Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 While the GFS was alright, with some weird things not seen on some other models-- the ICON, which is definitely not the best model, is MUCH better. Best it has ever been for the entirety of the past two weeks. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM says f*ck you PDX on Tuesday It does the same up here, just a hundred miles or to the SW and we both win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 https://www.reddit.com/r/Seattle/comments/emlmha/so_were_still_two_days_away_from_the_snow_right/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share Posted 50 mins ago. The cat is really out of the bag now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 A big portion of that snow is now actually coming from the surface low on Tuesday instead of the anemic ULL. Real curious now to see what the euro does with this.Yeah, really interested to see if EURO backs off all the snow it showed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I got a feeling....that tonight’s gonna be a good night, that tonight’s gonna be aaa goo goo night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GFS is setting up things up for a backdoor blast and extended cold in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soicandownloadattachedfile Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 https://www.reddit.com/r/Seattle/comments/emlmha/so_were_still_two_days_away_from_the_snow_right/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share Posted 50 mins ago. The cat is really out of the bag now.The bananas always get like that, especially because they are dirt cheap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 This doesn't look too bad for Sunday potential. We must take the lowest possible solution and run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ok Tim.I look at the plateful maps for every system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Hopefully the GFS ensembles cave in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Do bananas help make it snow? My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 An hour away from the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Do bananas help make it snow?30000lbs of Bananas! We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Gonna be all kinds of back and forth until we get there I guess. Buckle up! Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM, on the contrary to the GFS, is actually stronger and further north. Valley gets rain sadly but PDX gets a big snowstorm with east winds. Weird how different models are for that thing... 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 30000lbs of Bananas!Gonna need a bigger boat. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z GFS is a solid improvement for me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM, on the contrary to the GFS, is actually stronger and further north. Valley gets rain sadly but PDX gets a big snowstorm with east winds. Weird how different models are for that thing...Tigerwoodslibedo has locked this in https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM, on the contrary to the GFS, is actually stronger and further north. Valley gets rain sadly but PDX gets a big snowstorm with east winds. Weird how different models are for that thing...It all depends on how far south the really cold air gets. No one knows how the moisture coming in off the ocean is going interact with the cold and easterly gradients. Listen to Dewey. Some of the models have a low that doesn’t have a lot of lift and that gets shredded by dry East wind. Good news is every run is different. GOLU = GO out look up. Do this Sunday through Friday for answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ensemble mean dropped 2C at PDX this run. 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GEM continues to look awful, delayed start and early end to the event. Not sure how much faith to put into this model since it's been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Real view not a model. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM lol Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Real view not a model.F*ck that! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Real view not a model.Get'n real! My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Low locations by 10PM Thursday... Good placement but the details are really in the motion and orientation of the storm that are gonna determine how much precipitation we're going to get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I'm not sure the Japanese are aware the Cascades or Rockies exist. 4 PM on Sunday. 4 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ensemble improvement. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM lolComing soon to a GFS and Euro near you! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Definitely a good night to watch from dusk till dawn. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ensemble improvement. Pleased to say that the PDX ensemble mean gets below -11ºC again at the 850mb level. The mean also skirts -10ºC on the 14th and the operational is actually a bit of a warm outlier then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Low locations by 10PM Thursday... Lows that spin in the same place for 3 days become quite boring... not the same as tracking the path of a dynamic low racing inland like what we have on Sunday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GEM lol The GEM operational has been running quite a bit warmer than its ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Lows that spin in the same place for 3 days become quite boring... not the same as tracking the path of a dynamic low racing inland like what we have on Sunday. Didn't you get like 4 feet of snow from one of those meandering lows last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GEM operational has been running quite a bit warmer than its ensembles.Gfs ensembles are improving up here for snowfall on both Sunday and mid week. Did you see the track map Hawkstwelve posted earlier? Most of those tracks are perfect for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Uh, the GFS now has a subfreezing high in Brownsville, TX (26N on the gulf). That’s not going to happen. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Lows that spin in the same place for 3 days become quite boring... not the same as tracking the path of a dynamic low racing inland like what we have on Sunday.Not when they toss up 3 days of snow. 2 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Didn't you get like 4 feet of snow from one of those meandering lows last year? No. As was discussed today... that was a very dynamic AR scenario overriding cold air. That is how our biggest snowstorms happen here. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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