gusky Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 I don't have any met training or anything, so I just spent a while trying to teach myself what's causing a cold front tonight. I got confused for a while but now I understand it: there's high pressure up above Alaska, and strong lows in the N Pacific. The gradient is drawing cold air down over the water, at which point it is being drawn along the Canadian coast in trail of the low pressure that has passed over us, causing a very modified arctic front that will cause upper air temps to be cold. It took me a while to understand why the cold air was being drawn here and not SW into the Pacific but now I see. Northwesterly wind to the coast changes to WSW after the cold front leaves and makes way for ridging into the extended. Am I basically right here, or am I misinterpreting it? Having fun trying to work this out on my own! 5 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 38 here now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, gusky said: I don't have any met training or anything, so I just spent a while trying to teach myself what's causing a cold front tonight. I got confused for a while but now I understand it: there's high pressure up above Alaska, and strong lows in the N Pacific. The gradient is drawing cold air down over the water, at which point it is being drawn along the Canadian coast in trail of the low pressure that has passed over us, causing a very modified arctic front that will cause upper air temps to be cold. It took me a while to understand why the cold air was being drawn here and not SW into the Pacific but now I see. Northwesterly wind to the coast changes to WSW after the cold front leaves and makes way for ridging into the extended. Am I basically right here, or am I misinterpreting it? Having fun trying to work this out on my own! I'm in the same boat as you so I appreciate hearing someone walk through it. What you said makes sense to me. I would add that the westerlies are another reason the air tends to move in an easterly direction independent of the surface pressure pattern. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RayRay Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 !! alert alert there will be no snow tonight, spread the word! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 46F with showers. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tjb723 Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 Snow now mixing with rain here at 475 ft. Been under the CZ for a while, temp has dropped from 43->35. Last of the snow in my yard is trying to put up a fight to survive another day. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 Getting kinda dark… 36.9. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone! It will change. Winter will not be lasting in the midwest/east. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: It will change. Winter will not be lasting in the midwest/east. Love the positivity, thanks. At least I’ll be able to get some more sleep the next few weeks. Late night model riding takes the life out of me! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 Geo tracker getting it done!! Our Maltese loves the snow 6 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 This afternoon marks the first time I have had muddy dogs since Christmas Eve morning. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 hour ago, Fircrest said: Well, that was quick. I-5 is already open! Feel free to head to PDX. Birthday dinner reservations with family cancel ….surprised it opened already. Water still rising down there though. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 7, 2022 Report Share Posted January 7, 2022 My 26 gallon sump pump bucket must have torrents of water dumping into it! Pump going off every 45 seconds……yikes! .34 for the day and 4.42 for month 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Was just watching the Leavenworth live cam again and it now appears to be fairly windy with the trees moving back and forth. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 25 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Geo tracker getting it done!! Our Maltese loves the snow Love old Suzukis. My favorite is probably the samurai, but I do also like the front end of the Geo Tracker Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Well it just switched to snow here in Gold Bar! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 45 minutes ago, MossMan said: Getting kinda dark… 36.9. I'm sure you'll manage to get some snow. A raw, damp 38° where I am at in Bothell. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Holy westerly wind surge! Surprised the power is still on. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Cle Elum still hanging onto freezing temps, but barely. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Encouraging news from Michael Snyder on the far extended. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Mike Snyder>cliff mass. 4 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Midnight high of 49…currently at the low today of 41. Haven’t had any rain since this morning. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Christensen87 said: This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone! It's one run. You have to use a multiple run average with that model. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 recs to remove a 1' tall ice berm from the city plow that is literally as thick as concrete? my blower will not even touch it. too solid to even shovel. I don't have a plow blade Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 hours ago, MossMan said: No split flow dullness this season so far. Uh huhuhihuh split flow sucks Bevis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Christensen87 said: This pretty much sums up the CFS for the next month It’s so depressing not having any model eye candy in the works. Here’s to hoping for another great Feb. Happy Friday everyone! good time to take that beach vaca to cabo and return for the Feb fun 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said: Its coming What's he basing that on? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Did I see that somebody is saying the La Nina is over or ending. There is so much stuff to go through on here I might have misunderstood something. At any rate there is no imminent end to the Nina that I can see this year. In fact I would have expected some warming of the ENSO regions to begin by now if a warm event was going to happen this year. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Did I see that somebody is saying the La Nina is over or ending. There is so much stuff to go through on here I might have misunderstood something. At any rate there is no imminent end to the Nina that I can see this year. In fact I would have expected some warming of the ENSO regions to begin by now if a warm event was going to happen this year. Phil said a Nino might be hard to avoid at this point. The latest update from BOM in Australia also says we head towards neutral in the spring and then a weak Nino by the end of summer. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Phil said a Nino might be hard to avoid at this point. The latest update from BOM also says we head towards neutral in the spring and then a weak Nino by the end of summer. FWIW weak ninos arent necessarily bad for snow production in the winters, though some places are far more favored than others. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, KingstonWX said: FWIW weak ninos arent necessarily bad for snow production in the winters, though some places are far more favored than others. Yeah... not saying anything about next winter. Its probably pretty irrelevant to our chances. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Snowing again very lightly, 32 degrees and starting to accumulate on the street. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Anyone got recommendations for good intro to meteorology online courses? Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, gusky said: Anyone got recommendations for good intro to meteorology online courses? I took one a Bellevue College many years ago. The class was good, and the professor was 2 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Hmmm 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 That house on the Magnolia bluff has collapsed. Weight of the land push it over and pancaked it. 1 2 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 11 minutes ago, jakerepp said: I took one a Bellevue College many years ago. The class was good, and the professor was Looked it up, I'm not really to the point of seeking an actual degree, mostly just looking for informal introductions. Thanks for the tip though! 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RayRay Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 33.4F right now. alert alert there will be no snow tonight, spread the word! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2022 Report Share Posted January 8, 2022 Tim! How did the 18z Euro look for snowfall tonight? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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