January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Deweydog]

Harbaugh!

[KingstonWX]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

https://x.com/seahawks/status/1745163695276372478?s=46&t=A2KURVV14g2Dihdy2LQ7tQ
 

Wrong thread I know but Pete is out. 

Taking bets now. Harbaugh, Quinn, or Belichick?

[North_County]

38 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

You will do good, way better than my area. My guess you will have 8 inches on the ground By sat afternoon.

Betting heavy on the unmodeled surprise moisture?

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Holy crap!!!  

Massive shock!! I know people are going to get mad because this is the wrong thread but that is huge and unexpected news!!! Wow! Perhaps with that Pete sacrifice we all get dumped with snow now?

Edited January 10 by MossMan

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Harbaugh!

Yep!! 

[westcoastexpat]

A little surprised at the lack of enthusiasm. Not much to complain about - one of the coldest January blasts in decades with potential for more cold down the line.

Also snow precipitation shield is often further north than modelled. Plus the arctic front will likely be full of surprises. They often are. I am sure many of us will see snow and deep cold. It will very much feel like winter. In January!

[MossMan]

Pete knew it was coming! Just like the southward shift in the models. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

High-res WRF has a band of very heavy precip tomorrow morning between Seattle and Everett. Would likely be too early for snow that would stick around as modeled, but still nice to see such intense banding show up.

 

Well this nails me...

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Well this nails me...

You are going to be the big winner! Pool party at your place!!!! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Just now, MossMan said:

You are going to be the big winner! Pool party at your place!!!! 

I got 0.72" of rain yesterday (highest total in over a year) and last night got 0.10" of 32.7 degree rain. When the rain finished the skies cleared and it dropped to 30 flash froze everything. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Pete knew it was coming! Just like the southward shift in the models. 

At least he won his last ballgame. And was there a snow game up there for him during his Seahawks tenure? I remember them playing in like temperatures close to 5F at Minnesota in 2015-16.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

[the_convergence_zone]

For the Seattle area this one reminds me of a slightly colder version of the first week of December 2013. 

[GHweatherChris]

PIN THIS.....

[TigerWoodsLibido]

If nothing else, if this forecast unfolds like the EC has been showing, I'm going to enjoy the hell out of us following the surface Arctic front move from Vancouver, BC down to the Umpqua Basin.

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

For the Seattle area this one reminds me of a slightly colder version of the first week of December 2013. 

Gonna be rough on your winter flowers.

[North_County]

9 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Well this nails me...

You're probably going to kill it with the Strait-Effect.

[MikeInEverett]

44 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Could just be that I’m still bummed by Saturday’s most likely bust that I’m in a downer mood, but I’m just not feeling it for tomorrow at all other than a few flakes in the air that will melt before the temps drop low enough. Will definitely still be watching the hi-res models though. 

Yeah I don’t have a great feeling either. I usually always have a feeling that crazy surprises will happen, but the lack of over water trajectory with the trough is rough. Won’t be a ton of moisture to work with. The thing to watch for us is if the CZ stalls out for a bit or is heavier than forecast

[Deweydog]

26 years ago RIGHT NOW rain was SLOWLY  beginning to change to SNOW in the metro area near the gorge and in Clark County. My ‘88 S-10 was put through its paces during this event and we had a blast.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS definitely resumes a Nino pattern.

[GHweatherChris]

@iFred @TT-SEA pin this at the top...

[MikeInEverett]

11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

At least he won his last ballgame. And was there a snow game up there for him during his Seahawks tenure? I remember them playing in like temperatures close to 5F at Minnesota in 2015-16.

12/26/2021 vs. Chicago was a snow game. Pretty good Arctic Front snow for most of the Puget Sound that day.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

26 years ago RIGHT NOW rain was SLOWLY  beginning to change to SNOW in the metro area near the gorge and in Clark County. My ‘88 S-10 was put through its paces during this event and we had a blast.

My 1975 El Camino had no issues here…Because we didn’t have any snow with that one I don’t think 

[GoldenEars]

19 minutes ago, westcoastexpat said:

A little surprised at the lack of enthusiasm. Not much to complain about - one of the coldest January blasts in decades with potential for more cold down the line.

Also snow precipitation shield is often further north than modelled. Plus the arctic front will likely be full of surprises. They often are. I am sure many of us will see snow and deep cold. It will very much feel like winter. In January!

I'm pumped for the cold up here. I'm used to the outflow winds eating most of the moisture in these situations so I wasn't shocked to see the snow totals dropping.

[Cloud]

24 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Harbaugh!

I wouldn't mind Harbaugh or Vbrabel. Vrabel is similar to Pete and with him staying as an advisor, would help a lot.

This one is a shocker. Sad day.

[Minion]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Holy crap!!!  

Good move tho.

[Winterdog]

Seattle NWS says 40 to 50% chance for up to 4" of accumulating snow Friday night thru Saturday. 

[Skagit Weather]

Saw that they were harvesting the last of the Brussels sprouts here yesterday in the valley. We've left root vegetables in the garden for the last couple of years even when temperatures dropped into the single digits, but that was always with a healthy snow cover. Might have to harvest a bunch of stuff before the flash freeze since we won't have any insulation this go around.

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

@iFred @TT-SEA pin this at the top...

Could you remind me, what do the 925’s need to be for snow to hit the surface? Zero? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

28 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Massive shock!! I know people are going to get mad because this is the wrong thread but that is huge and unexpected news!!! Wow! Perhaps with that Pete sacrifice we all get dumped with snow now?

What is funny is i have never heard of any of those people in my life hahaha.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What is funny is i have never heard of any of those people in my life hahaha.

You have never heard of Pete Carroll?   You have lots of employees and have interfaced with the public in the Seattle area for the last 14 years since he arrived.  I guarantee the words "Pete Carroll" have entered your ears probably a million times.  

[WhoNeedsAC]

36 minutes ago, Prairiedog said:

It really depended on where you were at.  We have over 20 micro climates in the Metro area.  Trace at the valley floor in spots to several inches at 1K in the West Hills.  Hit and miss.  I'm 315ft near the Cascade foothills and never saw a flake and ended up at 37 for a low.  Clark Co. did well.  Some spots had a little snow south of the Metro but melted pretty fast.  Don't know if there was any officially at the airport. 

I'm half-way between Portland and Longview on the Oregon side of the river. Got a couple of inches per "trained spotter report." But we tend to do well in marginal events (as long as there's moisture). We're away from the direct gorge effect and also the Portland heat island.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

You have never heard of Pete Carroll?   You have lots of employees and interface with the public in the Seattle area every day.   I guarantee the words "Pete Carroll" have entered your ears probably a million times.  

I have no idea really. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

55 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Minimal at the very onset then switches quickly to ice. Would be several sub-freezing highs after that tho.

That’s what matters! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What is funny is i have never heard of any of those people in my life hahaha.

Yup. Same.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You have never heard of Pete Carroll?   You have lots of employees and interface with the public in the Seattle area for the last 14 years since he arrived..   I guarantee the words "Pete Carroll" have entered your ears probably a million times.  

I do remember some dude called bozworth or something like that and i guess he was an idiot lol. Seahawks i think? 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

23 minutes ago, North_County said:

You're probably going to kill it with the Strait-Effect.

Hope so. I have had 4 real arctic front strait effect events since I moved here. 3 drastically over performed and 1 was a dry dud. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I have no idea really. 

You have never heard people talking about the Seahawks in an auto repair shop in the Seattle area over the last 14 years through the Super Bowl years and all.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

Still not stellar, but these maps have improved a lot this week.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Btw- getting an arctic blast during a super Nino is not a rug pull.