Jump to content

March 2022 Observations and Discussions


Hawkeye

Recommended Posts

ORD hit a high of 69F and it felt every bit of it....from severe wx this weekend, Snow on Mon, then a potential Significant Spring Storm later this week..."The Ides of March" are being shown my mother nature....

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Had my first thunder in Ashland! That took a while. ;)

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Storm 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 26
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The cold front has gone thu here and the temperatures has dropped down to 39 here. The highest gust at Grand Rapids was 56 MPH. There was a total of 0.14" of rain fall here and there were a few flashes of lightning last night. The high here was 64 yesterday that is the 2nd warmest it has ever been on March 5 here in Grand Rapids. At Muskegon they set a new record high of 68. 

  • Like 2
  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/5/2022 at 10:39 AM, hawkstwelve said:

Thanks! Helpful to learn about the climate from like-minded folks, such as on here, as there are far less resources/people to pull knowledge from when compared to the PNW. We plan on getting a snow blower in time for next winter but good tip!

I always see one of the main complaints of Sioux Falls is the unpredictable, dynamic weather with extremes on either sides. It's usually listed as a con. Luckily for my family and I that is a huge plus! Probably one of the things I'm most excited about.

Welcome. I enjoyed your thoughts over there. You're in a dynamic place for weather now, for sure! Enjoy it!

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Winds are really howling today w/ gusts to as high as 60+mph at times. Now they have subsided some, but its still quite windy. We went from a HWW to a Wind Advisory. Temps are in the balmy 50s. Colder air is on the way and also on the way is snow as well w/ a couple of inches forecasted here imby for tomorrow. Detroit sees 1-2" at the most.

  • Like 1
  • Windy 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, Niko said:

Winds are really howling today w/ gusts to as high as 60+mph at times. Now they have subsided some, but its still quite windy. We went from a HWW to a Wind Advisory. Temps are in the balmy 50s. Colder air is on the way and also on the way is snow as well w/ a couple of inches forecasted here imby for tomorrow. Detroit sees 1-2" at the most.

Just rain here on the SW side. You get any of the white stuff?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/1/2022 at 5:32 PM, OmahaSnowFan said:

Topped out at 73.6 IMBY so not quite as high as I expected. Still a beautiful day with birds singing everywhere including Robins and Cardinals!

Tomorrow should be a few degrees warmer though.

Saturday I was in SWMI. The afternoon featured 68F, motorcycles, snow piles, and surprisingly (due to the cold ground) no bugs! Was in Grand Haven region where the evidence of many lakeshore hugging events was obvious. Some people on the south side of the street (shady side) still had 10" on the level covering their front yards.

  • Like 4

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/5/2022 at 4:10 PM, jaster220 said:

Been a cardinal singing spring tunes several mornings when I stepped out for work this week. I've heard a robin, just didn't see it. Turkey vultures are back, and lots of migrating hawks have been seen too. Real spring can't be far behind.

 

5 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Just rain here on the SW side. You get any of the white stuff?

rain/snow here.  It wants to change over.  Close to 59, but not close enough.  The snow literaly stops at 59. 

Screenshot_20220307-122247_WeatherBug.jpg

  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Ferndale_man said:

 

rain/snow here.  It wants to change over.  Close to 59, but not close enough.  The snow literaly stops at 59. 

Screenshot_20220307-122247_WeatherBug.jpg

Too funny that "M-59 cut-off" to perfection. Saw a few flakes mixing in here now. That's fine. I really don't want any more winter at this point.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

0z EPS...is real spring lurking for some on here Week 2??  There is a good LR signal that the ridge will pop for what looks like an extended period.  I do see another threat for Severe Wx down in the S Plain/MW during the 17th-19th period.  It appears winter will be on the quick retreat after this colder weekend, of which, I'm sure many of us are ready to see more than just a day or two of warmer weather.

1.gif

 

Both Euro/CFSv2 weeklies agree that an extended period to close out MAR will be rather warm....but very dry for the central/southern Plains and active across the northern/eastern Sub.

