Blizzard777 Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 The one guy driving the truck jumped into the boat to see if he could give some pointers to the boat driver but he never made it back to his truck. So truck sat there being hit wave after wave. Trailer was pushed sideways Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: That’s one thing I like about living near the sound is the wind can absolutely rip through here some days. Hope they’re all good. I went outside earlier and it was quite windy. I’m quite cautious when launching my kayak when storms are near. Although we could surf a wave right up onto the ramp. I’m sure we would get a nice wave rolling over us as we try to flee the yak to pull it up though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 minute ago, Jginmartini said: I’m quite cautious when launching my kayak when storms are near. Although we could surf a wave right up onto the ramp. I’m sure we would get a nice wave rolling over us as we try to flee the yak to pull it up though. I usually don’t even put my kayak in the water when the waves are more than a foot big. I try to go for the days where the winds aren’t more than 15-20mph. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 One decent shot at snow Saturday. We'll see what happens, it sounds like 5000+ elevations get the brunt, but I'll keep an eye out. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 17 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 28” base depth at Meadows, Timberline has not updated. Another foot or so and it might be enough to open some lifts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 28” base depth at Meadows, Timberline has not updated. Another foot or so and it might be enough to open some lifts. Should get there within the week as long as it does not warm up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Should get there within the week as long as it does not warm up It’ll warm up very briefly then crash right back down again. Should create a pack of wet Cascade Concrete, and then some additional snow on top of that should secure a start to ski season. C’MON! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 21 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: The one guy driving the truck jumped into the boat to see if he could give some pointers to the boat driver but he never made it back to his truck. So truck sat there being hit wave after wave. Trailer was pushed sideways That truck is getting a salt water bath! Should be nice and rusty in the not too distant future! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 39 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: After that burst of winds earlier I went down to Redondo to do my walk. Upon arriving I saw a boat out fishing. I knew their was a small craft advisory posted but looked like they were doing ok until they decided to come in. That’s when the story began! Took the video of their first attempt. They tried many other attempts but just wasn’t going to happen as the wind and waves increased. They finally tried to tie off on the pillars and just sit to wait it out. I finally made the decision to call 911 for them. Their was also another fella there and he was on the phone with them as well ( he turned out to be a paramedic). long story short they ended up using divers to get some gas out to them as they were almost out. Then they journeyed towards Des Moines’s Marina which is shelter. Hope they made it ! winds were in the 30-40 mph category and crazy big waves at times. In conditions like that you have to be extremely experienced with boating and loading onto trailers, and judging by those pics unless they got that little boat on the trailer and up the ramp extremely quickly (under 15 seconds or so) the waves slamming the back of the boat would have swamped it very quickly. You basically have 1 attempt to get it right and you need to be up that ramp faster than lightning! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 What was up with Portland earlier! Perhaps Phil can explain ! The Philadelphia experiment? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 36 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: The one guy driving the truck jumped into the boat to see if he could give some pointers to the boat driver but he never made it back to his truck. So truck sat there being hit wave after wave. Trailer was pushed sideways People don't respect ocean/rivers enough. They are way more powerful then they think 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 15 minutes ago, MossMan said: That truck is getting a salt water bath! Should be nice and rusty in the not too distant future! Three hours of it! Windows open They were electric windows and he had the key so we could do nothing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: People don't respect ocean/rivers enough. They are way more powerful then they think Agree 1000 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 13, 2020 Report Share Posted November 13, 2020 The wind woke me up around 5:45 AM. Gusts around 6:30 AM were quite hefty 40mph+. I lost a few limbs off the fir tree. I just now have time to look at all 12z runs. No real big changes. A lot of rain, mountain snows, although the EURO is more bullish than the GFS with that. Still watching Monday night-Tuesday morning as a very deep low may develop offshore. Depending on the exact trough axis position should a sub 970mb low spin up and swing closer to us we'll have to watch that closely. I don't see any signs of a good/amplified block yet. I would say so far this November is playing out like most 1st year Ninas. Real Winter kicks in late December or mid-January usually in 1st year Ninas. Who knows though. Onto 00z! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 After the heavy rain of this morning, it was really a great day with scattered heavy showers and wind with plenty of sun in between. 1.24" for the day so far with 3.49" for the month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Was this posted? 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 44 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: The wind woke me up around 5:45 AM. Gusts around 6:30 AM were quite hefty 40mph+. I lost a few limbs off the fir tree. I just now have time to look at all 12z runs. No real big changes. A lot of rain, mountain snows, although the EURO is more bullish than the GFS with that. Still watching Monday night-Tuesday morning as a very deep low may develop offshore. Depending on the exact trough axis position should a sub 970mb low spin up and swing closer to us we'll have to watch that closely. I don't see any signs of a good/amplified block yet. I would say so far this November is playing out like most 1st year Ninas. Real Winter kicks in late December or mid-January usually in 1st year Ninas. Who knows though. Onto 00z! For a winter that is saving its stuff for later, this is going tremendously. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 15 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: For a winter that is saving its stuff for later, this is going tremendously. So far this cold season has been better than the last one and we’re just getting started. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 50/44 today. 0.56” of rain this morning with gusts of 30-40mph a lot of the day. We did have a decent amount of sunshine here this afternoon here SE of the Olympic mountains. