Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 10 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly 10 Day Rainfall totals 10 Day Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 10 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly 10 Day Rainfall totals 10 Day Snowfall totals Pretty incredible watching that GOA low endlessly rotate while roasting Canada. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Onto the GEFS for guidance after Day 7-8..... but why not post la-la land for the fun of it. Day 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Had to be February. The one overrunning event in December had a lot of mid level warmth. Here's the news story I was looking at. Mentions 2 feet of snow along Hood Canal and collapsing roofs from the rain that followed in December 1995. https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2001-feb-17-mn-26655-story.html Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Here's the news story I was looking at. Mentions 2 feet of snow along Hood Canal and collapsing roofs from the rain that followed in December 1995. https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2001-feb-17-mn-26655-story.html Probably a typo referring to December 1996. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 The SSWE peaks I believe around the 7th, so when does that begin to affect the North America large scale pattern and when would models reflect that. I don't know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 00z GEFS has begun. C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 17 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Probably a typo referring to December 1996. Yeah the one I was thinking of was February 13th, 1995. If I remember correctly it stayed snow for portions of the Hood Canal area long enough for them to get at least 2 feet. East wind was too dry for areas East of the Sound to get hardly anything I believe. https://products.kitsapsun.com/archive/1995/02-13/304128_west_sound_weather__winter_hits.html Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 384-hour GFS... score? 1 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 I vaguely remember on my old vhs tapes of January 1996 that the Kitsap area got hammered with wet snow which caused major tree damage...I thought it was the first week of January or so? Then we all got hammered later in the month. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 This is just sad. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 The ssw appears to shake things up enough so midwest gets theirs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 00z GEFS Day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 I remember that lovely day! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 384-hour GFS... score? Party at Phil’s house! #2cold2snow Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is just sad. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, MossMan said: I remember that lovely day! What app is that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Clearly the 384 hour GFS has a perfect grasp on things this time!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 GEFS Day 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, mtep said: What app is that? Dark Sky 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 All the way down to 48F on this pleasant Juneuary evening. Had a very nice day with the sportsbook tho so it's all good. Back to Cyberpunk 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is just sad. It's objectively hard to imagine a worse pattern than the one we are stuck in right now. I've never seen such a relentlessly persistent GOA trough before. Hopefully it will finally start to break down around the middle of the month. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 GEFS still uuuuugly at day 13. GOA trough hanging on strong and Canada still roasting with an Eastern US trough to boot. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: All the way down to 48F on this pleasant Juneuary evening. Had a very nice day with the sportsbook tho so it's all good. Back to Cyberpunk Glad you're enjoying Cyberpunk. I've been playing Red Dead 2 quite a bit since I got it and it's worth playing just for the visuals and setting - some people might not like all the horse riding but I love it. Gorgeous game. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Can’t be understated how strong a signal that is at that range... 513dm just south of the Aleutians on an ensemble blend is remarkable. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 It can only get better.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 0z does at least once again show a metric sh*t ton of cold air pouring into Canada at the end of the run. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 0z does at least once again show a metric sh*t ton of cold air pouring into Canada at the end of the run. -45C 850mb temps..just a bit nippy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: -45C 850mb temps..just a bit nippy. Extrapolate a little bit past 384 hours and vodka express!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 For sale in the Lake Stevens area...IFred will need this to get out of his driveway in 380hrs! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 I really think being it is January 3rd with this SSWE not yet at its peak is too early for models to latch onto the coming major pattern change. Patience. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: Funny how revered 1995-96 was considering by the mid portion of this month most had not seen a single flake as well. The early Decrember event was entirely ice, for all practical purposes. I thought about that one but I think we had some light snow/sleet at the onset of the 12/9 ice storm. And then we essentially had snow at midwinter with the measurable storm on 1/18. So I think it's safe to say that it was operating on a faster timeline than this year. 2001-02 was another one with just stray flakes through midwinter, and then measurable snow on 1/21. 1989-90 does fit the bill though if you stretch it past 30, I don't think it had any local flakeage until the end of January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, MossMan said: For sale in the Lake Stevens area...IFred will need this to get out of his driveway in 380hrs! The blade ain’t nearly big enough for a post-SSW world. Although I’d love to see my wife try to shatter that blade with her Mazda CX-5... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Front Ranger said: Or was that February 1995? Yeah that was the overrunning storm on 2/15/1995. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The blade ain’t nearly big enough for a post-SSW world. Although I’d love to see my wife try to shatter that blade with her Mazda CX-5... We're car twins. Solid vehicle but no arctic air anywhere nearby since I bought mine . . . 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 00z GEFS, CMCE Day 10-16. Not just yet. Too soon to reflect the SSWE. Once they do, the NPAC/WPAC jet will back off with Aleutian low retreating leading to sharper retrogression. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 4, 2021 Report Share Posted January 4, 2021 Can’t wait to move back to the East Coast. Hopefully sometime this year. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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