Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z NAM looks like its coming in a bit north and hits S IA better....doesn't look better for LNK.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Yes! NAM took a jog north! clinging to every model run over here... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 The NAM also sped up dramatically from previous runs. A good six hours faster on the snow arrival in E Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Something to plow would be a nice Christmas present! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Seems to be trending towards the Euro...a bit better organized at 500mb which has been a trend...actually, LNK does alright but trended towards the southern edge of the 3" cut off... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z NAM is creeping the 3" line close to Chicago...nice trends over here...looks like 2-3" for ORD which is better than what the 00z/06z runs showed earlier... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 I’m gonna blindly believe the NAM here. Not gonna look at any other models... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z NAM...if models trend better after today's 12z suite, LOT may shift the WWA's a county or two north...I'm glad to see this slight bump north... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Currently getting some snow from the southern system. Just clipping SEMI. Everything white outside. Temp @ 32F. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 .16” qpf on the NAM for Iowa City. Showing 2.7” total snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 3K NAM is about 30 miles south of the regular nam. Still about 2” for Iowa City, which I would take in a heartbeat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 High Rez 12z NAM following trends as well....interesting Lehs feature showing up for NW IN....IndianaJohn/Hoosier may cash in...tough to forecast though... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 HRRR is agreeing with what the 12z NAM suite... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Perhaps WWA's will be posted later this afternoon or early tomorrow morning w this potent clipper on Sunday and into early Monday. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Gee right on the edge here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Go north! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Snow has started a little earlier than projected last night! Flakes are getting bigger, earlier this morning they were small as small can be! We might sneak out 4" from this, I'm liking the trends!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Snow has started a little earlier than projected last night! Flakes are getting bigger, earlier this morning they were small as small can be! We might sneak out 4" from this, I'm liking the trends!Happy be-lated B Day gift from mother nature... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Go north!No! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 I love the new addition this year in Hastings; they give the probabilities of snow for the CWA. Late to the party as a lot of places already do this but it's pretty cool! Shelby, NE 2 3 3 100% 98% 81% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Happy be-lated B Day gift from mother nature...No kidding Tom!! Hopefully this thing surprises and gives us all a white christmas! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 HRRR looks good for LNK. Think somebody will score 6” out of this somewhere 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 HRRR looks good for LNK. Think somebody will score 6” out of this somewhere I think you guys in Lincoln stand a great chance of seeing 3-6". These type of set-ups tend to favor your region. I think anyone between the Platte river and the I-80 corridor in Eastern Nebraska should average 3-4". Cheers to a white x-mas! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Canadian give i80 corridor 1-1.5” in Iowa. I’ll be happy with that. Just glad that it’s looking like I won’t get shut out entirely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z Ukie is the wettest thus far today...let’s see what the Euro shows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Rap model has over 3 inches...sounds good to me! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z euro... yesterday's 12z, which had the peak snow band down I-80, was a one-run wonder. It appears I may get my first measurable snowfall of the season, but that's all. http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2017122312/mw/ecmwf_t_precip_mw_48.pnghttp://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2017122312/greatlakes/ecmwf_t_precip_greatlakes_48.png Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Something to plow would be a nice Christmas present!Would love for that to happen also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 I said all along I’d be happy with 1”. Even though I’m just going to miss out on heavier snow , I would be satisfied with 1”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Is it possible to tell if this is coming any further north or south than what models are suggesting? I am hoping to get at least an inch out of this and it looks like I have a chance of having that happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Going against my wishes but I think the trend per RAP/HRRR and surface obs is just a tad South. Personally don't trust HRRR/RAP past 7-8 hours but appears to be drier and colder further N. Just my .02 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 It’s hard to tell right now because nothing is really going on yet on radar. Models are forecasting snow to break out for much of central and western Nebraska in the next 2-4 hours. We should know more then hopefully Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 18z nam south from the 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Kane, DuPage and Cook added to WWA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Models now even showing some light snow here on Christmas Eve evening. 1/2” expected. Snow for everyone this Christmas! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Winter weather advisory added for my county and the i80 corridor in eastern Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 The HRRR misses almost all of E Iowa except the bottom two row of counties. Sure hope that’s wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 For what it is worth GRR has now issued a WWA for late tomorrow into Christmas day. I added the sarcasm because of a couple of the recent past WWA for our area did not pan out that well. Had one for snow that turned out to be a sunny day and then one for FR that did not pan out either. Will have to see if they strike out on this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 Forget the models and look to the radar otherwise you will drive yourself insane. They are worthless at this stage. Actually at all stages. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.