SouthHillFrosty Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, Kuna_Idaho_Dude said: Man all those DVDs, love it! We live in the dark ages still with very crappy HughsNet satellite internet which is the equivalent to 1990’s dialup so no streaming options! Also we only get 1 bar cell reception in the master bedroom otherwise no cell service. Fun fact, Netflix still offers the DVD mail rental service and we do it! 3 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: We live in the dark ages still with very crappy HughsNet satellite internet which is the equivalent to 1990’s dialup so no streaming options! Also we only get 1 bar cell reception in the master bedroom otherwise no cell service. Fun fact, Netflix still offers the DVD mail rental service and we do it! Have you looked at fiber optic wifi? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 GEFS Day 10 v 18z 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS Day 10 v 18z That's good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 GEFS 850s Day 11ish v 18z v 12z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS 850s Day 11ish v 18z v 12z Killing off more and more Sh*t members every run. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 GEFS 850s Day 12ish vs 18z vs 12z. Solidly better than both. 00z GFS/GEFS puts us back on track, imo. Since the whole setup takes place days 8-10 now the euro OP will be watching. Unless your name is rob 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Had to wait a month but won $1000 in the work pool by predicting the Packers would lose to the 49'ers in the (DR) 13-10. That also means it's gonna snow a foot, in the next two weeks. 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS 850s Day 12ish vs 18z vs 12z. Solidly better than both. 00z GFS/GEFS puts us back on track, imo. Since the whole setup takes place days 8-10 now the euro OP will be watching. Unless your name is rob Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: anything after day 7 is meaningless right??? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: anything after day 7 is meaningless right??? Pretty much unless there is ensemble support. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Another run where the GEFS control model went below -10 on the 850s. At least 5 runs in a row now where it was in the -11 to -20 range. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Nice improvement on the GEFS. This thing might still happen. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Dissension in the ranks! We didn’t see this in the lead up to #december2remember. Has to be a good/bad sign! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 40 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: 34” here. Would almost double my season total. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Nice! Best GEFS run out of at least the last 5 runs on the 850s. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Lol CMCE says nothing to see here 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Was almost nice enough today for a touch of spring fever. 47/35 with clear skies and no frost this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Lol CMCE says nothing to see here Thankfully it's the CMCE. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: People are going to have to see for themselves I guess. Just mind boggling. Live here for the past 5 years and say the same thing. You'll get plenty of sloppy seconds snow, but it will not get Arctic cold. Jan 2017 was the end of the road. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Was almost nice enough today for a touch of spring fever. 47/35 with clear skies and no frost this morning. Different story here with 37/30. Currently 32 with dense fog. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 GFS ensembles a bit better. Nothing exciting. Not yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 This thing with the GEFS control model isn't something to just ignore. Going into the December event it was consistently cold (although less so than this time) compared to the operational models. This is at least 5 consecutive runs of -13 or lower 850s. Not sure I've ever seen it that cold at this time frame. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: GFS ensembles a bit better. Nothing exciting. Not yet. At least the trends are good right now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 One interesting thing about the GEFS is the surface pressure gradients are NE with solidly below normal 850s. Pretty legit cold. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: 34” here. Would almost double my season total. 2 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Meanwhile the impressive King County inversion continues. Currently 32 or below for many places with dense fog or low clouds. Enumclaw continues to be the cold spot with 28. I think the seepage from central WA is what allows this area to perform so well in these situations. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 So far, I like the look of the EURO, I think it will end up good. The trough southeast of Alaska is stronger than other models and there is less of a trough to the southwest of it to mess things up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 A lot of oddities with this inversion. Central WA is colder than the Basin and North Bend is colder than the passes. Normally with offshore gradients the passes are cold with mixing / warming on the approaches to the passes. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 GEFS control drops to an insane -22 on this run. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 hours ago, jakerepp said: Wow, @KeVamgedonhas a new avatar. You are probably a lot more attractive than the average TWF user. Yes, nothing better than beer, my bikini, and snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2022 Report Share Posted January 23, 2022 Back half of GEFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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