jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Meanwhile south east of OKC….. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Very heavy band just sitting over me. 1/8 visibility. 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 01z HRRR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Pretty strong vort sig. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 NWS Hastings update. ..WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CSTTHURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and east central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...Until noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 27 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Very heavy band just sitting over me. 1/8 visibility. Snow is pulsating right over your area. River effect snow?? Hoping it rides it’s way up north into my area. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Pretty clear banding showing up right a long the platte river. It’s full so hopefully that can add some moisture to this band…… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Pretty clear banding showing up right a long the platte river. It’s full so hopefully that can add some moisture to this band…… It is quite a band. Easily 1-2” an hour rate. Visibility at times drops to near 0. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Continue to have brief waves of mostly graupel passing through this evening. The latest batch was nearly pea size and almost sounded like small hail hitting the house. Don't really see this too often. I'd rather have the near blizzard conditions but oh well...lol. Temp is 31F. ETA: Just had a loud clap of thunder to go with all of this! Rockin' and rollin' out there...lol 6 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 00z RDPS Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Viaero camera here in town at 9:30 pm. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 My son was over at a friends house across town. Said streets are horrible and in some places, he couldn’t see the street in front of him due to heavy snow and snow blowing sideways. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Even with the most recent (0Z) GFS giving C.IA 8"+ and been rather consistent -- I don't buy it. Last event on FEB 9th-- it's 06Z run had DSM getting 4.0" by 12Z --- got .1". Same goes with RDPS. Toss it. Sadly its likely going to be HRRR with the win. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 00z GFS 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 00z GDPS... farther east Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Fascinating, models still want >6" in Omaha. Just don't see it. Would love to be wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 03z RAP Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 @Tom @Hoosier are we not paying much attention to these high rez for decent lake effect for Nwi.? Or is it just wishful thinking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 This is a really lame storm. The snow band is about 50 miles wide lmao. Anyone outside that gets zilch 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DSM WeatherNut Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 26 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: 03z RAP Looks closest to radar trends so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 36 minutes ago, The Snowman said: Fascinating, models still want >6" in Omaha. Just don't see it. Would love to be wrong. It seems to be at least trying to set up further north. Still fighting the D**n dry air though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Really hope the UKIE is on to something. Big increase here in C.IA from 12Z- 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DSM WeatherNut Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Really hope the UKIE is on to something. Big increase here in C.IA from 12Z- Decent shift on that model Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 My office basically says they have no idea lol GRR Will not be making any changes to the current advisory and precip/snow amounts, but there are still some uncertainties with the Thursday system. First, the QPF amounts are still in question with the new 00Z NAM showing only around 0.3 to 0.5 but the 00Z HRRR/ARW forecasting 0.5 to 0.75. All 3 of these HiRes models do have the same placement of the max QPF axis/swath though, from roughly BIV to GRR to AMN. This corridor also represents the likely dividing line between mostly snow to the north and mostly sleet to the south, so where it is primarily all snow the 4-6" amounts should work out fine and there may be locally more than 6" depending on where the best FGEN banding sets up (and if the HRRR/ARW QPF is accurate). Meanwhile the newer guidance is less bullish on QPF across the area north of a MKG to MOP line, suggesting accumulations may be lower than currently forecast. However snow ratios should be higher across this area being deeper in the colder air. This is a case where a model blended QPF and Snow Ratio approach may not be ideal. The values may be too smeared out and lower over a broader area. It is quite possible in this event that a relatively narrow band of heavier snow/sleet occurs within or near that BIV to GRR to AMN corridor, with less precipitation occuring on either side of where the best FGEN forcing zone sets up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Well congratulations to Holdrege, AGAIN 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Well dry air wins out here. Nothing falling but radar is showing reflectivity.Going off humidity; I’m sitting at 77%. Places getting light snow are at 82% and @CentralNebWeatheris sitting at 88% with moderate snow. South central Nebraska is gonna do really well. I’m holding on hope areas from Lincoln and Omaha on east get something. You guys are so over due. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 00z Euro... very sharp gradient over east-central Iowa. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 (edited) It really began snowing here maybe 45 minutes ago and it's already getting a bit white out there! It started sooner than I expected so it could over perform, but there's a lot of sleet mixed in now and I hear it hitting the window so that could cut into totals. But some sleet was kinda expected at onset down here. Saw some big flakes too. This probably won't be a high ratio snowfall here with plenty moisture available. Edited February 16, 2023 by Sparky *Could 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 11 minutes ago, Sparky said: It really began snowing here maybe 45 minutes ago and it's already getting a bit white out there! It started sooner than I expected so it could over perform, but there's a lot of sleet mixed in now and I hear it hitting the window so that couldn't cut into totals. But some sleet was kinda expected at onset down here. Saw some big flakes too. This probably won't be there high ratio snowfall here with plenty moisture available. Where in SE IA you Sparky? County is fine., Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Where in SE IA you Sparky? County is fine., Johnson county or about 12 miles sw of Iowa City. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Fwiw, it had basically nothing here and Omaha for another hour and just had the snow start in Lincoln right now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Closing in on our 1st inch here. Its going to be a busy day. Will try to update you folks later. We look to be a bullseye some where near here. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Started here about 30 mins ago. Overcame dry air quicker than I thought but about on par with CAM's. Been watching the obs and radar near Holdrege,NE--- they have to have at least 8" based on what I've seen. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 hope this is right for omaha/lincoln folks 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Thunderstorm activity got further north than I was expecting. I got an inch of rain in 30 minutes, with 1.09" total. Good frequent lightning too. It was a nice surprise to the upside for rainfall. 4 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 16, 2023 Report Share Posted February 16, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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