Powerful Spring Equinox Storm System

[snowstorm83]

18z NAM is west and looking snowy for Central Nebraska. Another much needed (would normally be very annoying) cold rain for SE Nebraska. 

[snowstorm83]

[Clinton]

12z Euro further west than previous run.  

12z GFS

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

36 minutes ago, Clinton said:

12z Euro further west than previous run.  

12z GFS

 

 

Please 

[CentralNebWeather]

1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said:

NWS Hastings is not bullish on much precipitation or snow. They believe most is going way southeast. Let’s hope for a last minute model surprise with a northwest shift. I don’t care if it’s rain or snow at this point. 

[CentralNebWeather]

18z NAM precipitation. Huge jump from the 12z run  

[CentralNebWeather]

18z NAM snowfall from pivotal weather just for fun. 10:1 ratio. We’ll see. 

[CentralNebWeather]

18z NAM 3km precipitation to 60 hours. Looking much better  

[CentralNebWeather]

Looks like the 18z GFS with also a shift west. Very similar to the NAM with amounts. 

[Andie]

Bad day in North Tx. 
80*.  16% humidity  Wind Constant 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.  
NO relief in sight yet   
Fire and Wind Warnings Ip  

Another fire SW of Ft Worth. Burned 3000 acres so far today, still burning at this writing.   This is not going to stop. The drought west of us is growing and rain is not sufficient to turn this around.  I have seen many photos of heart broken ranchers digging trenches and plowing a sizable part of their herd into it.  Mind you this is the calving time of yr and ranchers lose 2 cows with pregnant heifers.  

Really tough to see hardened ranchers  reduced to tears.  They cut fences to try to herd them to safety but cannot reach them all due to fire or smoke. 
 

I live in the far SW corner of the county Ft Worth is in. I’ve seen wildfires come within a half block of me here and right up to our house when we lived west of Weatherford 30 miles from where I am now.  
It’s really dangerous for us now.

Rain in the forecast tomorrow I hope they  got it right!!
Won’t be enough. 
We need a super soaker. 

[Iceresistance]

12 minutes ago, Andie said:

We need a super soaker. 

A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought.

[hawkstwelve]

1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

18z NAM snowfall from pivotal weather just for fun. 10:1 ratio. We’ll see. 

Sure would be nice to see it make a quick jog back westward down the home stretch. Turn nothing into something, at least.

[Andie]

50 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought.

That’s a ways off I’m afraid.  
But we’ll certainly take it!!

[Madtown]

Seems all rain this way....gonna get messy real quick

[Iceresistance]

OH MY-

[Tom]

0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

3 hours ago, Tom said:

0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

Local forecasts saying 1-3" snow overnight.  Very poor morning disco from NWS Hastings that read like a forecast on my apps, so who knows exactly.  They did say models have increased from yesterday.  

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Madtown]

4 hours ago, Tom said:

0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

Crazy to see these models and all forecasters calling for no snow up here and just rain snow mix slop. Should be interesting. 

[Clinton]

Could get bumpy here tomorrow.

 ...Far eastern Kansas and into Missouri...
   As an upper low moves out of eastern Kansas and across Missouri
   Tuesday, cold air aloft/steep mid-level lapse rates will reside
   across the area.  An eastern Kansas surface low is likewise forecast
   to shift into/across Missouri with time.  As modest daytime heating
   of the warm sector occurs, increasing low-topped, surface-based CAPE
   will support development of showers and scattered thunderstorms. 
   With relatively strong mid-level flow expected in advance of the
   upper low, and ample low-level veering with height -- particularly
   in the eastern and northeastern quadrant of the surface low -- a few
   stronger storms will likely evolve.  As such, hail, and a few
   damaging gusts, will be possible, and even a tornado will be
   possible in the cold-core-type setup.  At this time, will introduce
   a MRGL risk area, but upgrade to SLGT could be necessary in later
   outlooks.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

Forecast sounding for Angola, MS @ 18Z tomorrow. Looks like a discrete threat as there will already be an MCS cooking.

[snowstorm83]

Models have come into agreement for around 1.5" of QPF for Omaha/Lincoln with a band of snow setting up between Lincoln and Grand Island tomorrow morning. I would love to wake up to a surprise tomorrow morning but I doubt it anything will accumulate even if a changeover occurs. Regardless the mid 30s and rain will be welcome. 

[OmahaSnowFan]

Stay away cold front!!

Made it to 73.0 a bit ago, but cooled down to 66 with clouds rapidly moving in.

[gabel23]

Blizzard warning for the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma. Hoping this storm throws us a surprise up in my area! Actually I don't care, I just want some precip in the worst way. 

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations up
  to 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph.

* WHERE...In Oklahoma, Texas and Beaver Counties. Portions of the
  southwest, central and northeast Texas Panhandle.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning
  commutes. Strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and
  power lines.

[Thunder98]

19 hours ago, Andie said:

That’s a ways off I’m afraid.  
But we’ll certainly take it!!

I hope Texas gets hit by fast moving tropical depressions and storms this Summer and Autumn. 

[gabel23]

Here we go, just put into a WWA. 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as
  high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds
  could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling
  snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain
  will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations
  south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow
  until near dawn.

