Requiem Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I cannot fathom how difficult it is these days to get some cold offshore flow. Seems like it was all the rage in years pre-2019... 4 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Yea….um…..no 3 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Definitely could be a poor man's January 2012 from the looks of things. Very poor man. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Welp. Gotta give this one to GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 King GFS it is! 4 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea….um…..no The one time the EURO was consistent... I s'pose that's one less model to trust... 5 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Euro tends to like to dig energy to the SW more so than other models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Requiem said: I cannot fathom how difficult it is these days to get some cold offshore flow. Seems like it was all the rage in years pre-2019... Even our fake cold has gotten incredibly pedestrian. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea….um…..no If this comes to fruition, I'll run through my sprinklers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 actually, all of the models really suck out here 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Well, this has been fun (not really). I think I am going to take tomorrow off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Very poor man. Yeah, even Euro yanks it back pretty quick mid-week to where low level arctic air never gets very established. On either side of the mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Devastating trends, winter cancel, IT’S OVER. Ok I think I got the top three classic lines in there 2 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Those pot shots at the GFS circa last Sunday are starting to look kinda silly. 4 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Anyone south of whatcom county should be getting nervous about this right now. Anyone south of whistler should be nervous now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Even our fake cold has gotten incredibly pedestrian. Might just be bad luck... but there is a part of me that feels as if there has been more than just a gradual shift in things lately. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Definitely could be a poor man's January 2012 from the looks of things. Yep. Another event that will fall under the "snowy for some, but not Arctic cold" side of things. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Wow... appears the overrunning event is basically gone now. The ECMWF went from showing 26 inches of snow in Seattle on the 00Z run last night... to 11 inches on the 12Z run... and now down to maybe an 1-2 inches on the 00Z run. Unbelievable for the ECMWF. 2 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Even our fake cold has gotten incredibly pedestrian. I mean, you have to get the pattern to support it. 1 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 850T to Thu afternoon 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Color me surprised-- I really did think Olympia north was relatively safe. 3 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Well even though the Euro caved to the GFS. We know very well the next time the GFS is showing cold and snow and the Euro isn’t who’s caving to who. 1 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Requiem said: Color me surprised-- I really did think Olympia north was relatively safe. Nobody is safe. 1 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 And like that, the ECMWF is now the worst looking model mid-to-late next week (sans ICON). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Maybe EPS will be better 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just yesterday morning the ECMWF was showing a historic arctic blast for second half of next week. Yesterday. And now this... total failure for the king. 1 5 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I think I need to go out and smoke a bowl after these 00z runs tonight. 1 1 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Very cold in the central US 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Nobody is safe. Not good… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Nobody is safe. Interestingly enough there IS a minor push of cold air into the basin that makes it possible for the metro area to stay as ZR... which is unfortunate. It is winter weather I suppose! 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I am taking a step back from model riding for a bit. I will let this pattern sort itself out. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I suppose we can only be happy if we get some snow on Monday-Wednesday 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... appears the overrunning event is basically gone now. The ECMWF went from showing 26 inches of snow in Seattle on the 00Z run last night... to 11 inches on the 12Z run... and now down to maybe an 1-2 inches on the 00Z run. Unbelievable for the ECMWF. Just goes to show - when a pattern looks tenuous due to fluid/unstable blocking (which ALL models have shown for days now), no model can be trusted really for cold and snow. 3 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, lowlandsnow said: Very cold in the central US And a snowstorm for the North East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I'm rooting for an ice storm! Get some kind of fun weather action out of this! C'MON!!!! MBG! 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Christmas was also very warm in 2005. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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