February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

We’re all going to die!!!! 

At first I thought you were talking about the upper headline, it is a pretty interesting one, that would be very weird to see on the roads. Did you intentionally leave it in the screenshot?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Gonna be a rough few days for the Sounders on here. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Yeah!  Siri instead of a steering wheel is insane!!

These self driving cars need to be illegal. Complete danger. They can't make the crap they are installing in these cars work without glitching. Scary.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gonna be a rough few days for the Sounders on here. 

Why?

[TacomaWx]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Agreed.   I showed this to Jim last night when he said the ICON literally never shows lowland snow.    It actually did pretty good with that mid-February event.  Its not like it missed it completely.    It was showing lowland snow on every run leading up to that event.  

Yeah definitely. I didn’t mean to say that as a “gotcha” moment towards Chris. All I am saying is that there was healthy and reasonable skepticism for people on the I-5 corridor for that event. I don’t think anyone really thought it wouldn’t snow west of the sound it looked pretty solid over there leading up to this event. I think there’s good reason to be skeptical going into this potential event here in western Washington as well. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Down to 40. 0.72” of rain, epic for this kind of flow in my area. 

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

At first I thought you were talking about the upper headline, it is a pretty interesting one, that would be very weird to see on the roads. Did you intentionally leave it in the screenshot?

Yeah to add to the craziness! 

[GHweatherChris]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah definitely. I didn’t mean to say that as a “gotcha” moment towards Chris. All I am saying is that there was healthy and reasonable skepticism for people on the I-5 corridor for that event. I don’t think anyone really thought it wouldn’t snow west of the sound it looked pretty solid over there leading up to this event. I think there’s good reason to be skeptical going into this potential event here in western Washington as well. 

No gotcha moment for sure, there was plenty of doubters on that event and even more now.....

The real issue right now is I am stumped how many cheerleaders on here that can have the same name, Debbie Downer... its weird, we are in bonus time now, there is no reason for anyone to poo poo on what may or may not happen but there has been an influx of posts from some "or just one or a few" that are just trying to downplay potential, that is real potential.  There is no reason to post things to counter act the max potential, no reason this time of year to get all nitty on details, what happens, happens, don't need anyone constantly showing too warm, no/less snow model maps.... stupid.

[Dave]

Some exciting model runs coming up tonight. I'd love for them to show a slushy inch or two down here and also for Medford. Of course, if everyone could get it on the action that would be incredible.

[Tanis Leach]

0z GRAF for PDX 

[Front Ranger]

27 minutes ago, MossMan said:

We’re all going to die!!!! 

Apple just decided to ditch the EV they'd been working on for 10 years. Kinda funny.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Why?

Dynamics are more south. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Tanis Leach said:

0z GRAF for PDX 

Chilly! Got any mapz with that?!

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

No gotcha moment for sure, there was plenty of doubters on that event and even more now.....

The real issue right now is I am stumped how many cheerleaders on here that can have the same name, Debbie Downer... its weird, we are in bonus time now, there is no reason for anyone to poo poo on what may or may not happen but there has been an influx of posts from some "or just one or a few" that are just trying to downplay potential, that is real potential.  There is no reason to post things to counter act the max potential, no reason this time of year to get all nitty on details, what happens, happens, don't need anyone constantly showing too warm, no/less snow model maps.... stupid.

I am not saying 0% chance it snows here next week. Could happen…I don’t think there’s anything wrong with being skeptical about marginal snowfall chances though. I am not trying to be a Debbie downer I love snow. In the Seattle area, this isn’t really a solid guarantee coming up as usual with any snow event. 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

I am not saying 0% chance it snows here next week. Could happen…I don’t think there’s anything wrong with being skeptical about marginal snowfall chances though. I am not trying to be a Debbie downer I love snow. In the Seattle area, this isn’t really a solid guarantee coming up as usual with any snow event. 

I guess I just prefer optimism.

[Weiner Warrior]

ICON actually showing some measureable snow. Amazed

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

If only it was 8 degrees colder

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I guess I just prefer optimism.

Nothing wrong with that either, and normally I am an optimist too. Atleast IMBY this looks iffy at best for now. My opinion IMBY doesn’t necessarily apply to what’ll happen in your neck of the woods. More so Puget sound. The mid February event I wasn’t hyped for either because it didn’t look promising here. 

[Front Ranger]

ICON says the NAM is on crack for tomorrow am.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

ICON says the NAM is on crack for tomorrow am.

Compromise?

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Compromise?

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Surprised no one mentioned how much colder the 18z GFS ensembles trended for next week. 

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I guess I just prefer optimism.

January 2024.

[MossMan]

Dumping!! Up to .27” now! 
46 degrees. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

ICON shows a possible dusting on the top of Mt Rainier.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

We all get more than the Tri Cities!! 

[Weiner Warrior]

Let's see if this happens

[Weiner Warrior]

GFS is going to show Portland with 34 inches total. Seattle 18 inches. All at 38 degrees

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Let's see if this happens

That works 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

18 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

0z GRAF for PDX 

 

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Chilly! Got any mapz with that?!

Here’s the 00z IBM snow map. Looks like around 1/2” to 4” for the Valley along with a donut hole for Washington County.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I just want to say I love you all. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

 

Here’s the 00z IBM snow map. Looks like around 1/2” to 4” for the Valley along with a donut hole for Washington County.

Hard to tell if im In the purple or yellow. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS is about 3 degrees colder in Seattle early tomorrow morning than it's 12Z run.    And also much colder to the north which is why it's showing so much snow up there going through the day.

[T-Town]

13 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Nothing wrong with that either, and normally I am an optimist too. Atleast IMBY this looks iffy at best for now. My opinion IMBY doesn’t necessarily apply to what’ll happen in your neck of the woods. More so Puget sound. The mid February event I wasn’t hyped for either because it didn’t look promising here. 

I think you tend to be a realist. Nothing wrong with that. 

[Front Ranger]

52 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

New 00Z ICON is a few degrees warmer early tomorrow morning than its previous runs.     12Z run showed 38 in Seattle at this same time.   Maybe picking up on real time data with the front?

 

 

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS is about 3 degrees colder in Seattle early tomorrow morning than it's 12Z run.    And also much colder to the north which is why it's showing so much snow up there going through the day.

Who's got the bad data?

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

 

Who's got the bad data?

Good question!

[SouthHillFrosty]

Found this old meme

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS just buries western OR through Sunday morning.    This is less snow for the Seattle area though compared to its 12Z run.  At least the GFS has the sense to not show much snow the immediate coastline.   Something that cannot be said for the ECMWF.

[BlvuSumit]

Seems like east side will get some snow accumulation.  

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, BlvuSumit said:

Seems like east side will get some snow accumulation.  

Puget Sound Special