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March 2024 Weather in the PNW


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For Western Washington at 1k feet I doubt you can beat lake cushman for snow and be close to a major town.  Shelton only takes 25 to 30 minutes.  I lived up there in 2012 and had over 100 inches of snow, had snow on the ground December to mid March, max depth was 44 inches. Biggest storm was 38 inches. The area Is a snow magnet.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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55 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Spent most of the day in the Coast Range between 1000-1500 ft. I never quite get used to how drastically different the microclimates in our region can be. Completely different world today once you get to even about 700 ft there. Absolute winter wonderland with on and off snow all day and awesome orographic enhancement of these showers.

I've grown pretty tired of the ultra marginal climate down at the lowest elevations and now days I just drive up a bit in elevation to find more interesting weather. Next time I move I'm really going to try to get up to at least 500 ft if not 1000 ft+. The Coast Range or SW WA Cascade foothills still at the top of my list I think. 

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I love the Northern Oregon Coast Range. Whenever I go to the Coast I always try and stop by to enjoy the natural habitat there. It’s a true oceanic climate once you get up there in elevation.

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Just now, umadbro said:

Gonna need that to shift North by about 50 miles please and thank you.

That would be fine with me. And we can bet Roseburg is no actually going to see accumulating snow from this (Speaking of hideous winter climes), so why waste phantom snow on them? 

This got me thinking of one of the coolest micro-climates I am aware of in SW Oregon. Scottsburg along the Umpqua River west of Roseburg is only about 40' above sea level. Yet they often see snow when the snow level is 1000-1500' feet as the river canyon is very narrow there and cold air gets trapped in the canyon pretty easily. That area got hammered with the February 2019 snow event. The recreation area at Loon Lake which is about 400' and in a deep canyon was closed for a couple years due to damage from the snow (trees down). 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

For Western Washington at 1k feet I doubt you can beat lake cushman for snow and be close to a major town.  Shelton only takes 25 to 30 minutes.  I lived up there in 2012 and had over 100 inches of snow, had snow on the ground December to mid March, max depth was 44 inches. Biggest storm was 38 inches. The area Is a snow magnet.

That was a great winter for folx with any elevation. A peasants 2007-08, actually it was probably quite a bit better for snow in the lowlands than 07-08', though a bit warmer overall. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The GFS is WAY south. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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GEM looks south too. Right now we are praying for the NAM and the EURO, and the NAM is too far south for many. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I wonder if this does track south if the Rogue Valley will lose a lot of the shadowing once the low moves east. Good timing on that wrap back precip too. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That was a great winter for folx with any elevation. A peasants 2007-08, actually it was probably quite a bit better for snow in the lowlands than 07-08', though a bit warmer overall. 

There is 8-12 inches up there right now.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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It’s time…

Since everything is going south anyway. 

IMG_3185.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That would be fine with me. And we can bet Roseburg is no actually going to see accumulating snow from this (Speaking of hideous winter climes), so why waste phantom snow on them? 

This got me thinking of one of the coolest micro-climates I am aware of in SW Oregon. Scottsburg along the Umpqua River west of Roseburg is only about 40' above sea level. Yet they often see snow when the snow level is 1000-1500' feet as the river canyon is very narrow there and cold air gets trapped in the canyon pretty easily. That area got hammered with the February 2019 snow event. The recreation area at Loon Lake which is about 400' and in a deep canyon was closed for a couple years due to damage from the snow (trees down). 

Even my parents in Myrtle Creek did really well in Feb 2019. I think they got 10" or so.

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Just now, Front Ranger said:

Even my parents in Myrtle Creek did really well in Feb 2019. I think they got 10" or so.

Myrtle Creek probably does a bit better than Roseburg in general? That would be my assumption at least. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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That area around Myrtle Creek, Canyonville, up towards Tiller and above on the South Umpqua is straight out of Deliverance, but it's ruggedly beautiful and quintessential Oregon to me. My brother and law is a big gambler and can usually get us a complimentary room at Seven Feathers, so we try to get down there 2-3 times a year. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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R/S on maple leaf.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Myrtle Creek probably does a bit better than Roseburg in general? That would be my assumption at least. 

I believe where my parents live is about 150' higher than Roseburg. So marginally better probably.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Ended up with a very chilly (for March) 41/33 day here. Some sticking snow in the early morning hours, then mostly cloudy with flurries and showers at times the rest of the day. 

Some clearing this evening and down to 35 already. Those showers to the WSW look to be making very slow inland progress. Coast range is getting hammered 🌨️ 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I believe where my parents live is about 150' higher than Roseburg. So marginally better probably.

Topography matters too. Not just elevation. I know that Myrtle Creek is in the south Umpqua Canyon. Not sure if it benefits from cold air getting trapped, or being blocked from modifying winds. The terrain certainly gets more mountainous heading that direction, with several spots even along I-5 getting well above 2,000’ asl.

I think what makes Roseburg proper so mild is that the coast range to its west is relatively low (even compared to Northern Oregon) and there’s no real low level cold air source, unlike the Willamette valley just to the north of the Kalapuya Divide, which under the right circumstances has direct low level access to continental cold from the Gorge (see January ice storm).

Areas to the south in the Rouge Valley do a bit better thanks to the fact that the Siskiyous/Klamaths to their west are quite high/rugged, and better at blocking marine influence, plus that valley just has more elevation period, much of it sitting near or above 1,000’.

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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29 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Topography matters too. Not just elevation. I know that Myrtle Creek is in the south Umpqua Canyon. Not sure if it benefits from cold air getting trapped, or being blocked from modifying winds. The terrain certainly gets more mountainous heading that direction, with several spots even along I-5 getting well above 2,000’ asl.

I think what makes Roseburg proper so mild is that the coast range to its west is relatively low (even compared to Northern Oregon) and there’s no real low level cold air source, unlike the Willamette valley just to the north of the Kalapuya Divide, which under the right circumstances has direct low level access to continental cold from the Gorge (see January ice storm).

Areas to the south in the Rouge Valley do a bit better thanks to the fact that the Siskiyous/Klamaths to their west are quite high/rugged, and better at blocking marine influence, plus that valley just has more elevation period, much of it sitting near or above 1,000’.

Could be. I've definitely noticed how the coast range to the west elevates south of Roseburg, although not sure how much greater that blockage is in Myrtle Creek.

And it's Rogue. 😉

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12 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

WRF is on the good stuff tonight.  Huge snow totals across southern Vancouver island the next couple days. Looks like 3 feet is likely around Nanaimo.  

IMG_8240.gif

Every single model shows my area getting missed either from the south or from the north…Or the south and north!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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18 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Could be. I've definitely noticed how the coast range to the west elevates south of Roseburg, although not sure how much greater that blockage is in Myrtle Creek.

And it's Rogue. 😉

That would be autocorrect. I’ve been camping in the area for over 20 years now, I know how it’s spelled ;)

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

That would be autocorrect. I’ve been camping in the area for over 20 years now, I know how it’s spelled ;)

So you're saying spell check went rogue on you?

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