October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  A couple of days with afternoon temps in the 40s on this run.

[MossMan]

It’s coming!!!!! 

[Requiem]

I'm hoping the easterlies (albeit not too strong) don't kick up either the Nakia Creek or the still tiny smoldering Bell Creek Fires. Some of our regional fuels are definitely conducive enough to support spread.  

[Gradient Keeper]

What a fabulous 00z GFS run! wow!

[Jbolin]

25 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Let's get this s*** during Dec/Jan PLEASE!

[SouthHillFrosty]

21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  A couple of days with afternoon temps in the 40s on this run.

we’re blowing our load to early. Winter will be cancelled. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Get used to seeing this.

[Gradient Keeper]

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Get used to seeing this.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS Day 9'er Here we go!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

we’re blowing our load to early. Winter will be cancelled. 

No we are not. The Jim Jinx has just been engaged.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

26 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I'm hoping the easterlies (albeit not too strong) don't kick up either the Nakia Creek or the still tiny smoldering Bell Creek Fires. Some of our regional fuels are definitely conducive enough to support spread.  

Hope you don’t get an arsonist setting fires in forests like we apparently have.

https://www.tricitynews.com/local-news/three-port-moody-fires-believed-to-be-human-caused-connected-police-5938339

[Anti Marine Layer]

17 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Get used to seeing this.

Cutoff will get absorbed. 

[snow_wizard]

22 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z GEFS Day 9'er Here we go!

The GEFS has been lukewarm compared to the EPS on this.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

46 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

we’re blowing our load to early. Winter will be cancelled. 

This winter may end up more of the Peter North variety.

[Jbolin]

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

This winter may end up more of the Peter North variety.

LMAO, this is the funniest thing you've said in a looooooong time.

[Gradient Keeper]

49.3 already

[RentonHill]

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

This is going to be a massive pattern change and such a sharp contrast in temperatures from the previous 3 months it's going to take a bit to acclimate to it.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Night shift!

[NWbyNW]

Tonight at the night shift I'm serving.... *looks around*

Well... we have water, some ripe bananas, and a bag of pretzels.  Enjoy the night shift.  

[The Blob]

Down to 49 IMBY.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still looking good!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Close to the beautiful horseshoe "ridge bridge bitch" setup that delivers the goodies in the winter on the overnight GFS.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Aaand then back to our new regularly scheduled program.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Well I apologize to those of you waking up to the end of the GFS this morning. A transitory appetizer but the main course is still a few weeks away.

[TacomaWx]

50 degrees for a low so far back home…28 here in west Yellowstone. Getting ready to go in soon probably won’t have service for the most part in the park but I’ll definitely post some wildlife/landscape pics at some point today. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

50 degrees for a low so far back home…28 here in west Yellowstone. Getting ready to go in soon probably won’t have service for the most part in the park but I’ll definitely post some wildlife/landscape pics at some point today. 

Have fun!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I'm gonna hit the hay. Ensemble should be interesting.

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I'm gonna hit the hay. Ensemble should be interesting.

Operational on its own with return to ridging. The operational is also much cooler with the initial troughing. 
 

[Phil]

7 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

On another note...it looks like the Atlantic may be done already.  Weird hurricane season.

Hope so.10 named storms is still well below average/in the “quiet” camp, which statistically favors a colder winter out here.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

17 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Operational on its own with return to ridging. The operational is also much cooler with the initial troughing. 
 

Starting to see signs of hope. 

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Starting to see signs of hope. 

Maybe we can get 4 straight months of troughing like we have had with ridging?!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Maybe we can get 4 straight months of troughing like we have had with ridging?!

Hahahaha 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pdx down to.... 50.

[Gradient Keeper]

[Gradient Keeper]

43.0 brrrrrrr

Oceanic Niño Index (ONI): JAS (July-August-September) -0.9ºC.
*Previous ONI: JJA (June-July-August) -0.8ºC.

12z GFS in 2 hours 5 minutes

[Meatyorologist]

44F here at my place this morning

[Meatyorologist]

40s at KSEA!