Money Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 the second wave also seems a lot weaker. Eh, lets wait and see. That was a crappy comment.It’s south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 the second wave also seems a lot weaker. Eh, lets wait and see. That was a crappy comment.It's looking pretty go as it starts to develope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 It’s southMakes sense that if the first one goes south and the second wave will follow suit. Also develops just fine, as I suspected my previous comment was pretty crappy lol. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Looks good for my area on the GFS. 13.5" I suppose I'd take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 The NE/IA folks certainly don't want there to be so much of a cold push that the big weekend wave misses southeast. Yuck. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Money watching from the sidelines for now. 100 hours for a system this complex is an eternity Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Money watching from the sidelines for now. 100 hours for a system this complex is an eternityI’ve seen storms trend hundreds of miles even within 72-84 hours. Way too early to throw in the towel I figured this would trend south tho with the added snowcover 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 I’ve seen storms trend hundreds of miles even within 72-84 hours. Way too early to throw in the towel I figured this would trend south tho with the added snowcoverSure strong systems tend to follow the baroclinic zone, if it's strong enough to do that you are in good shape. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Not launching the towel, but trends over the past 4 days have been wagons south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 That was WAY too far South. That would be reminiscent of 2013-14 for us. Constant misses to our South. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Not launching the towel, but trends over the past 4 days have been wagons south.Like they say (whose they? Idk), not being in the bullseye this far out is good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 To be fair, the first wave is less than 60 hours out, so we're not that far away here from the beginning of the storm parade. And more than likely the 2nd wave will be south of the first wave, based on the baroclinic zone, but you never know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 To be fair, the first wave is less than 60 hours out, so we're not that far away here from the beginning of the storm parade. And more than likely the 2nd wave will be south of the first wave, based on the baroclinic zone, but you never know. It seems to me that the first wave doesn't have very much of a cold push with it, or at least not enough to override the warm surge ahead of the last wave. I think it will be slightly south, but not much... Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buzzman289 Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 latest maps are 18 z maps lets see what the next round of maps show before we fall apart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 First wave looks like a good hit for me on 18z GFS loop. Id like to see snowfall map of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted February 6, 2018 Report Share Posted February 6, 2018 Like they say (whose they? Idk), not being in the bullseye this far out is good. Bingo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 I like this ensemble mean. Granted it's depth, which is 10:1 AFAIK and also includes this past event. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gefs/2018020618/120/snod.conus.png Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 0066C013-5C89-48E5-9001-8138A7B82284.pngAh, these color maps. Reminds me of the lead-up to GHD I when I kept waiting for these every 6 hours. I'd be glad with half of what that's showing. Sadly, my wife won't be glad about any of it. 2 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 blah....not gonna lie this one hurts 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 blah....not gonna lie this one hurtsYeah but still time for changes I’ve turned my magnet on for the 0z runs tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 ^ you’re gonna need a really strong magnet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 ^ you’re gonna need a really strong magnet.I got this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Nam is a little south with the first wave but north and stronger with the second wave compared to 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 ^ you’re gonna need a really strong magnet.Gonna need the Geos magnet for that 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Gonna need the Geos magnet for that His magnet worked so many times a storm could be 300 miles away and he’d be confident it was going to hit him. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Nam! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 His magnet worked so many times a storm could be 300 miles away and he’d be confident it was going to hit him...and look what's happened to NEIL since he left? Ouch 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 00z NAM... a bit of a north shift from 18z. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 I-88 special on that NAM run. My old stomping grounds gonna get rocked I think. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Icon also coming in with a stronger farther north second wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 gross hope it stays south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Wow that nam run changed drastically lol. Damnit Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Throw the towel in over the nam this far out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Lol heck no. Just ranting. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 IWX prelim snow map has 6-8" along 94 from Kzoo west towards ST Joe Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 84 hour NAM being crazy? Whaaaaaaat? Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 7, 2018 Report Share Posted February 7, 2018 Gfs pretty identical to 18z so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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