Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
Good. We need to focus on the end game here. MTG is just too impatient. I'm pretty sure the Republicans would lose their House majority if we go through another Speaker fiasco. I get her disgust with what is going on, but we need to be playing the long game.
Guidance is now picking up on the emergence of the new base state (low frequency coupling associated with emerging niña).
But right now it’s inconsistent/blurry, imbedded beneath the MJO/higher frequency components, hence the unstable solutions. Model skill could decrease for quite awhile, as this gets resolved.
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Do this.
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Important Note!
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