[Thunder98]

Its very windy, humid and warm in Brownsville, TX. Earlier they had gusts at 60mph! 
 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

1 minute ago, gabel23 said:

Here we go, just put into a WWA. 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as
  high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds
  could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling
  snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain
  will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations
  south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow
  until near dawn.

I see I was also put in one.

[CentralNebWeather]

We’re having more winter in the last week than we had all winter and now it’s spring. 

[OKwx2k4]

Heckova storm complex down here.

Tornadic sorms over N.C. TX. March is roaring like a lion today, for sure.

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Andie]

We’re at 74.  Wind is 20mph but gusting to 44!   Fun driving today.  
We had one nice downpour but quiet since.  There is a line west of DFW that should deliver more rain…plz! 
We’ve got 1 more shot!

Overcast 
Humidity 77% and Dew at 62.  
 

C’mon rain!

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[gabel23]

17 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

I’m hoping that blizzard warning gets expanded into our area by the morning! At least we would have that for us this year…

[IMoveALot_Weather]

Tornado crossing right over I-35 in the Austin metro

 

[Andie]

Oh baby!  Today really delivered and still is as it moves NE.  

Tornado warnings in North Texas, some hail, VERY black skies, and the best thunder I've heard in ages.  

Rainfall is still being figured but it wasn't important despite the drought. But to watch it develop both in the sky and the radar was too cool.  At one point the thunder began to roll and simply didn't stop.  

I could close my eyes and imagine what it must have sounded like to hear distant cannons roll at the Battle of Gettysburg. Loud percussive overlapping and Nonstop rolling thunder in the SW and South for almost 30 minutes. Black sky. Pouring rain.  Very other worldly atmosphere. Strange feeling I haven't felt in many years.  

Glad to see some relief from the drought. 

Please Sir, I want some more!  

[CentralNebWeather]

Southwest Nebraska about an hour ago. This is one area of the state that’s had a good snowfall season. 

 

[OKwx2k4]

1 hour ago, Andie said:

Oh baby!  Today really delivered and still is as it moves NE.  

Tornado warnings in North Texas, some hail, VERY black skies, and the best thunder I've heard in ages.  

Rainfall is still being figured but it wasn't important despite the drought. But to watch it develop both in the sky and the radar was too cool.  At one point the thunder began to roll and simply didn't stop.  

I could close my eyes and imagine what it must have sounded like to hear distant cannons roll at the Battle of Gettysburg. Loud percussive overlapping and Nonstop rolling thunder in the SW and South for almost 30 minutes. Black sky. Pouring rain.  Very other worldly atmosphere. Strange feeling I haven't felt in many years.  

Glad to see some relief from the drought. 

Please Sir, I want some more!  

 

I was thinking a lot the same in my area over here too! This is just a big old booming, roaring storm. Its been a low, loud and steady rolling roar at times. Its intriguing. Very cool.

I'm so glad you're getting the rainfall. I know you've needed it.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

 

[OmahaSnowFan]

The large gap in the radar has been there for most of the evening (~4-5 hours). It might finally be filling in.

I’ve been on the very northern edge of the southern batch of rain the entire time so I’m only up to .16” so far.

[gabel23]

14 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

The large gap in the radar has been there for most of the evening (~4-5 hours). It might finally be filling in.

I’ve been on the very northern edge of the southern batch of rain the entire time so I’m only up to .16” so far.

I’ve been in gap the whole time and sitting at .04”. Hoping tonight’s precipitation pans out.

[hawkstwelve]

NAM keeps waffling band placement back and forth, now centered a little more over SE SD whereas before it was centered more over NW IA. GFS made the opposite swing, now over NW IA. 

With how narrow the band is it's going to end up being a nowcast, looking-at-the-radar thing vs utilizing the models. Keeps ya on your toes.

[Grizzcoat]

The wonders of automation. Defies science once again when the temp goes below the dewpoint in Atlantic,IA-

[Andie]

Tornado was just NW of me and on the edge of that rolling thunder I was hearing.  
it was an incredibly dynamic storm.  Our tornado sirens went off but true to  the Western Forum I went outside not to a closet!  

That was the tornado that hit Bowie.  I have a friend in Bowie I’ll contact today. Appointment this morning.  He and his family may have been close to it.  

[Clinton]

I picked up 1.18 inches of rain so far and there is a marginal risk of severe weather this afternoon.

[hawkstwelve]

Best snow falling now since we got here two weeks ago! Nice to see. Temp has fallen to 33 from 37 about 45 mins ago as heavier precip moved in. Not sticking to the roads but a light coating on other surfaces so far. 

Hopefully this enhanced precip and slight westward expansion of the band over the past hour or so maintains itself for a bit.

[Madtown]

All models showing 6 plus here forecast calling for 2-3". We shall see. Many might be in for a surprise tomorrow am

[Iceresistance]

My Aunt has relatives in Kingston, OK, they're fine, but their friends got struck by the tornado

 

They're fine too, but they've lost their homes.

[CentralNebWeather]

Nice moisture for the area.  This only goes through 6 AM for rainfall and 7 AM for snowfall, so add some to the totals.