MossMan Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Just drove past North Bend...48 degrees while everywhere else was in the 30's. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Just drove past North Bend...48 degrees while everywhere else was in the 30's.Downslope warming. Particularly on the valley floor. Although I see that SEA was up to 45 at 3 a.m. Only 38 up here right now but might have been warmer earlier. It can really jump around with wind gusts. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 27 here this morning with some icy roads left behind from a shower that moved through late in the evening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Been awhile since we've seen a -NAM of this magnitude. Should be a general theme for the remainder of the winter, though obviously with the usual variability. I suspect the blocking will become more NAO-based with time. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Been awhile since we've seen a -NAM of this magnitude. Should be a general theme for the remainder of the winter, though obviously with the usual variability. I suspect the blocking will become more NAO-based with time. image.gifWhat does that mean for us? Drier? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 6, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Shouldn't someone have posted hour 240 of the Canadian?Do you ever post weather maps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted January 6, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Hey Phil, do you have any data on the winter of 88'-89'? There was a freak March Snowstorm in western WA in March 89'.....Curious as to what the NAM, EPO, MJO, NAO, AO etc etc etc was. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Shouldn't someone have posted hour 240 of the Canadian?That is no longer necessary after the first snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Gorgeous sunrise and 29 degrees this morning. Everything is extremely icy. It was raining yesterday evening and about 35 degrees. As soon as the rain stopped and it cleared out it appears everything froze. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Gorgeous sunrise and 29 degrees this morning. Everything is extremely icy. It was raining yesterday evening and about 35 degrees. As soon as the rain stopped and it cleared out it appears everything froze. Beautiful sunrise here as well.... almost totally clear and the roads are frosty and the snow is crusty again. Wind must have calmed down here in the last couple hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 MM-5 NAM Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Dense fog advisory for the Central and Southern valley today, but just partly cloudy up here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 What does that mean for us? Drier?In the long run, yes, minus a wet/stormy period later this month. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 In the long run, yes, minus a wet/stormy period later this month. Makes sense. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Do you ever post weather maps?I figure most people who post here have internet access. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Some pics while going out to get the paper... its slick out there. http://s7.postimg.org/s05z7nhsr/2016_01_06_08_06_27.jpg http://s8.postimg.org/fabham339/2016_01_06_08_05_46.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 SLE just dropped to 32 with 1/4 mile visibility. Should be a fun drive to work! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 12Z GFS shows precip getting north of Portland on Saturday afternoon... and the cold pool should be re-established by then. These systems tend to come even further north than the models show as well. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/gfs_namer_084_precip_p03.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Nice to see PDX at 6 for 6 for January freezes so far! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Hey Phil, do you have any data on the winter of 88'-89'? There was a freak March Snowstorm in western WA in March 89'.....Curious as to what the NAM, EPO, MJO, NAO, AO etc etc etc was. Thanks.That was a La Niña winter, so systematic relationships were different. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Makes sense.Also in this case -NAM benefits California more-so than +NAM under strong W-HEM +AAM/+EPO. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Looks like its actually going to be mostly sunny the next 3 days. Usually nice here when most of CA is getting rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Another significant icing event for Portland is very possible on Saturday per the 12Z GFS. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Another significant icing event for Portland is very possible on Saturday per the 12Z GFS.Close call. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 The hwy between my house and Silverton is a nightmare. Solid sheet of ice. Multiple accidents.had to drive 20mph the whole way, with awd. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Close call. Pretty good set-up... but not nearly as good as the existing conditions before the last event. Definitely an icing event for the Gorge though. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/slp.72.0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Pretty good set-up... but not nearly as good as the existing conditions before the last event. Definitely an icing event for the Gorge though. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/slp.72.0000.gifShould mainly be a snow event in the gorge itself. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Saturday at 4 p.m. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/slp.84.0000.gif http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/pcp1.84.0000.gif http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/snow3.84.0000.gif And still sunny up here... http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/xintcld.84.0000.gif.pagespeed.ic.SyrnAlVFkt.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Would be nice if that cold air pool got moved about 60 miles west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Another significant icing event for Portland is very possible on Saturday per the 12Z GFS. Or snow... Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 WRF handled the last cold pool horribly and the one before that. I have a lot more confidence with the NAM/GEM/ECMWF during these setups. Pretty good set-up... but not nearly as good as the existing conditions before the last event. Definitely an icing event for the Gorge though. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/slp.72.0000.gif Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 12Z GFS shows precip getting north of Portland on Saturday afternoon... and the cold pool should be re-established by then. These systems tend to come even further north than the models show as well. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/gfs_namer_084_precip_p03.gifGoodie more 35 degree rain. Can hardly wait! <_> 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 WRF handled the last cold pool horribly and the one before that. I have a lot more confidence with the NAM/GEM/ECMWF during these setups.Well, the GFS and the NAM are the only ones showing much of any potential so you may want to warm your weenie self back up to it. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Or snow...The setup is worse than last time and we all know how that turned out for many. Soooo nope! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 The setup is worse than last time and we all know how that turned out for many. Soooo nope! We're speaking of PDX Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 The roads around the area were absolutely horrible this morning. Carnation - Redmond, usually a half hour drive on 202, took 2 hours because of an accident. Ames Lake Rd (decided to go another way after waiting an hour to move a couple miles) was completely iced over. I spun out 4 separate times even after putting my SUV in 4wd. A co-worker of mine who lives in Duvall said she witnessed a truck flipping over when it skidded around a corner and went into the ditch, she stopped and luckily everyone was OK. Just a complete mess.Yeah, my neighborhood and most side roads were wicked icy this morning and traffic was awful! I assume you went from Ames Lake to west Snoqualmie Valley rd. That one ices over pretty bad too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 We're speaking of PDXwell still a little "nope" based on overall model consensus... stay tuned Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Well, the GFS and the NAM are the only ones showing much of any potential so you may want to warm your weenie self back up to it. Who pee'd in your Cheerios this morning? Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 The setup is worse than last time and we all know how that turned out for many. Soooo nope! Wow, just something to track objectively. No one is saying its a lock. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2016 Report Share Posted January 6, 2016 Who pee'd in your Cheerios this morning?The WRF. He also peed in the cold pool. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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