Phil Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Hour 384 ftmfw. Looks like the 1890s. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 My moss is alive and well! Currently 46 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 My moss is alive and well! Currently 46 degrees. Had any rain lately? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Had any rain lately?Half inch over the last 24hrs! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 My moss is alive and well! Currently 46 degrees.I need some of that for my waterfall !!! Beautiful stuff 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 What a bizarre and horrible pattern progression.Horrible? Looks like lots of buckling around the globe. That is likely the influence of low solar. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Calculating the trend on where our new 30 year normals will be for SLE. Not surprisingly replacing the 80s with the 2010s is not going to be bringing the averages down...I hadn't noticed, but SLE's average low in February during the 1981-2010 period was 0.1F colder than in January... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Interestingly in the past 100 years there has been essentially no change in annual mean temperature at SLE. The 1991-2010 mean was 53.0, the warmest 30 year period was 1921-1950 when it was 53.1. The coldest 1951-1980 when it was 52.0. We'll roll out the 80s soon, and right now 1991-2020 is on pace to be the warmest at 53.6. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Another boring day in Springfield. Currently 44 and no precip at all. Doubt we have another freeze tonight keeping us at 7 so far. Gonna be crazy if the Nov thread has fewer than 100 pages. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Another boring day in Springfield. Currently 44 and no precip at all. Doubt we have another freeze tonight keeping us at 7 so far. Gonna be crazy if the Nov thread has fewer than 100 pages.Hopefully December will be much more exciting. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Hmm, the 23rd to the 25th is starting to look intriguing... 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Hmm, the 23rd to the 25th is starting to look intriguing...Not bad on the op GFS. Euro still not showing much of anything. It also looks pretty progressive without any prolonged cold over us and the 534 line barely skirting the south valley. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Still zzzzz on the models. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Still zzzzz on the models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Still zzzzz on the models.Yea I saw that. The new gfs sure likes to be goofy with the blocking in the long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Wow! 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Yeah, something’s up with this year. It’s November 15th and it’s snowing sideways out here. This isn’t supposed to happen. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 So maybe this year breaks tradition and February ends up being the big winter month out there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Dense fog and 44 this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 The South is getting November snow and we can’t even get a high below 50... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 So maybe this year breaks tradition and February ends up being the big winter month out there. Or maybe the entire year is going to be steaming hot trash. Much more believable, given the current setup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 36 and sunny when I left the house. 45 and foggy down in Salem. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 I don't have any stats to back this up, but I'm pretty sure overall model performance in the mid/long range has been abysmal lately. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 The 00Z 46 day EPS shows roughly above normal temps for us through the rest of the month, and then starting Dec 1 it's mostly normal or below normal. The normal temps are more around WA and south, and below normal at the border in BC. Below normal around Christmas too! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Downward trend has stopped for now... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 The 00Z 46 day EPS shows roughly above normal temps for us through the rest of the month, and then starting Dec 1 it's mostly normal or below normal. The normal temps are more around WA and south, and below normal at the border in BC. Below normal around Christmas too! When was that released? The last update of the ECMWF weeklies on WB was from Monday and it looks pretty warm through December. You might have access to a more recent version. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 When was that released? The last update of the ECMWF weeklies on WB was from Monday and it looks pretty warm through December. You might have access to a more recent version. It's released daily. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 It's released daily.Link? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Nice day... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 It's released daily.They only do those twice a week, Monday and Thursday. And today is Thursday, and of course Europe is way ahead of us time zone wise. So maybe you did see the very latest forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Nice day... Attempting to get a little brighter here as well! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looks like a full Nino torch pattern for awhile. A rare warm/bone dry November combo is looking like a lock. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Downward trend has stopped for now... Barring another massive jump, the SON trimonthly will probably come in around +.5 to .6. Weak Nino along the lines of 2014, 2006, 2004, 1979, 1977, 1976, 1968, 1958, and 1953. Those winters were all over the place, part of the reason I wouldn't count on typical Nino climo being the rule this year. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looks like a full Nino torch pattern for awhile. A rare warm/bone dry November combo is looking like a lock. Euro says not so fast. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Barring another massive jump, the SON trimonthly will probably come in around +.5 to .6. Weak Nino along the lines of 2014, 2006, 2004, 1979, 1977, 1976, 1968, 1958, and 1953. Those winters were all over the place, part of the reason I wouldn't count on typical Nino climo being the rule this year. Probably end up a combination of 2014-15, 2004-05, and 1976-77. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Go 06/07!!!!!!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 Euro says not so fast. 12Z ECMWF shows total precip of .20 for Portland through Thanksgiving. It might look troughy on the 500mb map... but the action is focused to our south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 12Z ECMWF shows total precip of .20 for Portland through Thanksgiving. It might look troughy on the 500mb map... but the action is focused to our south. It's not a full blown torch like he was describing and some models have shown for that period. Not even close. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2018 Report Share Posted November 15, 2018 It's not a full blown torch like he was describing and some models have shown for that period. Not even close. Ahhhhhh. True. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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