 2.png

3.png

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Y-day I showed a stat on how pathetic March's snows have been at DSM of late-- (the 5.1" yday was the largest amount in nearly 12 years -- March 19-20th, 2010 at 6.7" )

Today is temperature related. Currently 15F at KDSM. That is the coldest March temperature in 94 March days -- ( March 6th, 2019 at 5F)

  • Like 3

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Y-day I showed a stat on how pathetic March's snows have been at DSM of late-- (the 5.1" yday was the largest amount in nearly 12 years -- March 19-20th, 2010 at 6.7" )

Today is temperature related. Currently 15F at KDSM. That is the coldest March temperature in 94 March days -- ( March 6th, 2019 at 5F)

Iirc, didn’t March ‘19 start off with brutal arctic air?  It was primarily set up across the Upper MW and into IA and I think NE.  Not so much around here bc of the lack of snow OTG.  You guys farther west had better snow.  It may have been 2018 bc I may be getting the years confused.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Tom said:

0z EPS...is real spring lurking for some on here Week 2??  There is a good LR signal that the ridge will pop for what looks like an extended period.  I do see another threat for Severe Wx down in the S Plain/MW during the 17th-19th period.  It appears winter will be on the quick retreat after this colder weekend, of which, I'm sure many of us are ready to see more than just a day or two of warmer weather.

1.gif

 

Both Euro/CFSv2 weeklies agree that an extended period to close out MAR will be rather warm....but very dry for the central/southern Plains and active across the northern/eastern Sub.

 2.png

3.png

I really want this to be true, but I'm not holding my breath.  An active pattern like this will swing temps either way on every other run.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Officially there was 2.4" of snow fall at Grand Rapids yesterday. The official high yesterday at GRR was 35 the overnight low here was 28. The official overnight low at GRR was 29. At the current time it is cloudy here and 33 there is still 1" of snow on the ground. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here is a update on the seasonal snow fall at several major locations around Michigan. Grand Rapids 67.1" Lansing 52.1" Muskegon 50.8" Detroit 39.6" Saginaw 34.1" Flint 53.1" Alpena 59.8" the Sault 127.0" Marquette 175.1" All locations seen more snow this winter season than last winter season. Detroit, Flint, Lansing, The Sault and Marquette are above average for the season so far. The other locations are below average for the date so far. Grand Rapids could still reach average for the season (but it is getting late) The biggest deficient is at Muskegon. Marquette, The Sault and Alpena still could see snow for another month or so. Other locations maybe for the next two weeks or so.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Another tornado record broken…

A2CD38E0-5A74-435C-908A-0BFC6461CF88.jpeg

Just my .02 but the Oct 4th ,2013 Woodbury and Cherokee Counties EF-4 is slightly more impressive. OCT tornadoes in IA are less rare than March and the latitude is about 1.5 degrees further N.  Sun angle and length of day are about equal. Again just my .02.

https://www.weather.gov/dmx/March5th2022Tornadoes

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The snow is coming

Omaha - Eppley Airfield (KOMA)

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. South southwest wind 11 to 16 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. North northwest wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of snow after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 32. North wind 8 to 13 mph.
Wednesday Night
Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 15. North wind 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Thursday
Snow likely, mainly before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. North northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
  • Excited 1
  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's fascinating to me how nature just wants to time things just right on the calendar.  Officially, this constitutes as a minor Strat Warming as temps sky rocket at both 10mb/30mb.  What happens next could lead to late season high lat blocking and the Long Lead climate models are jumping on board with that idea as we head deeper into Met Spring.

pole10_nh.gif

pole30_nh.gif

 

The Euro/GFS are starting to hone in on another PV Split in the Day 9-10 period...the seasons biggest PV disruption is on the table...the timing could not be more ill-timed...

 

2.png

 

Late season -NAO's are trouble if you live near the GL's/MW/Upper MW and esp across the Northeast.  Based on the animations below, I'm predicting a large trough across the eastern Sub to close out March and open April.  Not a pretty picture for fair wx Spring fans.  The opening week of baseball season is delayed this year (prob a good thing), as I'm sure we'll be seeing "April Fools" snows up north.

