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April 2022 Observations & Discussions


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While I was out to eat a small, but heavy cell tracked right through the middle of Cedar Rapids.  It had some lightning/thunder with it.  I finished with a very respectable 1.77".

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season snowfall: 28.9"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Warm 85* 

Winds out of the South 26 mph. Howling through the fireplace. 
Should bring us good rain on Sunday.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Just now, CentralNebWeather said:

Had to turn on the AC about 5 pm. My wife was complaining how hot it was. Earliest I’ve ever turned it on. Usually don’t even think about it until mid May. What an odd winter/spring. 

I've been trying to convince my family to turn it on because it gets really bad inside (Temperatures over 80°F inside with higher humidity is miserable.) but we can't since we're going to Florida in the next couple of weeks.

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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As blocking flex's its muscles up across the Arctic, our storm parade continues into the Merry Month of May but is there a twist???  Before then, however, an interesting CO Low is being forecast to develop on the closing days of this month.  I'm sure we'll see yet one more winter side to this system given the pattern and recent trends.  Boy, this sure has been one  hellova wintry April across the country.

 

0z EPS...

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There is no sugar coating it but the last weekend of the month is not looking pretty for many on here...wet/cool for a lot of you out east....

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7 minutes ago, Tom said:

As blocking flex's its muscles up across the Arctic, our storm parade continues into the Merry Month of May but is there a twist???  Before then, however, an interesting CO Low is being forecast to develop on the closing days of this month.  I'm sure we'll see yet one more winter side to this system given the pattern and recent trends.  Boy, this sure has been one  hellova wintry April across the country.

 

0z EPS...

 image.gif

 

There is no sugar coating it but the last weekend of the month is not looking pretty for many on here...wet/cool for a lot of you out east....

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GFS shows this as a potential storm in the Central Plains next Friday. 

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Yesterdays official high at Grand Rapids was 48 and there was a reported total of 1.22" of rain fall. Here in MBY I recorded 1.02" of rain fall. The reported overnight low at Grand Rapids so far is 47 and that is also the lowest I recorded here at my house. For the month of April the mean at Grand Rapids is now at 41.3 that is a departure of -4.6 and so far there has been 3.99" of rain fall that is a departure of +1.09". At Muskegon their mean is 41.6 good for a departure of -3.6 and they are also wetter than average. After a brief two day warm  up it will be back to well below average temperatures to end the month of April. 

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I've had a few 80+ already, but today is my first upper 80's (86-90) in Ashland Kentucky. 

Low briefly bottomed out at 48 but quickly shot up to the 70's by 10am.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 4
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Still sitting at 4 thunders so far in 2022, I imagine this number will start climbing in just a bit. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 4
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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12 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I've had a few 80+ already, but today is my first upper 80's (86-90) in Ashland Kentucky. 

Low briefly bottomed out at 48 but quickly shot up to the 70's by 10am.

At least there’s no humidity at this time of year.

You’ll be longing for these cool nights and dry days soon enough. :lol: 

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17 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Had to turn on the AC about 5 pm. My wife was complaining how hot it was. Earliest I’ve ever turned it on. Usually don’t even think about it until mid May. What an odd winter/spring. 

we let our house get to 79 last evening, but when it came time to go to bed, we turned on the AC. It's hard to sleep in a stuffy house even with the wind blowing through.

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Beating our previous high for April by 5F

Top shelf day here! 😀

image.png.f8fd5b8c949f329bf5171be110061982.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Highs near 80 here today. Low humidity so not oppressive but can tell that I have a lot of acclimating to do before swamp season starts.

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The wild swings of the Great Plains will be in full effect this coming week as Summer returns in earnest.  Meanwhile, those near the GL's and parts of the MW are stuck in a blocking pattern as cold HP that originated way up in the Arctic regions of Canada (NW Territories/Yellowknife) makes its way down into the Lower 48.  If you look closely, there is a piece of the Polar Vortex just to the E of the HP that sits and spins for days just north of Hudson Bay near Baffin Bay.

image.gif

 

I'm beginning to wonder if this pattern is trying to set up for the duration of this coming summer.  The month of May will be interesting to see where the blocks set up and where the PV lobe wanders.  I gotta funny feeling that parts of N/NE Canada may be experiencing an unusually cold summer.  Just a wild guess based on trends and the result of all the high lat blocking.

In any event, wrt the blocking and the anticipated wave train, nature will turn on the faucets once again for the central CONUS.  Gosh, it's going to be pretty darn wet across the ag belt region.  Both GEFS/EPS are pretty much on the same page but the GEFS point towards a bit more moisture for NE.  Put money on the GEFS???  Up to this point in the season, I haven't been more confident that our peeps in NE could finally break the seal.

image.gif

 

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Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 82/46. That high of 82 was the 3rd warmest April 23rd at Grand Rapids. At Muskegon they tied a record for the day with a high of 80 that ties 1985. At Lansing their high was 83 and that is their 2nd warmest April 23. So all in all just as advertised huge one day warm up. The official overnight low at Grand Rapids looks to have been 66. Here at my house my overnight low was 64. At the current time I have 67 and cloudy skies. There is a thin line of showers moving in at this time. After today there looks to be a long period of cool temperatures and several nights of below freezing temperatures. It was a short summer.

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3 hours ago, westMJim said:

 

Quote

It was a short summer.

😄 😁 😆 😅 🤣

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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77F was our high for DTW yesterday. Didn't "feel" an 80F happening after the clouds lingered from the overnight flooding rains and my hunch was correct. Full on shorts and golf shirt day and exiting the local Target with my cart of "stuff" felt zero chill in the SW breeze. THAT was a long time coming! 

Worms got flooded out in classic fashion and were everywhere in the morning. You had to work not to have mushed worm on your shoe soles. Not sure if that's a phenomenon elsewhere, or unique to SMI but the robins were in surely feast mode. Their patience enduring the late snows finally rewarded. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Low 80s here this afternoon, but around 90°F down in central VA where there’s less onshore flow.

Some convection firing in the higher elevations. Will have to see if it can drift off the terrain east of the BR.

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Static map

Craziest WF I've ever seen. What The Front??

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 48.2"    Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)        Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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