February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[BLI snowman]

I do have a feeling that deep western troughing may be a frequent guest this spring, though. Glad the regime kicked into gear early enough that we are still able to snow some decent cold and snow out of it.

 

Just imagine if we had been able to get this pattern in mid May!

 

#ohwell

[Jesse]

Just imagine if we had been able to get this pattern in mid May!

 

#ohwell

 

Maybe we will get a redux.

 

#48degreegraupelmadness

[TT-SEA]

I think it boils down to this:

 

People just want you to STFU.

 

Enjoy your vacation.

 

Quit pissing in our Cheerios while snow is on the ground.

 

Yellow snow sucks.

 

I get hundreds of 'likes' on my cold and snow posts and my lowland snow maps and my excitement over others getting snow.    No one tells me to STFU then.   

 

One post about what I would love to happen in the future and then somehow I am pissing in their cheerios?   Am I that important??   If I said everyone was stupid for wanting snow and it will never snow again and this is not a cold pattern... that would be pissing in their cheerios.     

[Jesse]

Should make for a fun spring for most. Hail and lightning, can't beat that for Spring.

 

It's been too long since we've seen a spring with a lot of cold core convection. 

[BLI snowman]

Maybe we will get a redux.

 

#48degreegraupelmadness

 

This was a pretty sexy one

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0517.php

 

Only took a completely snowless winter to get there!

[Deweydog]

I get hundreds of 'likes' on my cold and snow posts and my lowland snow maps and my excitement over others getting snow. No one tells me to STFU then.

 

One post about what I would love to happen in the future and then somehow I am pissing in their cheerios? Am I that important?? If I said everyone was stupid for wanting snow and it will never snow again and this is not a cold pattern... that would be pissing in their cheerios.

Did you also have the largest crowd ever at your forum inauguration?

[Jesse]

This was a pretty sexy one

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0517.php

 

Only took a completely snowless winter to get there!

 

Bad analog then.

[stuffradio]

Big map of equal chances for the next month.

 

[wx_statman]

This was a pretty sexy one

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0517.php

 

Only took a completely snowless winter to get there!

 

-5c and thicknesses in the mid-520's. Pretty epic for 5/17! Darrington got 0.5" snow out of that one...at just over 500 feet asl.

[Geos]

Predicted high of 34 here tomorrow with no mention of rain. Currently 34/23 with snow still very present in the shaded areas (both roads and grass). 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I get hundreds of 'likes' on my cold and snow posts and my lowland snow maps and my excitement over others getting snow.    No one tells me to STFU then.   

 

One post about what I would love to happen in the future and then somehow I am pissing in their cheerios?   Am I that important??   If I said everyone was stupid for wanting snow and it will never snow again and this is not a cold pattern... that would be pissing in their cheerios.     

 

Just do a count of the likes on your cheerio yellowing posts, then you should understand the difference.  Timing, baby, timing...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

ICON

[HighlandExperience]

ICON

18z icon looks good compared to NAM. Let’s hope Germans are right

[luvssnow_spokane]

I am not pretending when I say this... that is absolutely amazing given the weak nature of the system. I am genuinely happy for you.

About 5 to 6inches in east Bonney Lake

[luvssnow_spokane]

[bainbridgekid]

About 5 to 6inches in east Bonney Lake

That is awesome.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, I would think so considering we'll being working on three straight weeks of an unseasonable pattern by that point.

 

It makes sense,  and I think most of us will be ready for it by then. Hopefully this is one of those springs with some sharp troughing and some good ridges in between. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

About 5 to 6inches in east Bonney Lake

Been a long time since you had 6 inches.  

[High Desert Mat!]

[Jesse]

It makes sense, and I think most of us will be ready for it by then. Hopefully this is one of those springs with some sharp troughing and some good ridges in between.

Agreed, those are the best. 2008.

