Well, here we are, only a few days away from met Spring and for some of you it has already felt like Spring has arrived early this year. What will this month entail? Is Severe Wx going to come out of the gates hot this year??? Is there a durable Spring tease on the horizon??? I'm sure I speak for many on here and most would like an early Spring this year compared to previous years. Given the nature of our pattern this season, I'm almost certain there will be plenty of severe wx chances this month but how far north is the question.
Let's dive in...
Last night's 00z EPS suggesting a large scale warm spell starting around the 7th or so while the 00z GEFS are suggesting the cold will try and press.
There is a storm system brewing to open up the first week of the month and could be the first one to produce some possible severe wx across the S MW/OHV. Them models are showing a very wet signal and may be a tell-tale sign of where this year's Spring pattern is heading.