February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

34 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I wonder if extreme cold in Alaska is typical for the latter half of El Niño winters. Always seemed like more of a Niña thing to me but I could be wrong.

Amazing winter climate.

[Front Ranger]

There's a juicy storm moving in here tonight/tomorrow, and models are showing anywhere from 1-12" of snow, due mainly to questionable precip type.

It's like I'm back in the PNW.

[T-Town]

33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We let it go dormant in 2021 and its never been the same since.   Time to start over and make the grass area smaller as well.  

I didn’t water our backyard lawn at all last summer thinking it would go dormant. But it seems to have mostly died. We’ll see what happens when spring comes. 

[MossMan]

Currently 48 degrees with dribbles. 
.01” so far on the day, .19” for the month, 5.63” for the year. 

[Phil]

10 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

There was a late SSW in 2016?   

Final warming, yes. It was in March, though.

Niño climo is super difficult to beat in late winter/spring.

[MossMan]

The grass by the deck got nuked when a friends puppy came over to play with my dogs and kids when it was bare ground and 19 degrees. I knew it was toast when I said sure come on over, but that area really grows well so as soon as we are into about May you won’t even notice it. My unmolested grass already needs mowing however. 

Edited February 2 by MossMan

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Phil the Groundhog did not see his shadow, which means no more winter for the east! I think that means the opposite should be true for us

 

[TT-SEA]

38 minutes ago, Phil said:

Final warming, yes. It was in March, though.

Niño climo is super difficult to beat in late winter/spring.

Based on the graph I posted... it was take big hits by the beginning of February in 2016.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

The grass by the deck got nuked when a friends puppy came over to play with my dogs and kids when it was bare ground and 19 degrees. I knew it was toast when I said sure come on over, but that area really grows well so as soon as we are into about May you won’t even notice it. My unmolested grass already needs mowing however. 

Get some lime and spread it around. 

[Slushy Inch]

Feb is trying 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is more robust with that system in the middle of next week before the AL pattern takes hold... nice increase in snow amounts for the mountains.  

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

Feb is trying 

But inevitably failing. Too much westerly momentum to avoid a progressive outcome.

Just 36hrs later it gets punted east. 

[Meatyorologist]

Some Central Valley snowfall on the 12z...

[TT-SEA]

31 minutes ago, Phil said:

But inevitably failing. Too much westerly momentum to avoid a progressive outcome.

Just 36hrs later it gets punted east. 

12Z EPS shows the same thing... that trough doesn't really have a chance to establish itself.   But hopefully it can bring a good period of mountain snow later next week.  

 

[snow_wizard]

Just keeps getting better.  We're going to have another shot at it I think.  Keep in mind the models usually don't react as far as the sensible weather is concerned until the SSW is actually happening.

[ShawniganLake]

18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Just keeps getting better.  We're going to have another shot at it I think.  Keep in mind the models usually don't react as far as the sensible weather is concerned until the SSW is actually happening.

Not every SSW delivers to the PNW.  Could be due for a miss

[ShawniganLake]

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up in Portland at the Oregon Convention Center today if anybody wants to come say hi.

[TT-SEA]

44 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Just keeps getting better.  We're going to have another shot at it I think.  Keep in mind the models usually don't react as far as the sensible weather is concerned until the SSW is actually happening.

2016 is a glaring example of a large SSW event that started in February and culminated in early March that did not lead to cold weather here.   Phil has been saying that the Nino may override the effects out here.  

[Deweydog]

Can’t speak for Phil, but I feel like my shadow has been shedding skin and making me pick scabs again.

For today’s weather, looking for a high of 46 and a low of 2.

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

2016 is a glaring example of a large SSW event that started in February and culminated in early March that did not lead to cold weather here.   Phil has been saying that the Nino may override the effects out here.  

 

In some cases it seems like the final warming can effectively just mean the cold air vanishing right along with the PV. That was certainly the case in 2016, when that PV split pretty much just rang in spring for everybody.

[fubario]

32 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

Conflicting reports.

[AlTahoe]

32 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Can’t speak for Phil, but I feel like my shadow has been shedding skin and making me pick scabs again.

