathon sessions with this guy in the dentists chair. Anyway my son is fine now, and that makes six people who are either family, friends, or close acquaintances to die in the past three months. our perfectly healthy eye doctor died at 35 last week. acquired some weird blood infection that killed him in 2 weeks 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: The funny thing it has yet to be in the CPC analogs list...at least in the many times I've looked. As I said before this one is different at least from a much weaker offshore flow aspect. Really? I’ve seen it listed many times. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2023 Report Share Posted November 26, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: For some reason our run of misfortune just continues unabated. About an hour ago our son had his first seizure in years, and last week our dentist, who we have been going to for years just up and died. This guy would have been one of the last people on anyone's list to die so young. I had some serious marathon sessions with this guy in the dentists chair. Anyway my son is fine now, and that makes six people who are either family, friends, or close acquaintances to die in the past three months. I’m sorry man. Sending thoughts and prayers. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: For some reason our run of misfortune just continues unabated. About an hour ago our son had his first seizure in years, and last week our dentist, who we have been going to for years just up and died. This guy would have been one of the last people on anyone's list to die so young. I had some serious marathon sessions with this guy in the dentists chair. Anyway my son is fine now, and that makes six people who are either family, friends, or close acquaintances to die in the past three months. I'm really sorry, Jim 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Crazy how much the anomalies have flipped now for SEA and OLM with the 1991-2020 averages. This month, SEA is running -.7 while OLM is +2.2. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 52 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: our perfectly healthy eye doctor died at 35 last week. acquired some weird blood infection that killed him in 2 weeks Yikes. This has been a terrible year for deaths it seems. We haven't been able to find out what our dentist died of yet. The guy was as fit as a fiddle when I saw him a couple of weeks ago. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Crazy how much the anomalies have flipped now for SEA and OLM with the 1991-2020 averages. This month, SEA is running -.7 while OLM is +2.2. It just comes down to the fact OLM has performed terribly with low temps this autumn. In general north of OLM is running below normal for the month to date while south is still running above normal for the month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Nothing more than a hunch here, but I think something big will start to show up on the models within the next couple of weeks. Most of the CPC analogs are from years that weren't El Nino driven so we haven't yet reached the point where we are screwed. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It just comes down to the fact OLM has performed terribly with low temps this autumn. In general north of OLM is running below normal for the month to date while south is still running above normal for the month. Yeah, this month is extreme with the difference, but it's part of a larger trend. October: +.7 SEA, +1.9 OLM September: -.6 SEA, +.5 OLM August: +2.5 SEA, +3.5 OLM Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 27, 2023 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, this month is extreme with the difference, but it's part of a larger trend. October: +.7 SEA, +1.9 OLM September: -.6 SEA, +.5 OLM August: +2.5 SEA, +3.5 OLM "They" found out Olympia was too cold, so they warmed up the temperatures. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Nice cold pool developing east of the Cascades with a number of places coming in with near freezing high temps. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, this month is extreme with the difference, but it's part of a larger trend. October: +.7 SEA, +1.9 OLM September: -.6 SEA, +.5 OLM August: +2.5 SEA, +3.5 OLM I came in +1.2 for Oct, so a nice average of the SEA / OLM difference. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 On 11/25/2023 at 12:04 PM, Phil said: You sure you didn’t get those mixed up? No. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Unrelated to weather... Not super happy that they get to charge $25 per adult and $14 for anyone between 6-17. To ENTER THE FREAKING MARKET. Seattle Christmas Market I'm protesting this sh*t. I hear Bellevue's is pretty nice and FREE to enter. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 interesting, not completely dry in E WA as the previous snow map indicated. just warmer than normal, hence rain over snow 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 10 months of commute times from Everett to Downtown Seattle. Thought it was interesting to see the morning traffic spike in September and when when it is wet out. Looking forward to seeing the data when it snows again in 2025/26. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Never completely cleared off here today. Did get some sun, but it was hazy sunshine, with broken overcast. Pretty decent inversion for once. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 PDX 52/30 SLE 51/25 EUG 47/23 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Already down to 32 at Corvallis. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Down to 35 after a high of 43 degrees today. Shaded areas remained frosty through the whole day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 local news starting to 'talk' about the coming Friday snow 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post VancouverIslandSouth Posted November 27, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 5 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Cold is not really deepening much around the Sound. SEA is warmer now than the high yesterday. Did you end up going to Palm Springs? I was surprised, the daylight hours really aren't that different from up here, but I guess the sun angle is just enough to keep the valley clear of inversions. It's a beautiful area, gave me a new appreciation for the desert SW: 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Daily ONI up to +2.1. Bonafide strong El Niño. 1 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunriver Snow Zone Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Down to 18.1, after a low temp of 6.6, and a high temp of 54.2! Quite an impressive 48 degree range on the day! Looking forward to perhaps a half a foot of snow this weekend, but not looking forward to all the warm rain next week. Not loving the long range forecasts but it's not over, we still could be in for a Christmas treat. 4 1 Quote Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88" Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"! 23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 34 minutes ago, Phil said: Daily ONI up to +2.1. Bonafide strong El Niño. Absolutely. The Tri-monthly probably doesn’t hit that high, but definitely a strong Nino. Peaking now. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post RentonHill Posted November 27, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Beast 7 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Stormy Sunday??? 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 Then boom AR 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Then boom AR Huge soaker for Oregon 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Phil said: Daily ONI up to +2.1. Bonafide strong El Niño. But, when is California going to begin feeling the effects of this "strong" El Niño? It has been as dry as a La Niña in Socal so far since the beginning of October. Edited November 27, 2023 by Dan the Weatherman 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2023 Report Share Posted November 27, 2023 24 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said: Down to 18.1, after a low temp of 6.6, and a high temp of 54.2! Quite an impressive 48 degree range on the day! Looking forward to perhaps a half a foot of snow this weekend, but not looking forward to all the warm rain next week. Not loving the long range forecasts but it's not over, we still could be in for a Christmas treat. Pretty nice spread. 40/29 here. Down to 32. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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