 

temp50anim.gif

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
  • Downvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The overnight low here at my house was 22 the official overnight low at GRR was 24. At the current time it is partly cloudy and 30 here at my house. The only snow on the ground now is in shady areas and the old snow piles that have been here for most of the winter. After a cold weekend it looks to warm up next week as we see some nice early spring weather.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, james1976 said:

Local met has 50s and even low 60s starting Sunday and all next week. Bring it

Same here, the two big rain and ice storms we've had have really destroyed the bases of everywhere I've been to.

This Monday was amazingly bad, the base never froze from the warm weekend, then it snowed on top of the slush, and we only got like an inch or two in SE Wisconsin. It made some of the worst snow I've ever ridden, I don't think I've ever seen it do that. These springs when we go from 20s and decent snow one week to 50s and 60s the next week are my favorite, as much as I hate to let snowboarding go.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Thunder98 said:

We had a multi-year weak La Nina in 2016-2017 and 2017-2018, then had a weak El Nino in 2018-2019 and in 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 we are having a multi-year Moderate La Nina. So many La Ninas in the last 5 1/2 years!

3-peat in the works and this one could be the strongest…

  • Sad 2
  • Downvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

KDTW has stayed at or below freezing for a high yet in March. The clock is running down on real winter around here. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, Tom said:

It's fascinating to me how nature just wants to time things just right on the calendar.  Officially, this constitutes as a minor Strat Warming as temps sky rocket at both 10mb/30mb.  What happens next could lead to late season high lat blocking and the Long Lead climate models are jumping on board with that idea as we head deeper into Met Spring.

pole10_nh.gif

pole30_nh.gif

 

The Euro/GFS are starting to hone in on another PV Split in the Day 9-10 period...the seasons biggest PV disruption is on the table...the timing could not be more ill-timed...

 

2.png

 

Late season -NAO's are trouble if you live near the GL's/MW/Upper MW and esp across the Northeast.  Based on the animations below, I'm predicting a large trough across the eastern Sub to close out March and open April.  Not a pretty picture for fair wx Spring fans.  The opening week of baseball season is delayed this year (prob a good thing), as I'm sure we'll be seeing "April Fools" snows up north.

 

temp50anim.gif

Did you mean to say "major"?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hello new friends. 👋 

  • Like 6
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Frankly, I'm not sure what to expect in terms of the Long Term pattern for the remainder of this Spring, but the unexpected late season Sudden Stratospheric Warming event likely to take place and will impact our weather pattern.  It's not a question of "if", but now a question of "when" this will occur.  On the topic of "when", take a wild guess....literally, on the day we welcome the Spring Solstice (3/20), the 0z Euro is showing a categorical PV Split at all layers of the Polar Strat.  What does all of this suggest?  IMHO, I don't see a nice spring-like pattern shaping up for the later parts of this month into APR around the GL's/MW region.  The Plains stand a better chance of seeing nicer wx along with a very volatile wx pattern as storms will continue to plow the PAC NW/Rockies. 

 

2.png

 

3.png

 

 

Before then, however, next week looks amazing as teleconnections support a very warm pattern...this will be welcomed by many I'm sure.

1.png

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hibbing,MN -23F this morning. Smashed the previous record of -18F in 1979.

It's the coldest opening 68 days of the year -- surely will continue through today and tomorrow- so 70 days in the stations history-- ala 1938.

image.png.4ac87ac999dc42fae3a527f4492369ba.png

  • Like 6
  • Snow 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

With clear skies the overnight low here at my house was 21. The official low at GRR was 23. With clear skies it is now 23 here at my house.  For the first 9 days of March the mean at Grand Rapids is 34.6 and that is +2.6 there has been 2.6” of snow fall. The highest temperature so far has been 64 and the lowest so far has been 15. Friday and Saturday look to be rather cold with maybe some snow and then a good warm up for next week.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

52 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Hibbing,MN -23F this morning. Smashed the previous record of -18F in 1979.

It's the coldest opening 68 days of the year -- surely will continue through today and tomorrow- so 70 days in the stations history-- ala 1938.

image.png.4ac87ac999dc42fae3a527f4492369ba.png

Yeah... I'm wanting this winter to end for reasons that are different from the posters to the southwest of me.

  • Like 2

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...