Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Day 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall totals, including the southwestern US. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Snowfall totals, including southwestern US. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Orchard Park, NY reported 66" inches almost 5 hours ago, and reports of heavy snow there right now. Crazy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: Orchard Park, NY reported 66" inches almost 5 hours ago, and reports of heavy snow there right now. Crazy 0” here. 31 degrees. 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 38.3 with gusty cold east winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 We are going to pay, and pay dearly for this December-January! C'MON!!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 33 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: How? You love posting pics of Cold and SNOW, especially when you live in such an outstanding area by the foothills. Yes... cold AND snow is all good. Cold with no snow? Zzzzzzz for me! And its been getting into the 50s every day in North Bend so it's not even that cold at home. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Looking more and more likely this fall is going to end up incredibly dry. Just 4.10” of rain…gfs and euro show about 0.50” or less over the next 8 days. Will probably end up getting a decent soaker the last couple days of the month if I had to guess but we may are very likely going to end up well short of the driest fall I’ve recorded in 2018 with just 8.70” that year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 We've had around 7.5" of rain so far this fall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 OLM set a new record low last night with 17. That is pretty darn impressive! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 11/19/03. The most memorable anafront of my life to date. I found Anna’s rear more memorable. 2 1 1 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: OLM set a new record low last night with 17. That is pretty darn impressive! It's normally pouring rain and windy in Olympia in the middle of November. And they achieved that record low with a warm air mass overhead. 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Coincidentally, the 17 at OLM this morning was just 2F colder than the previous record of 19 set in 2014. So they didn't smash it by any means, even though the 17 was pretty D**n impressive. Guess something about this day that is setting record lows for OLM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I found Anna’s rear more memorable. 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Coincidentally, the 17 at OLM this morning was just 2F colder than the previous record of 19 set in 2014. So they didn't smash it by any means, even though the 17 was pretty D**n impressive. Guess something about this day that is setting record lows for OLM. 2014 again. Just find a long dry streak in November and you will find record cold in the wind protected spots. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 2014 again. Just find a long dry streak in November and you will find record cold in the wind protected spots. I was about to look that up... would've bet it was pretty dry and clear. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: 2014 again. Just find a long dry streak in November and you will find record cold in the wind protected spots. Some similarities to 2014 so far. Record warm ASO, cold early/mid November. And the big Buffalo lake effect snowstorm started today in 2014 as well. I don't think this winter will be like 2014/15 though, I feel like we'll have a better chance this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Just now, Cloud said: I was about to look that up... would've bet it was pretty dry and clear. November 2014 was really cold east of the cascades too, Redmond had a monthly record low of -19 with that airmass. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 I remember a major mountain wave event in early November 2014, knocked my power out for a couple days. One of the rare times we have had strong east winds. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Some similarities to 2014 so far. Record warm ASO, cold early/mid November. And the big Buffalo lake effect snowstorm started today in 2014 as well. I don't think this winter will be like 2014/15 though, I feel like we'll have a better chance this year Maybe. But I am not so sure now. It wouldn't surprise me to see this winter be a total dud for skiing. As sad as that would be. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Doinko said: I've really enjoyed this month so far at least. Heavy rain to open the month, lowland snow in some places, then dry/cool with really nice sunshine. And some strong east wind which I enjoy Yeah nearly 6” of rain the first few days, an inch of snow, a massive windstorm, and a stretch of chilly dry days! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Was still pretty breezy when I drove up to PDX. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, Doinko said: Some similarities to 2014 so far. Record warm ASO, cold early/mid November. And the big Buffalo lake effect snowstorm started today in 2014 as well. I don't think this winter will be like 2014/15 though, I feel like we'll have a better chance this year That thing in Buffalo is just crazy... saw videos of people opening their garage doors to +6' of snow. And those weren't drifts either, looked pretty uniform. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I remember a major mountain wave event in early November 2014, knocked my power out for a couple days. One of the rare times we have had strong east winds. The BIG Veteran's day wind storm and modified backdoor blast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Down to 32 now and the dp is still in the upper teens. 2 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: The BIG Veteran's day wind storm and modified backdoor blast. I remember that one. We lost power also. I actually think the one yesterday was about the same here though. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 2013-14 had pretty poor snow pack too. I remember hiking up Table Rock in early January. Only a couple inches at 4900’. 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 I’m drunk but I ain’t that drunk 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: YOU GUYS. Tim’s being such a fu*king f*g tonight. Amirite? 🖐 2 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Here you go! This is fun to read and brings back memories! https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/07/an-arctic-blast-in-mid-november/ https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/09/crazy-weather-week-ahead/ https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/10/monday-evening-update/ https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/11/easterly-wind-storm-in-progress https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/11/53-mph-gust-at-pdx/ https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2014/11/11/thoughts-on-snowice-thursday/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: YOU GUYS. Tim’s being such a fu*king f*g tonight. Amirite? 🖐 He seems to be in a weird mood. I can't pinpoint what's going on, but I just want to stick to weather and no drama. Outstanding. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Temp 37.4, dewpoint 18.7 with gusty east wind. If you ask me by mid-November standards this is pretty much a modified low level blast. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Omak is running a -9.4 departure month to date. They had a few days that were in the -20s departure. As an interesting aside their record low for the day was from 1916. Another one of those fairly rare winters that was cold Nov - Feb. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 It appears the 00z GEFS through Day 12 is improved quite a bit from previous runs. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 25 already at Corvallis. This reminds me so much of November 2000. 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 Think about this. All of the freezing temperatures we've seen, impressive cold minimums, record lows, the fairly impressive low level cold pool which led to an equally impressive low level blast through the Gorge with a significant east wind event and recent cratering dewpoints, all of this occurred with the ridge essentially overhead. Imagine if it had been a few hundred miles further west. Not in the sweet spot at ~160-150 W, but even just at ~140 W. We were THAT close to a significant backdoor blast. Just something to chew on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 19, 2022 Report Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 1 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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