Gorgeous sunset from Mt Tabor park. Lots of big, downed trees on the north and east side of the park from our ARCTIC WINDS three weeks ago. But honestly the damage wasn’t quite as bad as I feared. I guess the historic shelter took a pretty good hit but that part of the park was cordoned off.
I was intrigued so I looked up the average high and low temperatures across WA for August of 1899. Olga's average low of 45F is pretty impressive as it's about 4 degrees colder than anything we've seen in the last 50 years. The fact it's so much colder than every other location on the west side does make me wonder if there was an error with the thermometer at that time or maybe it was just incredible cold winds blowing off the straight.
The Seattle average high for the month was almost 10 d
The EPS weeklies (and even more-so today’s 12z EPS) don’t hold the MJO over the WPAC/dateline very long, and instead build the lower frequency forcing into the E-Hem, with subsidence developing over the IPWP/WPAC.
I’m very bullish on a potent niña-like pattern in June now. The return to E-Hem forcing will coincide with the onset of Asian monsoons which changes the teleconnections to Indo-China convection.
Allegheny Highlands will never be humid subtropical given the degree of orographic lifting/cloud cover. It would evolve to Cfb (oceanic) instead, unless warming exceeds 8°C at the very least.
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