For today’s weather, looking for a high of 46 and a low of 2.

Well played. I will be seeing them in Las Vegas on the 18th. 

[TT-SEA]

[ShawniganLake]

53 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Up in Portland at the Oregon Convention Center today if anybody wants to come say hi.

Did you happen to bring your weather station with you.  I think Jesse wanted to stop by and calibrate everything for you.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

17 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Did you happen to bring your weather station with you.  I think Jesse wanted to stop by and calibrate everything for you.  

Wasn’t able to grab it off the roof unfortunately. My roof climbing skills eluded me this morning.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wasn’t able to grab it off the roof unfortunately. My roof climbing skills eluded me this morning.

Roof sounds pretty exposed

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wasn’t able to grab it off the roof unfortunately. My roof climbing skills eluded me this morning.

If only Phil was there to help, he has mastered the art of being on roofs, especially those with high exposure.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Uh oh, oregons best beaver forecaster Stumptown Fil says we're in for an early spring. I think winter's over ☹.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

2016 is a glaring example of a large SSW event that started in February and culminated in early March that did not lead to cold weather here.   Phil has been saying that the Nino may override the effects out here.  

Lead to some wind though! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Uh oh, oregons best beaver forecaster Stumptown Fil says we're in for an early spring. I think winter's over ☹.

Looks like there is hope for Vancouver to score again, though!

https://globalnews.ca/news/10268743/bc-groundhog-day-van-isle-violet-2024/

[Snownerd3000]

@GHweatherChrisdo your raccoons travel? 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

28 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

If only Phil was there to help, he has mastered the art of being on roofs, especially those with high exposure.

Most winters on Stampede Pass, the snow is up to the eaves this time of the year anyhow, making it easy.

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Uh oh, oregons best beaver forecaster Stumptown Fil says we're in for an early spring. I think winter's over ☹.

I’m making peace with it. Seeing lots of buds on the trees after yesterday. And today is once again wildly overachieving temp wise. Let’s just get the torching out of the way the next couple months and maybe we can have a more reasonable mid-spring thru summer for once.

I’m happy that we at least had a very solid cold spell (our best in decades by many measures) to bookend the early winter torching from the late winter torching. And many places scored a below average Jan when all was said and done. About the most we could hope for given the circumstances.

[SnarkyGoblin]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Can’t speak for Phil, but I feel like my shadow has been shedding skin and making me pick scabs again.

For today’s weather, looking for a high of 46 and a low of 2.

Waaaaiiit.  Are you a fan?!

Would have never guessed!

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, AlTahoe said:

Well played. I will be seeing them in Las Vegas on the 18th. 

Jelly!!!

We were toying with the idea of going to that since we’re going to a Knights game on the 20th but it couldn’t be made to work.  They’ve always eluded me over the years and I’ve still never seen them live.

[GHweatherChris]

35 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

@GHweatherChrisdo your raccoons travel? 

 

Not to Canada

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

42 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m making peace with it. Seeing lots of buds on the trees after yesterday. And today is once again wildly overachieving temp wise. Let’s just get the torching out of the way the next couple months and maybe we can have a more reasonable mid-spring thru summer for once.

I’m happy that we at least had a very solid cold spell (our best in decades by many measures) to bookend the early winter torching from the late winter torching. And many places scored a below average Jan when all was said and done. About the most we could hope for given the circumstances.

Be nice to have a normal sumer around here. 70 -75 at the warmest and I'd be in heaven. This 80 degree plus crap can stay in California or Florida where it belongs.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Be nice to have a normal sumer around here. 70 -75 at the warmest and I'd be in heaven. This 80 degree plus crap can stay in California or Florida where it belongs.

Normal high in Seattle is basically 80 now in the heart of the summer... same out here in the Snoqualmie Valley.    And close to the mid 80s in Portland.     

[Deweydog]

I have no idea what Phil saw on this day 35 years ago, but what I saw was BLOWING and DRIFTING snow with temperatures holding steady in the upper teens and then dropping from there as DARKNESS approached. Mind you, this was not in my 14 year old weather vocab at this point. What was occurring was UNIMAGINABLE on a June 2021 scale. It was GLORIOUS.