November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Hawksfan2008]

3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

East wind really picking up in North Bend and 32 degrees. Should get pretty wild here with the snow/wind this evening! 

Maybe not…NWS just lowered our totals to 1-2 inches

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

East wind really picking up in North Bend and 32 degrees. Should get pretty wild here with the snow/wind this evening! 

Interesting... fairly calm up here.    Usually that is a sign of straight east flow through the pass. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

32 and rain

[gusky]

Temps and DPs heading back down, precip slowly turning back to snow. Let's do this!!!

[Nov1985]

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

32 and rain

Yea weird Im stuck at 33 with rain now. The precip doesn’t even seem that heavy anymore. 

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Maybe not…NWS just lowered our totals to 1-2 inches

That means you'll get 8 to 12" tonight!

[TacomaWx]

37 here with a DP of 35 and light rain. I noticed that places with elevation are definitely holding onto snow a bit better! One of those interesting days where the snow is mostly gone down near sea level but you can see it looks like a winter wonderland on the hill tops. No snow down near Ruston but there’s still some snow around here at my house at 300’. 

[gusky]

We seem to be beating NAM with the transition back to snow... if we can keep that trend we could get more accumulation than expected. 

[Everleigh]

19 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Ya had a few cancerous growths we had to take off so he’s missing a big chunk of his tail now

I had a lab that had the same issue. Had to amputate part of his tail.  I feel for the boi!

[Chewbacca Defense]

Thanks to the 21 degree low the pavement is NOT too warm

[TacomaWx]

I’d be pretty surprised if we switch back to snow tonight. Temp needs to plummet to freezing under heavy precip and I don’t think we will pull that off. Very fun day at work though they had over an inch of snow in Kent and it snowed until about 1pm at 150’. 

[MossMan]

The look she gave me when I told her it was time to go back inside since I needed to run into town and then back to work…She was not impressed. 

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Maybe not…NWS just lowered our totals to 1-2 inches

This is confusing to me as well unless they expect areas in the warning areas to get smacked tomorrow.

 

[KingstonWX]

Just drove from Kingston to Seabeck and back to get a Christmas tree and it's dumping snow everywhere but home. I demand a refund and a letter of explanation.

That lull in the action late this morning after some good snowfall really screwed me. Allowed it to warm up too much with 98-99% humidity. 

[gusky]

Just now, KingstonWX said:

Just drove from Kingston to Seabeck and back to get a Christmas tree and it's dumping snow everywhere but home. I demand a refund and a letter of explanation.

That lull in the action late this morning after some good snowfall really screwed me. Allowed it to warm up too much with 98-99% humidity. 

That's the worst feeling ever. Think temps are headed back down so hopeful you'll get some more!

[MikeInEverett]

How did NWS go from a WSW for up to 8” in the EPSL to that?! It’s not like the models took the snow away either. Strange.

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

 

sure why not, did somebody order a polar express winter??? 

[Hawksfan2008]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

This is confusing to me as well unless they expect areas in the warning areas to get smacked tomorrow.

 

They said they’re in the process of adjusting the winter storm warnings and advisories. They’re expecting a bust…

[Nov1985]

Reporting back. Turns out the weather .com "future radar" grinch is actually a resolution issue, probably from lake Washington and lake Sammamish. What they said would happen vs actual. 

[smerfylicious]

Combo of wind from the pass and weird shadowing is keeping me from getting any accumulation. Yay.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

They said they’re in the process of adjusting the winter storm warnings and advisories. They’re expecting a bust…

Do you use this NB web cam?

http://146.129.248.180/northbend.html

It was down for like a year but is back up now.   Its usually a true live feed but lately it sort of jumps.    I can tell its windy because between the jumps the trees in the foreground move quite a bit.   

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

They said they’re in the process of adjusting the winter storm warnings and advisories. They’re expecting a bust…

Looking forward to reading the forecast discussion

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, gusky said:

That's the worst feeling ever. Think temps are headed back down so hopeful you'll get some more!

It might be my fault. I might have complained too much while having to saw a stubborn Christmas tree in Seabeck's typical blizzard-like conditions.

[Skagit Weather]

1 minute ago, smerfylicious said:

Combo of wind from the pass and weird shadowing is keeping me from getting any accumulation. Yay.

Join the club. It's been flurrying for a couple hours so far, but barely enough to get the ground wet let alone any accumulation. Of course none of the models really had any accumulation here anyways before 4 p.m. but still a bit annoying.

[Hawksfan2008]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Do you use this NB web cam?

http://146.129.248.180/northbend.html

It was down for like a year but is back up now.   Its usually a true live feed but lately it sort of jumps.    I can tell its windy because between the jumps the trees in the foreground move quite a bit.   

Can’t get it to load. Just had our biggest gust so far! 

[The Winter Warlock]

32.2 here at 550 ft but transitioned to rain. Must be some warmer air aloft.

[Requiem]

5 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

How did NWS go from a WSW for up to 8” in the EPSL to that?! It’s not like the models took the snow away either. Strange.

I blame Cliff. 

In all seriousness I don't see much that would cut down totals that drastically, as most areas have already reached peak heating, but they are the experts over there so they must have some justification.

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, Hawksfan2008 said:

Can’t get it to load. Just had our biggest gust so far! 

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, The Winter Warlock said:

32.2 here at 550 ft but transitioned to rain. Must be some warmer air aloft.

925mb temps in King County are bordering between -1 and -2. 

Frustrating  watching cold rain and sitting at 33 degrees.

[Nov1985]

14 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

How did NWS go from a WSW for up to 8” in the EPSL to that?! It’s not like the models took the snow away either. Strange.

Precip intensity seems to struggle east of I-5/water, and the easterly winds are strong on constant here. May be related?

EDIT - or those sketchy 925 mb temps... as mentioned above.

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said:

925mb temps in King County are bordering between -1 and -2. 

Frustrating  watching cold rain and sitting at 33 degrees.

Rain at 33-35 always feels 100x colder than snow at 25-32. Miserable.

[RayRay]

150 feet Bremerton

 

[Winterdog]

Warmest of the day right now 33.4 with a DP of 32.  Pretty marginal

[Slushy Inch]

Just heard NWS is bailing on snow forecast. Even though 18z GFS has heavy snow starting soon... 32 in Bothell...

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Just heard NWS is bailing on snow forecast. Even though 18z GFS has heavy snow starting soon... 32 in Bothell...

GO GFS

[Seattle]

Temp 34, dewpoint back down to 30 at KSEA, winds ESE. Not a bad position to be, just need heavier precip.

[bishbish777]

Looking at FV3, looks like the real heavy stuff doesn't move through Seattle area until 7-9pm. We'll see if we can get some really heavy precip during that time to get some isothermal action going.

[KingstonWX]

Just now, bishbish777 said:

Looking at FV3, looks like the real heavy stuff doesn't move through Seattle area until 7-9pm. We'll see if we can get some really heavy precip during that time to get some isothermal action going.

Isn't that difficult to accomplish at these humidity levels?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like Seattle is melting