Ballsy! I’m not certain at all. I can see a conduit to the GFS solution verifying this time.
The reason I’m skeptical is because the progression on the GFS *perfectly* fits its springtime bias towards amplifying Aleutian/GOA lows. I can’t trust it.
The GFS/GEFS is still the structural outlier, though. GEPS/EPS are much more similar in terms of the overall pattern, even with regional differences.
But that doesn’t say much about which one is right/wrong, though I’ll give 65/35 odds that the GFS will fold today. We’ll see.
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