Bryant Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 With that said, would be nice to see the Euro put out some nice snow totals on the 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 How is it that the wrf and the gfs show me getting 8-10 inches and the RGEM and euro show me getting 3 lol? I’ve never had a situation where within 12 hours of the event theres been that much variation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: GFS, not Euro. Yes thank you, that's what I was intending to say. My hands didn't coordinate with my brain. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Leavenworth has 19-35" of snow depth in this image Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Fox 12 broke the news about having a midnight high for today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, gusky said: Yes thank you, that's what I was intending to say. My hands didn't coordinate with my brain. It’s alright. I’d love it if that were the Euro map. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 30 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z 3km NAM for 4PM today. Snow from Seattle northward and W over to Kitsap. Rain/snow mix from Tacoma southward with the southern EPSL getting warm nosed and going straight to rain, probably due to downsloping easterlies. That's great. By 6PM it shows King County southward being pretty much rain with Snohomish northward and Kitsap still snowing. By 8PM Kitsap has mostly mixed out and Snohomish is on it's way to rain as well. Totals through 1AM at the bottom. Must be a lot of very wet snow because the dark blues don't necessarily correlate to high accumulations. Another night of live entertainment on the forum! If anything…..will enjoy the snow through everyone’s reports and excitement! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 19 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Always Or is it saying thats an early switchover to rain? Whats total precip map say? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: How is it that the wrf and the gfs show me getting 8-10 inches and the RGEM and euro show me getting 3 lol? I’ve never had a situation where within 12 hours of the event theres been that much variation I expect a full report later on of the actual event so we can hold these models that gave false hope accountable!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 EPS has also been trending up, however slightly. 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, gusky said: EPS has also been trending up, however slightly. But temps VERY marginal Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Oh and here y'all go, idk if anyone wants this but feel free to add anything you want. For the hard workers of the night crew https://open.spotify.com/playlist/0C386XfqyBpxIesnJMc2yX?si=aada62c16f4e4fa2 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Southerlies start to push in tonight. Let's hope we can get some good snow before then! Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, gusky said: Oh and here y'all go, idk if anyone wants this but feel free to add anything you want. For the hard workers of the night crew https://open.spotify.com/playlist/0C386XfqyBpxIesnJMc2yX?si=aada62c16f4e4fa2 Are these quasi-weather/nighttime related tracks? Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, jakerepp said: Are these quasi-weather/nighttime related tracks? I didn't really decide yet. I just kinda added stuff, we can make it weather/nighttime related if we want. 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, gusky said: I didn't really decide yet. I just kinda added stuff, we can make it weather/nighttime related if we want. Snow, Rocky Mountain High, Dancing in the Dark, Sunshine on my Shoulders...seemed like there was a theme 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 925s are continuing to cool. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 35 minutes ago, gusky said: Is this WRF overestimating easterly drying? That and also snowfall totals south of Everett. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 7 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Snow, Rocky Mountain High, Dancing in the Dark, Sunshine on my Shoulders...seemed like there was a theme Those were actually unintentional, but yeah I see that now! I can see clearly now was intentional though. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 12 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Reminds me of the old wireless phone adds using the bars! This is the correct order 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 37* and East wind 1-6 Dew points in area around the 36 mark 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 35 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: How is it that the wrf and the gfs show me getting 8-10 inches and the RGEM and euro show me getting 3 lol? I’ve never had a situation where within 12 hours of the event theres been that much variation Literally happens all of the time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Early Friday morning is starting to look like it could be a pretty significant windstorm. 12z GFS and ICON get pretty close to a major event for western OR. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 It is actually slightly cooler for most of the early run, though. Consistently 1-2F cooler than 06z 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: whered they post this? dont see this on their twitter or page Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, gusky said: It is actually slightly cooler for most of the early run, though. Consistently 1-2F cooler than 06z Certainly looks significantly too warm for Bellingham since their currently 25/17 with outflow. Going to be a difficult race to get that colder drier air South of Skagit County today before the warm air advection begins though I think. Really close call for the Puget Sound area. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 10 AM 925s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Certainly looks significantly too warm for Bellingham. Going to be a difficult race to get that colder drier air South of Skagit County today before the warm air advection begins though I think. Really close call for the Puget Sound area. I'd like to think that it will end up in our favor, but I certainly see opportunity for the warm air to win out. 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 56 minutes ago, gusky said: Is this WRF overestimating easterly drying? Those are southerlies cutting away at the snow on this map, not the easterlies. You can see the wind barbs pointing SSW over the south Sound. If the wind patterns depicted here were accurate, this snowfall map would be alright. Peeking at precip maps this is warming+melting, not drying. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 OLM-BLI gradient is steepening a little, now down to -1.5 mb. This should help to pull a little of that cold Fraser outflow south through Seattle. But it's still a weak gradient. Absolutely no wind in N. Seattle at the moment. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Those are southerlies cutting away at the snow on this map, not the easterlies. You can see the wind barbs pointing SSW over the south Sound. If the wind patterns depicted here were accurate, this snowfall map would be alright. Peeking at precip maps this is warming+melting, not drying. Thanks! I'm slowly learning more about the local weather. Still got a lot to learn. 2 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Certainly looks significantly too warm for Bellingham since their currently 25/17 with outflow. Going to be a difficult race to get that colder drier air South of Skagit County today before the warm air advection begins though I think. Really close call for the Puget Sound area. Yep, euro Is lost with the temps around Bellingham. Also way off for snow there. Going to be more than that. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 HRRR certainly paints a short lived picture. Snow really starts up around 3, turning to rain around 7 1 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 I'm going to loose my mind missing out on that storm in Eastern Washington. I could leave and I have workers here at my business but I have a hard time leaving and not feeling guilty. To get two storms there in a 96hr period that each dump 8 inches is rare there. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Early Friday morning is starting to look like it could be a pretty significant windstorm. 12z GFS and ICON get pretty close to a major event for western OR. Earlier it was looking strong for pdx, but now it’s shifted south some. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Temp was dropping a little this morning, down to 35 when I left for work and some wet snow was mixing in. I thought that was kind of weird given snow levels down here were supposed to be fairly high and going up to 7,000' later today. Then my wife just texts me and says its snowing and down to 33. I'm sure we'll get the expected warm up, but kind of interesting, and perhaps a good sign for folks much further north. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: HRRR certainly paints a short lived picture. Snow really starts up around 3, turning to rain around 7 And this is where it's tricky. Depending on wind and precip rates if we can actually get snow falling then it will probably last longer than forecast says. Normally these events have snow falling longer. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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