Cascadia_Wx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Glad to hear Jim has finally gotten onto the sustained cold bandwagon!!!! Ended up with a 55/31 day yesterday. Foggy and 35 this morning, heading for a high in the low to mid 40s with the cold front draping in later on. The rumors of the upcoming Thanksgiving heatwave were greatly exaggerated. We should be on track for a solidly if not well below average rest of the month and beyond as well. Hope everyone had a great holiday. 4 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: EURO is finally going to drop the Siberian Sledgehammer. Ya gotta believe!!!!! Sounds like a wrestling move from the WWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 12z GEFS Day 7 850s (Past 4 runs) Colder this run! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I think the Arctic front was so overpowering in Dec 1990 that is screwed places south of Seattle. The wind shift period was just too brief for places further south. I was lucky to be living in the zone at that time. Dec 1990 was my first real snow/arctic memory. We got 2-3" in Tacoma, but it was a FLASH freeze and lasted even on the neighborhood roads for about a week. 3 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It has really gotten onto the sustained cold bandwagon now. I'm thinking the ECMWF will move toward the GFS. I forgot to mention the 6z EPS control was better than the 0z at day 6. How much better was it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Do not look at the 12z Ukmet. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Glad to hear Jim has finally gotten onto the sustained cold bandwagon!!!! Ended up with a 55/31 day yesterday. Foggy and 35 this morning, heading for a high in the low to mid 40s with the cold front draping in later on. The rumors of the upcoming Thanksgiving heatwave were greatly exaggerated. We should be on track for a solidly if not well below average rest of the month and beyond as well. Hope everyone had a great holiday. Glad you're feeling better about things. Nothing like some cold anoms under our belts to help with that. 3 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Glad you're feeling better about things. Nothing like some cold anoms under our belts to help with that. The last couple warm seasons really punched the stuffing out of me. Horrible summers especially. Just gotta take it as it comes I suppose. 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: How much better was it? 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Glad to hear Jim has finally gotten onto the sustained cold bandwagon!!!! Ended up with a 55/31 day yesterday. Foggy and 35 this morning, heading for a high in the low to mid 40s with the cold front draping in later on. The rumors of the upcoming Thanksgiving heatwave were greatly exaggerated. We should be on track for a solidly if not well below average rest of the month and beyond as well. Hope everyone had a great holiday. Yeah, despite full sunshine yesterday afternoon we only ended up hitting 56 here in Myrtle Creek. Far cry from the temps near 70 the models were spitting out 4 or 5 days prior. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Man the 12z euros gonna be critical! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, despite full sunshine yesterday afternoon we only ended up hitting 56 here in Myrtle Creek. Far cry from the temps near 70 the models were spitting out 4 or 5 days prior. It was a spectacular Thanksgiving... sunny and around 60 out here. Could not ask for better weather. 2 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Man the 12z euros gonna be critical! Most highly anticipated black Friday run of all time. Unprecedented. 1 3 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Do not look at the 12z Ukmet. That is so out of left field you have to call it a gigantic outlier. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, despite full sunshine yesterday afternoon we only ended up hitting 56 here in Myrtle Creek. Far cry from the temps near 70 the models were spitting out 4 or 5 days prior. I have no idea how, but I pulled off a 51/30 yesterday. I was quite pleased. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: It was a spectacular Thanksgiving... sunny and around 60 out here. Could not ask for better weather. Beautiful day here as well. Thanksgiving festivities spilled onto the deck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I have no idea how, but I pulled off a 51/30 yesterday. I was quite pleased. Even PDX somehow managed a freeze. 56/32 there with a -1.0 departure. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 12 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 12z GEFS Day 7 850s (Past 4 runs) Colder this run! Yesterday it was retreating, the day before that trending colder. Being on the edge has its risks but most importantly rewards! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 I just told my wife. It’s over. 1 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have no idea how, but I pulled off a 51/30 yesterday. I was quite pleased. I am honestly starting to think something is wrong with your thermometer. Its just been so different. I have not seen even seen frost at all since we got back from Florida a week ago. 3 1 1 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That is so out of left field you have to call it a gigantic outlier. We would have to assume so. Hopefully 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Happy 30th birthday to the Euro ensembles! 6 1 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Glad you're feeling better about things. Nothing like some cold anoms under our belts to help with that. Cold in the winter and warm in the summer... been on quite a roll lately. I suspect we have another very warm summer ahead. Seems like a pretty easy bet. 1 1 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, MV_snow said: I just told my wife. It’s over. Who won? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 The short 6Z ECMWF goes to Monday afternoon now. So we get a preview of its early ideas. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, joelgombiner said: Happy 30th birthday to the Euro ensembles! Also… 30 years ago TODAY The Bodyguard starring Kevin Costner and some crackhead was released. Went to see it in the theater a couple weeks later and it snowed (briefly and didn’t stick)!!! 1 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Cold in the winter and warm in the summer... been on quite a roll lately. I suspect we have another very warm summer ahead. Seems like a pretty easy bet. Sure seems to be the trend. Interesting that paleo people are seeing evidence for topsy-turvy climates in the western U.S. in the early Holocene. 2 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Shawnigan Lake is running -3.4F for November to date. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, MV_snow said: I just told my wife. It’s over. I’ve always imagined divorce during the holidays can be quite magical. 2 2 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Canadians think >90% chance the first week of December is cold. Details will be obvious by the second week of December. 1 1 5 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, joelgombiner said: Happy 30th birthday to the Euro ensembles! The greatest model ever developed, well aside from the Zimbabwean model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Also… 30 years ago TODAY The Bodyguard starring Kevin Costner and some crackhead was released. Went to see it in the theater a couple weeks later and it snowed (briefly and didn’t stick)!!! Better watch it. Whitney Houston's ghost will sick Bobbie Brown on you and disimpact your bowels. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 27 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Man the 12z euros gonna be critical! The track of the midweek system will obviously be crucial to how good this might turn out. I wouldn’t put much stock in low pressure tracks until that 48-72hr window. We’ve got a ways to go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 Here We GO! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 47 and moderate rain here this morning just starting up. C’mon euro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skier B Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 34 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: That one was more of a thin, intense convergence zone along the arctic front. Most of Seattle got 6-12" of snow, but SEA got very little with that one. What the 12z shows would be more of a widespread snowfall with the low coming across the South Sound. Looks more like 11/22/10 to me. Yeah, I was playing in a basketball game at HHS in Burien during the 1990 event and the snow had not yet started by tipoff. At halftime it was snowing heavily and all wrapped up by the time the game ended. In a way I kind of feel cheated now realizing how close we came to scoring big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 This is the most important run of the season, until the 00z tonight! Then THAT will be the most important run, only to be quickly overshadowed by the 12z tomorrow morning. Then the 00z Saturday night following that will finally be the single most decidedly, crucial, and vital model run ever, but then Sunday mornings 12z ...... and....... then....... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 That second trough might do something for the foothills and higher elevations down here, but it's that mid-week system with offshore flow already in place that's our classic setup. Hope it stays suppressed enough to dive south of us or hover around the mouth of the Columbia. 2 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2022 Report Share Posted November 25, 2022 12z ECMWF Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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