PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Doinko]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Timidity has never been in their nature.

Except on 1/10/17 and 4/11/22 lol.

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

Well, there ya have it folks.

From a Ph.D and a met at NWS Seattle

It's "over" 

They've been wrong before and they're wrong now 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Even snowier!!!!!!

Almost 2 feet here. God this model is just dumb sometimes. 

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Even snowier!!!!!!

Don’t lead me on

[Doinko]

Just now, icyasf said:

lol, in my opinion we don’t do too bad down here in terms of snowfall compared to areas even further south we’ve already had an inch down here in November (a minuscule amount, but still better than nothing) and we’ve had decent snow events down here excluding winter 19-20.

How did your area do during the January 2021 event?

[MikeInEverett]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

Well, there ya have it folks.

From a Ph.D and a met at NWS Seattle

It's "over" 

Not super surprising coming from him lol. We shall see.

[TacomaWx]

Nothing falling right now and 34 degrees. 

[selkirks]

I can't get over how much each and every post seems to contradict the last. It's hilarious!

That's always happened of course but it seems to be happening even more frequently now.

[Phishy Wx]

Euro will win.

[Parrot]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Even snowier!!!!!!

What are temps? Seems like a lot of people are already getting too warm which doesn't bode well. Seems like the warm EURO runs are more on track than they were earlier today.

[BothellTransplant]

Snowing hard in Canyon Park/Bothell. The roads are getting slippery.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Even snowier!!!!!!

Holy crap! 

[Doinko]

Just now, icyasf said:

we got about 3 inches of snow, but areas even further west got closer to 4.

That event was fun, we had a lot of snow in the air and a decent dusting on grass and roofs. Especially after nothing earlier than winter

[SouthHillFrosty]

It keeps going south! Idk wanna get my heart broken but fuck 

[TT-SEA]

So by tomorrow... either the GFS or ECMWF is going to be looking really silly.    They could not be more different for something that is happening right now. 

[HuskyMaestro]

6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Even snowier!!!!!!

Just when I've walked away, you pull me back in. 

[joelgombiner]

The Euro wanted the low to go north of the Olympics... Looks like it's going south. 

[Jbolin]

Is this that warm tongue, finger, toe, etc the ECMWF was showing and Tim spoke of? 

[runninthruda206]

Need Jaya or someone to analyze the sat imagery right about now 

[Hawksfan2008]

I present to you, the UPGRADED GFS I hope this thing gets a W…925s are great

[MikeInEverett]

Flakes have gotten smaller and more sparkly. Cold tongue!

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

Is this that warm tongue, finger, toe, etc the ECMWF was showing and Tim spoke of? 

Not too sure that's accurate tbh. Lots of people reporting snow on mPING within the supposedly green areas. 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

Is this that warm tongue, finger, toe, etc the ECMWF was showing and Tim spoke of? 

Looks like a high school kid drawing a **** pic on the radar. Damnit!

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

The Euro wanted the low to go north of the Olympics... Looks like it's going south. 

Looks like the low gets hung up on the SW side of the Olympics and heads SE. That has huge implications for the Central Sound. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, KingstonWX said:

Not too sure that's accurate tbh. Lots of people reporting snow on mPING within the supposedly green areas. 

I’m under snow in the green 

[Jbolin]

Just now, KingstonWX said:

Not too sure that's accurate tbh. Lots of people reporting snow on mPING within the supposedly green areas. 

It's a joke dude

[VancouverIslandSouth]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So by tomorrow... either the GFS or ECMWF is going to be looking really silly.    They could not be more different for something that is happening right now. 

Seems to be the same outcome up here regardless of the track, but substantially different down there. Hope you all can get a good blast of snow out of this as the low moves inland.

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

Is this that warm tongue, finger, toe, etc the ECMWF was showing and Tim spoke of? 

Looking at wunderground stations this isn't accurate 

[fubario]

3 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

Is this that warm tongue, finger, toe, etc the ECMWF was showing and Tim spoke of? 

proper term is 'warm boner'

[joelgombiner]

1 minute ago, runninthruda206 said:

Need Jaya or someone to analyze the sat imagery right about now 

Here's what it looks like. No obvious low center to my eye, but Jaya was talking about "development" south of a boundary. If I'm reading the imagery right, the main area of development is heading towards the south of the Olympics as the GFS and RGEM show. 

 

[Terreboner]

Sucks that the snow will move into Green Bay about the time the game ends.

[Meatyorologist]

GFS is gonna be too cold and Euro is gonna be too warm.

[Meatyorologist]

31/30, holding somewhat steady with a light snowfall

[Deweydog]

GFS really speeding up the arrival of our glazemaker…

[BLI snowman]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

GFS is gonna be too cold and Euro is gonna be too warm.

"a tale as old as time"

*queue Beauty and the Beast

[TT-SEA]

Early tomorrow morning the 00Z GFS, 00Z GEM, 00Z ICON, and 18Z ECMWF all have the low in the exact same spot... around LaPush on the NW WA coast.    The difference seem to be how surface conditions are handled.

[Timmy]

The gfs has trended warmer for hour 78 the last 3 runs it looks like 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

This is a very dry powdery snow over the Saanich Peninsula, it's blowing around and covering all surfaces. Even the area under our dense cedar is snow covered now. Lots of snow showing up on the local highways:

[Requiem]

Not a fan of this GFS run 

[SimplySmoothWX]

5 minutes ago, fubario said:

proper term is 'warm boner'

Beat me to it!