I hereby allocate the next 2 hours to an open discussion about whether or not Tim only posts good or bad maps and whether he's a consummate truth teller or whether it is low key trolling. This forum to resume at 7:30 for the 00z GFS.
*hits gavel*
Those who work at SPC and I follow on twitter are certainly saying this is the highest risk event of the year so far so yes, definitely possible. The one thing that may hold them back is that models are not showing a ton of convection over central/southern OK so they may not have the confidence to go high if there is any question the cap may not break. We will find out soon enough!
I agree on the gloom part... but for me the cold max is just insult to injury. I actually don't mind 60s and rain in the warm season. I can do without 40s.
I'm sure glad we got those couple of nice days last week. There is just something about gloom with long days that rubs me wrong. It's worth it to get a much below normal max like today though.
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