Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Eventually, one of these ridiculous snow maps is going to work out. When it happens, everyone will speak to graces of the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I would most like about 8 inches of powder and very cold. Some of these solutions look they could get messy. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: This may be quite useful for some folks as this week wears on. It’ll be a war of attrition. ASMR is a fascinating phenomenon that I've experienced my whole life but never knew what it was until about 2011 or so. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 anybody checked out what the NBM is saying yet. does it go out far enough? I don't know or have access 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yeah I need sleep more than ever but I can’t until the Euro is done. Then I think... will I even remember tonight's 00Z ECMWF on Thursday? Probably not but still have to see it. 4 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Back here in the zen present moment. Clouds kind of melting away out there tonight. Always like when that happens when there’s a cold airmass overhead. Down to 39 now. 3 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEFS is colder yet with a major low level blast. That's getting very cold combined with east winds it would be bitter. Crazy that the operational is the single warmest member for a lot of the run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: anybody checked out what the NBM is saying yet. does it go out far enough? I don't know or have access Very snowy... which makes sense since the 12Z ECMWF was very snowy and of course the 00Z GFS. 7 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, clipper_range said: Crippling. It's going to feel cold Sunday to Wednesday, but I don't think we have to worry about "too much" snow. Certainly not roof-collapsing amounts of snow with this setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Back here in the zen present moment. Clouds kind of melting away out there tonight. Always like when that happens when there’s a cold airmass overhead. Down to 39 now. The colder/drier air is moving down through Central WA now. Should get there fairly soon. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Very snowy... which makes sense since the 12Z ECMWF was very snowy and of course the 00Z GFS. What does it show for temps at Boeing Field, if you don't mind posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Nov1985 said: It's going to feel cold Sunday to Wednesday, but I don't think we have to worry about "too much" snow. Certainly not roof-collapsing amounts of snow with this setup. I wouldn't rule anything out at this point. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Who's coming with me? https://indianapolis.craigslist.org/reb/d/indianapolis-off-market-3bed-2bath-in/7567489461.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gummy said: What does it show for temps at Boeing Field, if you don't mind posting. 4 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Very snowy... which makes sense since the 12Z ECMWF was very snowy and of course the 00Z GFS. what about temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEFS for The Dalles is incredibly frigid! Interesting that the ensemble mean is so much colder than the operational in the long run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said: Yay for living 10 miles south of Salem! In my experience, the Clackamas county line is the dividing line for gorge outflow influence when it comes to snowfall. South of it and you get the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Dave said: Who's coming with me? https://indianapolis.craigslist.org/reb/d/indianapolis-off-market-3bed-2bath-in/7567489461.html Let's get in the car! We can get jobs at IUPUI. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: KSFF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I wouldn't rule anything out at this point. More likely than the 00z GFS, the very dry air will be crippling if you don't have enough hand lotion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I’m a big fan of the 00z GFS and its ensembles well into the long range. A lot better in many ways than the 12z Euro/EPS suite earlier today. 4 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: In my experience, the Clackamas county line is the dividing line for gorge outflow influence when it comes to snowfall. South of it and you get the shaft. If he’s ten miles south of Salem it’s possible he has some elevation though. There’s some hilly country between Salem and the Santiam River. 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: KSFF? 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 44/34 and currently 34* with ice on the top of my mailbox ! Meanwhile as we hold onto hope with enticing pepto maps Prescott is getting a refresher of the white stuff this evening (28*). They did get up to 37 earlier today. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 49 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... When you have deep arctic air near or entrenched in the area crazy shittt like this is possible. A bunch of this snow isn't marginal either, should be plenty of cold air to work with. Reminds me of 1996 only this would be bigger and further south. It won't happen but it is possible I guess if everything went just right. There was 3 feet on the ground here 3 years ago and to think something like that is on the table again is just nuts. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: If he’s ten miles south of Salem it’s possible he has some elevation though. There’s some hilly country between Salem and the Santiam River. Jesse's trips to the Ankeny Hill winery have some wild nights. 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I wouldn't rule anything out at this point. KSEA is not going to score 30–40" by Christmas and I am quite willing to rule that out. 2 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: KSEA is not going to score 30–40" by Christmas and I am quite willing to rule that out. I think it is more realistic than negative readings in Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Dave said: Who's coming with me? https://indianapolis.craigslist.org/reb/d/indianapolis-off-market-3bed-2bath-in/7567489461.html For Indiana, South Bend is a much better city. Lake effect snow zone. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: looks about right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: When you have deep arctic air near or entrenched in the area crazy shittt like this is possible. A bunch of this snow isn't marginal either, should be plenty of cold air to work with. Reminds me of 1996 only this would be bigger and further south. It won't happen but it is possible I guess if everything went just right. There was 3 feet on the ground here 3 years ago and to think something like that is on the table again is just nuts. Yeah... whenever I think those maps are impossible I also think it has happened before and will happen again. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: I think it is more realistic than negative readings in Seattle. True that. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: For Indiana, South Bend is a much better city. Lake effect snow zone. Touchdown Jesus close by too. 3 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Already down to 34. Probably going to score a freeze tonight as things are clearing at my place. Would be number 25 of the winter so far for my location. 1 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... whenever I think those maps are impossible I also think it has happened before and will happen again. The odds are so small that at this stage they can safely be disregarded. 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: The odds are so small that at this stage they can safely be disregarded. Odds are not zero though. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z ECMWF Day 1 Oh god, here we go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: For Indiana, South Bend is a much better city. Lake effect snow zone. Lake effect yes, but that town is a dump outside of the ND campus, IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Odds are not zero though. Close enough that at this stage zero is a good approximation. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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