January 2021 weather observations for the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

10 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly

10 Day Rainfall totals

10 Day Snowfall totals

[bainbridgekid]

Just now, DJ Droppin said:

10 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly

10 Day Rainfall totals

 

10 Day Snowfall totals

 

Pretty incredible watching that GOA low endlessly rotate while roasting Canada.

[Gradient Keeper]

Onto the GEFS for guidance after Day 7-8..... but why not post la-la land for the fun of it.

 

 

Day 12

 

 

 

[bainbridgekid]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Had to be February.  The one overrunning event in December had a lot of mid level warmth.

Here's the news story I was looking at. Mentions 2 feet of snow along Hood Canal and collapsing roofs from the rain that followed in December 1995.

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2001-feb-17-mn-26655-story.html

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Here's the news story I was looking at. Mentions 2 feet of snow along Hood Canal and collapsing roofs from the rain that followed in December 1995.

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2001-feb-17-mn-26655-story.html

Probably a typo referring to December 1996.

[Gradient Keeper]

The SSWE peaks I believe around the 7th, so when does that begin to affect the North America large scale pattern and when would models reflect that. I don't know.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS has begun. C'MON!!!!

[bainbridgekid]

17 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Probably a typo referring to December 1996.

Yeah the one I was thinking of was February 13th, 1995. If I remember correctly it stayed snow for portions of the Hood Canal area long enough for them to get at least 2 feet. East wind was too dry for areas East of the Sound to get hardly anything I believe.

https://products.kitsapsun.com/archive/1995/02-13/304128_west_sound_weather__winter_hits.html

[TT-SEA]

384-hour GFS... score?

 

[MossMan]

I vaguely remember on my old vhs tapes of January 1996 that the Kitsap area got hammered with wet snow which caused major tree damage...I thought it was the first week of January or so? Then we all got hammered later in the month. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is just sad. 

[GobBluth]

The ssw appears to shake things up enough so midwest gets theirs.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS Day 9

[MossMan]

I remember that lovely day! 

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

384-hour GFS... score?

 

Party at Phil’s house!

#2cold2snow

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is just sad. 

[mtep]

10 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I remember that lovely day! 

What app is that?

[Omegaraptor]

Clearly the 384 hour GFS has a perfect grasp on things this time!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

GEFS Day 11

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, mtep said:

What app is that?

Dark Sky 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

All the way down to 48F on this pleasant Juneuary evening.

Had a very nice day with the sportsbook tho so it's all good.

Back to Cyberpunk

[bainbridgekid]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is just sad. 

It's objectively hard to imagine a worse pattern than the one we are stuck in right now. I've never seen such a relentlessly persistent GOA trough before. Hopefully it will finally start to break down around the middle of the month.

[bainbridgekid]

GEFS still uuuuugly at day 13. GOA trough hanging on strong and Canada still roasting with an Eastern US trough to boot.

 

[Omegaraptor]

12 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

All the way down to 48F on this pleasant Juneuary evening.

Had a very nice day with the sportsbook tho so it's all good.

Back to Cyberpunk

Glad you're enjoying Cyberpunk. I've been playing Red Dead 2 quite a bit since I got it and it's worth playing just for the visuals and setting - some people might not like all the horse riding but I love it. Gorgeous game.

[Deweydog]

Can’t be understated how strong a signal that is at that range... 513dm just south of the Aleutians on an ensemble blend is remarkable.

[SouthHillFrosty]

It can only get better....

[Deweydog]

0z does at least once again show a metric sh*t ton of cold air pouring into Canada at the end of the run.  

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

0z does at least once again show a metric sh*t ton of cold air pouring into Canada at the end of the run.  

-45C 850mb temps..just a bit nippy.

[Omegaraptor]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

-45C 850mb temps..just a bit nippy.

Extrapolate a little bit past 384 hours and vodka express!!!

[MossMan]

For sale in the Lake Stevens area...IFred will need this to get out of his driveway in 380hrs! 

[Gradient Keeper]

I really think being it is January 3rd with this SSWE not yet at its peak is too early for models to latch onto the coming major pattern change. Patience.

[BLI snowman]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Funny how revered 1995-96 was considering by the mid portion of this month most had not seen a single flake as well.  The early Decrember event was entirely ice, for all practical purposes.

I thought about that one but I think we had some light snow/sleet at the onset of the 12/9 ice storm. And then we essentially had snow at midwinter with the measurable storm on 1/18. So I think it's safe to say that it was operating on a faster timeline than this year.

2001-02 was another one with just stray flakes through midwinter, and then measurable snow on 1/21.

1989-90 does fit the bill though if you stretch it past 30, I don't think it had any local flakeage until the end of January.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

For sale in the Lake Stevens area...IFred will need this to get out of his driveway in 380hrs! 

The blade ain’t nearly big enough for a post-SSW world.

Although I’d love to see my wife try to shatter that blade with her Mazda CX-5...

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Or was that February 1995?

Yeah that was  the overrunning storm on 2/15/1995. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Day 6

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[bainbridgekid]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

The blade ain’t nearly big enough for a post-SSW world.

Although I’d love to see my wife try to shatter that blade with her Mazda CX-5...

We're car twins.

Solid vehicle but no arctic air anywhere nearby since I bought mine . . .

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS, CMCE Day 10-16. Not just yet. Too soon to reflect the SSWE. Once they do, the NPAC/WPAC jet will back off with Aleutian low retreating leading to sharper retrogression.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[wxmet]

Can’t wait to move back to the East Coast. Hopefully sometime this year.