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 21 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: For a winter that is saving its stuff for later, this is going tremendously. It really is. The next two weeks it seems we'll see periods of NWLY flow for more rains and mountain snows. No signs of endless ridging over us either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 50/44 today. 0.56” of rain this morning with gusts of 30-40mph a lot of the day. We did have a decent amount of sunshine here this afternoon here SE of the Olympic mountains. Exactly the same temperature range here, with 0.63". 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: It really is. The next two weeks it seems we'll see periods of NWLY flow for more rains and mountain snows. No signs of endless ridging over us either. It is going pretty much like I expected it to go, given La Niña conditions. I do expect there to be episodes of lowland snow later. Nothing epic, more like climo averages. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: It is going pretty much like I expected it to go, given La Niña conditions. I do expect there to be episodes of lowland snow later. Nothing epic, more like climo averages. Really if you reflect on how October and the 1st two weeks of November have progressed we should be very happy with things. A few cold shots. Nice mountain snows. Powerhouse westerly jet and perhaps a few deep lows to track. This has been far more interesting and active than previous years. The next two weeks it seems we'll see periods of NWLY flow for more rains and mountain snows. No signs of endless ridging over us either. Can't rule out pre-Thanksgiving snow for someone. C'MON!!!! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 .54 precipitation here 50/43 currently 46 with winds 6-23 mph Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Bam as soon as it got dark the snow came, wind blowing it too. I will be up until 12-1am so I'll keep track of any accumulations. For now it seems wet. 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 17 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Meadows snow totals glitching a bit. 172”??? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 47 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: So far this cold season has been better than the last one and we’re just getting started. Pretty 07-08 like pattern right now it seems. Then again, we could barely manage any precip from cold fronts (read: any cold fronts at all) last Dec-Jan aside from that one storm in mid January. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Pretty 07-08 like pattern right now it seems. Then again, we could barely manage any precip from cold fronts (read: any cold fronts at all) last Dec-Jan aside from that one storm in mid January. And was Fall 07-08 this D**n dry down here? I basically did not have a transition season. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 17 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 16 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Bam as soon as it got dark the snow came, wind blowing it too. I will be up until 12-1am so I'll keep track of any accumulations. For now it seems wet. Wind blown snow! The best 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 5 hours ago, iFred said: Kind of looks like a reset. Some might see the 500mb heights building in the SE, the positive NAO, and emergence of a NPac ridge at the tail end of the run as a setup to something possibly fun in December. Some might even say that this is all in line with multiple seasonal forecasts that painted once-in-a-generation Nina strength with strong and consistent signals for at least decent DJF troughing. Well +NAO would destructively interfere with -PNA (theoretically) beyond 4-5 days, so that wouldn’t be good, but there’s a growing signal for a Urals High/PV weakening event in December. MJO crossing IPWP would fit that sequence as well. So I’d highlight December 10-20 as the first opportunity for legitimate winter weather out there. 4 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 I was just looking at the long range models for this winter and all of them paint the same picture. GOA ridge / NW trough. The CFS and Canadian like January for the coldest anomalies and the ECMWF likes February. It's pretty impressive to see them all with a cold look though. Tropical Tidbits has a feature that gives a composite for the last 12 CFS runs and it clearly shows January being cold. Big anoms for a 12 run average. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, Phil said: Well +NAO destructively interferes with -PNA (theoretically) beyond 4-5 days, so that wouldn’t be good, but there’s a growing signal for a Urals High/PV weakening event in December. MJO crossing IPWP would fit that sequence as well. So I’d highlight December 10-20 as the first legit opportunity of the winter out there. Yeah...I have grown to appreciate -NAO more than I used to. Works great to build ridge bridges across the Arctic in combo with a -PNA. I'm actually pleased with the observed weather we have been seeing so far. Some solid cold snaps, but nothing too crazy. It's good that it's holding back for now. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Lightning to our north! Looks like its in Abbotsford 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 This wind event came in even lower than I thought it would. Barely anything fell from the tress today in my area. Usually even a moderate SW wind event brings down a fair amount of small branches. Pretty chilly out there considering we have pretty strong onshore flow and a mixed atmosphere right now. Currently 43 here. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 No wonder I got nearly nothing at my house! Perfectly within that Olympic wind shadow. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 19 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Lightning to our north! Looks like its in Abbotsford Looks like it’s heading to the SE, so will pass to our east. So far, nobody from Abby has chimed in on the Canadian forum about it. Update: Some responses now. They’re saying the t-storm was dramatic but short-lived. One report of it briefly turning to snow. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 16 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Looks like it’s heading to the SE, so will pass to our east. So far, nobody from Abby has chimed in on the Canadian forum about it. Update: Some responses now. They’re saying the t-storm was dramatic but short-lived. One report of it briefly turning to snow. That sounds pretty cool. I think this has been a very well rounded November so far. No complaints from me. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: No wonder I got nearly nothing at my house! Perfectly within that Olympic wind shadow. I was in Auburn today and it was fairly impressive there. Looks like it was lighter up here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 Was quite a bit windier today than I thought it was going to be, I have quite a clean up to do after this westerly windstorm. Still gusty out there but the power is back on. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 14, 2020 Report Share Posted November 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, MossMan said: Was quite a bit windier today than I thought it was going to be, I have quite a clean up to do after this westerly windstorm. Still gusty out there but the power is back on. Hopefully these showers increase in coverage before I sleep. Just when it was picking up it all dried up. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 17 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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