December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Gradient Keeper]

Euro is definitely colder at PDX than the 00z through 120 hours.

 

Mon - 31/26

Tue - 28/22

Wed - 25/19

Thur - 26/17

Gotta love the Gorge

[liquidsnow]

From epic snow to mild rain. LOL

[Deweydog]

Even southern B.C. gets taken out of the game on some of these runs for the transition.

[luvssnow_spokane]

The overwhelming theme is to spin up a low out over the ocean and then kick it back in over us in the day 9 to day 10 time frame. All models agree on this and there is brutally cold air in BC to tap into when the trough kicks back over us.

 

 

 

Oh yes...the ECMWF drop 850s to -13 at hour 48.

 

I have no idea how people can ruin the fun when we are going to have snow within 24 hours followed by an Arctic outbreak. I was hoping to come on here and have fun today.

Larger scale Jim... Not the next 3 to 4 mostly dry days...  Sure it will be cold for a few but the whole epicness of it has gone to the crapper...  Again, there will be very little snow for many up here. I hope you score though!! You deserve it. 

[Gradient Keeper]

There is simply very little model consistency outside of day 4.... Anything could happen. They are struggling mightily.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The overwhelming theme is to spin up a low out over the ocean and then kick it back in over us in the day 9 to day 10 time frame. All models agree on this and there is brutally cold air in BC to tap into when the trough kicks back over us.

Yep it might warm up for one day then get cold again. As soon as low pressure goes east we get into cold backwash. To many people on the forum have no clue of the potential we have in this pattern.

[ShawniganLake]

Even southern B.C. gets taken out of the game on some of these runs for the transition.

Road trip to Prince Rupert?

[Front Ranger]

Yep called it.. There is the bomb!! BOOM!   lol!

 

ecmwf_T850_nwus_9.png

 

Why are you posting fantasyland maps?

[Winterdog]

Seattle NWS liking the idea of a CZ tonight. Hopefully it sets up farther south. Don't want it setting up over Everett.

Shame on you!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Tim Jr. is that you?

Nope that is model screen shot. silly!

[Front Ranger]

Road trip to Prince Rupert?

 

Some of our biggest weenies already have a road trip planned to Prince George: "Where All Your Weenie Dreams Come True".

[luvssnow_spokane]

Why are you posting fantasyland maps?

I dunno. I have truly lost my mind. I was just trying to fit in. D**n, now I just feel silly.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The overwhelming theme is to spin up a low out over the ocean and then kick it back in over us in the day 9 to day 10 time frame. All models agree on this and there is brutally cold air in BC to tap into when the trough kicks back over us.Oh yes...the ECMWF drop 850s to -13 at hour 48. :lol:I have no idea how people can ruin the fun when we are going to have snow within 24 hours followed by an Arctic outbreak. I was hoping to come on here and have fun today.

There are a few people on here that have no idea what there looking at and literally change the forecast in there mind every 6 hrs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We 

 

Even southern B.C. gets taken out of the game on some of these runs for the transition.

 

We better enjoy our dusting and possible 3 days off chilly weather.

 

Remember 12 hours ago when February 2014 was still being talked about as a possible worst case scenario? 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some of our biggest weenies already have a road trip planned to Prince George: "Where All Your Weenie Dreams Come True".

 

I am on my way to meet Jesse and Dewey at Vancouver Mall to get the road trip started. Cold anomalies for days!

[BLI snowman]

Nice to see the open ocean can still see a top tier January airmass.

[Deweydog]

My location may be back in the game early next week!

[ryanc]

Snowing in Olympia. 

[luminen]

Currently raining here. Temp doesn't really matter if it's all rain. 

[The Swamp]

The weather doesn't care who is deserving and not deserving.

 

It's going to be a really fun week ahead.

 

Mark it down.

 

Teeth gnashing and kicking the family dog coming right up.

[HighlandExperience]

Snowing in Olympia.

Yup. Olympia always scores

[Front Ranger]

The epic battleground between North/South streams sets up over Juneau this run.

[luvssnow_spokane]

We 

 

 

We better enjoy our dusting and possible 3 days off chilly weather.

 

Remember 12 hours ago when February 2014 was still being talked about as a possible worst case scenario? 

Warning shot!

[overcast]

Light snow is falling in the Fairwood area just east of Renton. I just left the gym there and it's legit snow - a pleasant surprise. Around 400 ft elevation - radar isn't picking it up. Nearest station showing temp of 32 with dp of 30: https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=pws:KWARENTO85

 

I don't think my area will come close to the forecasted high of 40 today- maybe won't get out of the mid-30s.

[snow maniac]

Had some light flurries earlier

[Deweydog]

I am on my way to meet Jesse and Dewey at Vancouver Mall to get the road trip started. Cold anomalies for days!

Let's meet at Panda. Nothing better than explosive diarrhea on a road trip!

[Timmy Supercell]

Wunderground now saying much more snow here over the next week with lows in the teens. 

 

Oh forgot to mention last night I had about 0.10" of snow. It stopped by around 8pm and cleared.

[Deweydog]

Snow is already starting?!?!?!??

[TT-SEA]

Some nice mid to upper 40s with rain being shown for Seattle on the 12Z ECMWF for next weekend!  

 

Spring?  

[chopper 918]

Some nice mid to upper 40s with rain being shown for Seattle on the 12Z ECMWF for next weekend!

 

Spring?

Not for Portland.

[ShawniganLake]

The epic battleground between North/South streams sets up over Juneau this run.

SOB. I just realized my passport expired.

[Deweydog]

Some nice mid to upper 40s with rain being shown for Seattle on the 12Z ECMWF for next weekend!

 

Spring?

Sounds chilly for spring. Even 4-19-08 got up near 50.

[HighlandExperience]

[TT-SEA]

Not for Portland.

 

 

No... only 42 and raining down there next Sunday on the 12Z ECMWF.   Much better.  

 

Then crashing down to 41 and raining on Monday.   Lows in the upper 30s will feel chilly though!  

[snow_wizard]

The GFS ensemble is clearly showing another cold shot around the 11th now. A mean of -8. Pretty similar to the ECMWF ensemble on the 0z. I bet the 12z ECMWF ensemble shows the same. Not that anyone will pay attention to this anyway, because I know the sky is falling.

[Front Ranger]

Some nice mid to upper 40s with rain being shown for Seattle on the 12Z ECMWF for next weekend!  

 

Spring?  

 

SAME THING HAPPENED IN JAN 1950, a** HOLE.

[Deweydog]

The block is still up there taunting us weenies at 240 hours.

[Heavy Snow]

I'm ready for summer, 80-90 degrees with full sunshine is going to feel good.

[snow_wizard]

Well...I'm done on here today.  I'm going to enjoy my snow tonight and will be back tomorrow.  Just not worth putting up with all the negativity.

[ShawniganLake]

Some nice mid to upper 40s with rain being shown for Seattle on the 12Z ECMWF for next weekend!

 

Spring?

I did see a hummingbird this morning. I always though they were a summer thing?

 

Looks cold and dry this week, could be worse. Just a little annoying that we likely won't get that January monkey off our backs.