BLI snowman Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 hour ago, T-Town said: I thought things would be further along. This is in the heart of the city though which no doubt keeps temps up and delays the fall colors. I was there a week later in October last year and it looks like they're definitely further along right now. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 6 hours ago, weatherfan2012 said: Sorry to here that always keep those memories Phil she will continue to be with you inside your heart.It was hard when my Mom pass away a few years ago very suddenly. I'm sorry to hear this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post smerfylicious Posted October 13, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Almost ready! 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 00z GFS in 5 minutes! With the pattern change now sneaking inside Day 10 it seems it is now time to *officially* begin the Fall model riding season. How exciting? Right? We'll see. After the previous months of dry and warm, Summery weather and especially extending well into October this pattern shift is going to feel downright cold and take a bit to acclimate to. We may even see the first Cascade snowfall probably above 4000'. 'Tis the Season! C'MON!!!! Think pattern change! C'MON!!!! 7 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 30 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I was there a week later in October last year and it looks like they're definitely further along right now. Urban Heat Island for sure. I've seen green leaves around xmas on NYC streets in Manhattan. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Low of 37 at CVO this morning. How did I miss this. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 4 hours ago, Deweydog said: Sneaky little 80 at PDX. More often than not PDX doesn't even make it to the 80s in October. Crazy to think that we might get to a dozen this October. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Whoops!! was more tired than I thought if anyone caught my deleted post lol. Was looking at the wrong thing 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Current record for latest 30C day on record for PDX is October 11, 1991. May fall on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 00z GFS Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Current record for latest 30C day on record for PDX is October 11, 1991. May fall on Saturday. We'll see what happens w the Nakia Creek Fire, but the Falls Fire back in 1991 ripped through parts of the Gorge in October. We've got some modest offshore flow in the near future, so fingers crossed things stay quiet. 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 10 Day Rainfall totals 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 10 Day Rainfall totals Definitely not as good of a run so far, probably an outlier though compared to all other guidance right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just now, Doiinko said: Definitely not as good of a run so far, probably an outlier though compared to all other guidance right now. This run has everything so chopped up. The trough just doesn't get as focused. The ECMWF solutions have been fantastic though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Current record for latest 30C day on record for PDX is October 11, 1991. May fall on Saturday. October 1991 was really the only thing that was interesting about the 1991-92 winter season. That month had epic temperature swings and even lowland snow later on. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: October 1991 was really the only thing that was interesting about the 1991-92 winter season. That month had epic temperature swings and even lowland snow later on. October 1935 looks nice too, 5" of snow at Salem! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Pretty lame GFS run. It just never gets it's act together. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Doiinko said: October 1935 looks nice too, 5" of snow at Salem! For sure. 1935 was a beast with freezing max temps well down into Western WA. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Do not look at the 00z GFS. GEM is looking like a nice setup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 10 Day Rainfall totals This all falls after Day 9'er by the way. 00z ECMWF in 49 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 I'm surprised why anyone still takes the GFS Op, or any Op run so seriously after Day 6-7 if it's not looking great. We're not rookies here. Why do this to yourselves year after year. All ensembles have been superb and timing has moved ahead too. I see no reason why the 00z GEFS won't show the major pattern shift. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Do not look at the 00z GFS. GEM is looking like a nice setup. GEM looks what the ensembles have been advertising. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 00z GEFS Day 7 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 If the last several months have taught me anything it’s to expect the worst, most extreme, statistically unlikely case scenario when it comes to continued heat and dryness around here. I don’t expect whatever happens later this month to buck this trend. 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Think Rain!! ️ 🌧 Was in Monroe this evening for work and you could definitely see the smoke funneling down Highway 2. 65/49 on the day, currently 49. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 That was a big oof with the 0z GFS.. End of the month is coming into view so I'll be quite stunned if it played out that way but won't be shock either. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 The 00z ECMWF is unchanged and fully on board with a major pattern change! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: The 00z ECMWF is unchanged and fully on board with a major pattern change! And with this, let the night shift begin!!! 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Let's go!!! What's everybody drinking or smoking? Just got thru lighting up some good purple stuff. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 The three day outlook on the smoke models is not looking good for the Puget Sound and central Willamette Valley. It looks like things could get very soupy and unhealthy. As we stand right now, smoke is blowing east more and more each hour and it will excel over the weekend. Right now the models are not looking good from what we can see. This will be the deepest wildfire smoke season Washington State has ever had, and the most amount of days with smoke. I will share totals when we get to the end of this season. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 minute ago, NWbyNW said: The three day outlook on the smoke models is not looking good for the Puget Sound and central Willamette Valley. It looks like things could get very soupy and unhealthy. As we stand right now, smoke is blowing east more and more each hour and it will excel over the weekend. Right now the models are not looking good from what we can see. This will be the deepest wildfire smoke season Washington State has ever had, and the most amount of days with smoke. I will share totals when we get to the end of this season. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Let's go!!! What's everybody drinking or smoking? Just got thru lighting up some good purple stuff. You’re living the good life. i am working on a report for my boss rn 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Let's go!!! What's everybody drinking or smoking? Just got thru lighting up some good purple stuff. Just had some cinnamon roasted almonds an hour ago. Uhhh, now nothing. If I can stay up another 20 minutes I'll be surprised. 6z GFS in 2 hours 8 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: You’re living the good life. i am working on a report for my boss rn I wish I could say that. I'm lucky in some ways and very unlucky in others. I've lived a rather peculiar life to say the least. Dirt poor and disabled yet schmoozed with lots of wealthy or even famous people cuz I was welcomed into a rich kid frat while racking up tens of thousands in student debt. But I still did get my degree so there's that. My choice was Oregon or Oklahoma (out of state) and in retrospect I wouldn't have made it getting a BS in meteorology at Oklahoma because the math would've been beyond my level. A BA in geography from U of O is still fine. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I wish I could say that. I'm lucky in some ways and very unlucky in others. I've lived a rather peculiar life to say the least. Dirt poor and disabled yet schmoozed with lots of wealthy or even famous people cuz I was welcomed into a rich kid frat while racking up tens of thousands in student debt. Where did u go to college? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Where did u go to college? University of Oregon graduated in 2008. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Let's go!!! What's everybody drinking or smoking? Just some water and that's it right now. I don't smoke. Looking at weather models like a nerd at 12:40am in the morning on a work night. Normal cool people things. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Let's go!!! What's everybody drinking or smoking? Just got thru lighting up some good purple stuff. Drinking on the job is frowned upon here. So water it is. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Can't sleep, so here's the very chilly and wet EPS. This will be a stark reminder to us all that Fall is here! Look how chilly this run is. The mean dips to 1.5c and large cluster of members are cooler even down to 0c with several below 0c! This would bring the first Cascade snowfall of the season. Let's just keep moving this ahead and hopefully in a few days see it moving inside Day 7! 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 I see the first hints of rain on my phone app for the 22nd. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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