[Esquimalt]

Beautiful and sunny today, with a ton of snow still on the ground (some melting, but to be expected).  Temps are around 35 or 36.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The next few systems are ripe for CZ development once they move through. With temps being so on the edge, a CZ would greatly help drive the snow level down and drop surprising amounts even for those without elevation.

 

Almost all models show at least one, some multiple, CZs over the next few days. That potential alone has me excited.

This is where models struggle the most when we start bringing some onshore flow into the mix. Today will just help for tomorrow night with this nice shot of dry air. Some places will end up with more snow than predicted almost for sure of that. I have great shelter from the sw winds over here so that helps massive.

[ShawniganLake]

Been a long time since you had 6 inches.

Didn’t he get like a foot last February.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Dew point 9 at Bellingham.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Been a long time since you had 6 inches.

 

Lol.. yes it has. Even Puyallup scores with its excessive swamp gas problem. I did a get short lived 33 degree dumping of around 12” last February. Pretty sloppy but was a lot!!

[HighlandExperience]

The next few systems are ripe for CZ development once they move through. With temps being so on the edge, a CZ would greatly help drive the snow level down and drop surprising amounts even for those without elevation.

 

Almost all models show at least one, some multiple, CZs over the next few days. That potential alone has me excited.

Yea interestingly the morning nws discussion removed their discussion about that. The overnight one was more interesting.

[Jesse]

Didn’t he get like a foot last February.

 

That's what I remember. He and Alpine Experience had close to a foot or more. Which is actually more than any stand alone snow event I have seen in the metro area since 2008 ( we had 8-10" on 1/10/17).

[HighlandExperience]

That's what I remember. He and Alpine Experience had close to a foot or more. Which is actually more than any stand alone snow event I have seen in the metro area since 2008 ( we had 8-10" on 1/10/17).

Yes east side stretching down hwy 18 corridor including Bonney lake had 12-15 inches depending on location.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

More

[stuffradio]

It makes sense,  and I think most of us will be ready for it by then. Hopefully this is one of those springs with some sharp troughing and some good ridges in between. 

"Land of ridges in-between sharp troughing"

 

Make that a signature.

[ShawniganLake]

Beautiful and sunny today, with a ton of snow still on the ground (some melting, but to be expected). Temps are around 35 or 36.

35 here. Our snow is melting quickly in the sun, but we didn’t have much to melt. Only dropped to 26 this morning but it was cloudy overnight. This evening should drop off quickly.

[MikeInEverett]

God I hate those maps they use. 0-4 inches is pretty much all the same color of blue!

Honestly, I don’t understand how the NWS can’t have better graphic design, their 7-day outlooks on twitter aren’t appealing either. I could do better than that.

 

I know that’s obviously not their biggest worry, but still.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

First prediction. Bellingham area will have 6 inches new snow by Monday morning. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

That trough is looking pretty cold and snowy Sunday night.

[HighlandExperience]

18z GFS continues to show minimal shadowing and higher snow totals with surface temps hovering on either side of freezing.

 

Sunday also looks snowy after initial rain in the morning.

Wow that and the icon look good for WWa. Let’s hope they are right. Hope the EUro is wrong. It could be considering it blew totals from last night.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

EUG down to exactly normal on the month. PDX just a +0.5, SLE +1.2

[Front Ranger]

Honestly, I don’t understand how the NWS can’t have better graphic design, their 7-day outlooks on twitter aren’t appealing either. I could do better than that.

 

I know that’s obviously not their biggest worry, but still.

Thanks, Trump!

[ShawniganLake]

Blocking still looks strong next week on the GFS. Hopefully we can score one decent snow event here out of this.

[Esquimalt]

Blocking still looks strong next week on the GFS. Hopefully we can score one decent snow event here out of this.

What are your thoughts for tomorrow and the weekend on VI? 

[Geos]

18z GFS continues to show minimal shadowing and higher snow totals with surface temps hovering on either side of freezing.

 

Sunday also looks snowy after initial rain in the morning.

 

Yeah, nice for central and northern King County on this run. 

 

 

The next system