Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 1 (4-run trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Who's posting the GFS 384 hr snow maps? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 GFS getting snowier too... precip is done before dawn Saturday on this run but it still manages to produce lots of snow. 5 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, Weiner Warrior said: Who's posting the GFS 384 hr snow maps? I nominate you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 4 AM Saturday the moisture JUST misses PDX as it swings north into Washington AGAIN. We do end up with an east wind event/storm with a PDX-DLS of at least -10mb. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: I nominate you. Haha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: 4 AM Saturday the moisture JUST misses PDX as it swings north into Washington AGAIN. We do end up with an east wind event/storm with a PDX-DLS of at least -10mb. Wait until that thing digs down south and some good wraparound is happening. I feel this one. Good pattern for over here anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 2 (4-run trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Precip loop from GFS shows it makes the eastward push and then quickly moves back to the west. Can't remember seeing this type of situation. ECMWF has been showing this for many runs. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: GFS getting snowier too... precip is done before dawn Saturday on this run but it still manages to produce lots of snow. Please shift that purple about 50 miles east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z NAM goes crazy tomorrow night... Is it me or all the models getting juicer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Weiner Warrior said: Please shift that purple about 50 miles east. Just move the Olympics... problem solved! 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 The timing for the snow, should it happen, is late tomorrow night/early Saturday morning, correct? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z NAM goes crazy tomorrow night... 3km is a different story though. I just don't see Seattle getting much out of this My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Terreboner said: Wait until that thing digs down south and some good wraparound is happening. I feel this one. Good pattern for over here anyway. Actually pays to be on the leeward side of the Cascades in those setups. Your area gets that sweet reverse upslope as the air flow wraps around the low, instead of the downsloping winds that the Willamette Valley will have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: ICON through Saturday evening... A few models are now showing close to a foot here! 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 3 (4-run trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted December 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 I went outside to check my trailers and snow was falling. I'm so happy, but I didn't take any photos because there were too many trucks driving around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 00z GFS looks pretty improved on Sunday evening for Portland. Narrow little burst over the area. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 00z GFS for TMRW night's storm. Seems more in line with WRF. NAM has pretty much nothing in Seattle, Euro has around an inch. I'm leaning towards believing NAM/Euro but we will see. 1 1 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, The Blob said: I went outside to check my trailers and snow was falling. I'm so happy, but I didn't take any photos because there were too many trucks driving around. Glad to here it my friend BLOB. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 00z GFS looks pretty improved on Sunday evening for Portland. Narrow little burst over the area. Have your thoughts changed at all on this winter. I am feeling much more optimistic. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Total snow through Monday... my area might get beat by both Seattle and Portland! 3 1 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: Total snow through Monday... my area might get beat by both Seattle and Portland! Wowzers. lol 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Precip loop from GFS shows it makes the eastward push and then quickly moves back to the west. Can't remember seeing this type of situation. ECMWF has been showing this for many runs. What is causing that? Seems odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, SnowWillarrive said: What is causing that? Seems odd Offshore low starts rotating to the SW. Still looks really strange though. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 PDX light snow from 12 PM Sunday through 4-6 AM Monday. Moisture lifts north and deformation band sets up right over PDX/Vancouver metro area. NICE! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 4 (4-run trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow through Monday... my area might get beat by both Seattle and Portland! Would the east metro see the most precip with this? I thought the east wind would dry things out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Have your thoughts changed at all on this winter. I am feeling much more optimistic. Cooler/drier seems like a good continued bet based on everything so far. Like I said awhile back, early December activity is traditionally a really nice sign for follow-up activity. So another good window seems likely right now once this period breaks down a bit (probably around mid-month). 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: PDX light snow from 12 PM Sunday through 4-6 AM Monday. Moisture lifts north and deformation band sets up right over PDX/Vancouver metro area. NICE! Homeless man's 2/6/2014. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 5 (4-run trend) PV seems to be trending a bit closer to us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Homeless man's 2/6/2014. If this system trends wetter/more QPF this could turn into a nice little snow storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Have your thoughts changed at all on this winter. I am feeling much more optimistic. Pretty clear at this point that the default/background state for this winter is not going to be warm. There was a point where a warmup / switch to SW flow was forecast in late November and it pretty much fell apart. Reminds me of the multiple warmups forecast through April/May that ended up being one or two days before it went right back to cold. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 8-12 is looking like a real possibility here. Crazy.. 5 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Day 6 (4-run trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Would be nice to see the area Portland actually score…they’ve had some very minor localized accumulations a few times so far this cold season down in the willamette valley but overall OR has missed out on all the fun. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Very rarely does a low come in at the OR/CA border and moisture doesn't go further north than forecast. No science behind it but seems it happens almost everytime. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Man I can't believe I am 50 years old tomorrow. The years just flew by. My wife has already been gone 6 years. 8 8 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Man I can't believe I am 50 years old tomorrow. The years just flew by. My wife has already been gone 6 years. Gonna be a hell of a 50th with the snow tomorrow night. You should do a shot for every inch of snow tomorrow 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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