jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 full-on Nino pattern right now. Carolina's buried in 2 foot, while we're cold and dry. Then we warm up and rain. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 I am nino here me roar....not liking where this is heading imo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Well, he was just posting on that one GFS run which looked sweet for SENE. Decent track/moisture/cold combo compared to 95% rainer over my way.I know. I do the same thing sometimes. I wasn't being an actual *******. That's also not what I was referring to when I replied to you, I was just saying in general. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 full-on Nino pattern right now. Carolina's buried in 2 foot, while we're cold and dry. Then we warm up and rain. Not to mention Southern California getting drenched. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Big difference. Euro has the low in Southeast OK. Aside from a small band around here when the low fires up, it's pretty much an all-rain event up until it reaches Canada. That has to be frustrating for the people actually receiving said rain. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 While Ol' Man Winter takes its early season "winter break" for most of our sub, I've had a bit more time on my hands to study the long range pattern and where I feel we are heading. There are several storm systems that I'm eye balling after the late week system next week which will gear us up for the Christmas and New Year holidays. Gosh, I can't believe we are already firmly in the holiday season. So, as we get through this "warm spell" next week and into the following weekend, nature is setting the stage for Winter to return and I like what I'm seeing off the GEFS/EPS in the Week 2 period. Both models are seeing the active and potentially snowy pattern shaping up right around, or just before the Winter Solstice period. If we are to use the LRC as guidance, there is a storm system during the 18th-20th time frame that should come out of the SW and eject out of the Rockies and develop in the central Plains. From there, depending on how much blocking, if any, sets up across S Canada, it will either cut towards the GL's or take a more west/east storm track. IMO, this storm will be the one that snaps us out of the benign, warm "nino-ish" pattern we will have been in. Using the EAR, both the GFS/EURO have a storm tracking right through Japan on the 11th/12th which fits the timing of the aforementioned storm system and lines up with the LRC's timing as well. It doesn't stop there....following this system, leading us up towards the Winter Solstice period, coincidentally, I think there will be a vigorous NW PAC wave and/or a Clipper traversing the N Rockies and likely tracking across the northern tier of our sub, ushering the beginning of a long stretch of arctic cold and bonafide Winter-like conditions. This particular system should set the stage of what I believe will be a wild finish to the month of December. I won't be surprised if there are literally systems every other day that we are tracking across our sub. Obviously, not everyone is going to get hit by every storm but the opportunities during this 10-15 day stretch to close out December should really lift up the holiday spirit and snows will be flying. Finally, I will finish with this, which may end up being one of those holiday seasons, whereby, we will be tracking a major Christmas Day storm system...and, quite possibly, a NYE/New Year's Day storm. Interestingly, several long range tools I use "line up" on the days during both holidays. To provide you an idea for the Christmas period, using the BSR, we see a storm tracking west/east across the Aleutian Islands this weekend which correlates to a storm around the Christmas holiday and fits the dates using the LRC pattern. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Took a nice walk around the area of the motel and it is a very warm and summer like start to the day down here in south Florida, The reported temperature is 74 and the DP is 63. We are getting ready to leave for the port (Port Everglades) This will be my last post until some time on Sunday December 16th 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Took a nice walk around the area of the motel and it is a very warm and summer like start to the day down here in south Florida, The reported temperature is 74 and the DP is 63. We are getting ready to leave for the port (Port Everglades) This will be my last post until some time on Sunday December 16thHave fun down there WestMJim! Soak up some rays for me and the rest of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Sunny and frigid w temps at 16F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 NOAA: Larger scale height rises east of theRockies initiate a warming trend across the Great Lakes during themid to late week period that favors MOS temperature guidance overblended data-sets. High temperatures in the 40s look reachable byThursday and could hold into next weekend making rain likely withthe next low pressure system. El nino has arrived! Cold dry, warms up w rain, then, colder and dry again...UGH! If you get rain in December and not snow, then, you know the pattern is sucky. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 NOAA: Larger scale height rises east of theRockies initiate a warming trend across the Great Lakes during themid to late week period that favors MOS temperature guidance overblended data-sets. High temperatures in the 40s look reachable byThursday and could hold into next weekend making rain likely withthe next low pressure system. El nino has arrived! Cold dry, warms up w rain, then, colder and dry again...UGH! If you get rain in December and not snow, then, you know the pattern is sucky. yikes...see y'all around Christmas (hopefully) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 yikes...see y'all around Christmas (hopefully) Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Wow the CMC 12z drops a snow bomb over northern KS and eastern Nebraska. The only one to do so, so I'll take it with a grain of salt. 20 inches wow, hard to believe but that would be awesome. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Wow the CMC 12z drops a snow bomb over northern KS and eastern Nebraska. The only one to do so, so I'll take it with a grain of salt. 20 inches wow, hard to believe but that would be awesome. If it's just gonna be a rainer over here, I'd rather it did that and slammed some of us.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Thanks for this analysis. I enjoy your long-range discussions. THIS! Thx Tom Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 GFS has been increasingly bullish with a Wed eve/night front-end snow fall here in SMI. 3rd run now reflecting such scenario. I'd welcome it for sure. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Insert face-palm, arrow-thru-head, etc. @ snowing in Dixie while rainer for us up north. You WILL here a scream across the sub if this plays out verbatim Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Didn't have time to peek at models all day, but I see the 6z GFS actually pulled together a nice system for us. Need the Euro to get on board with the colder outcome tho. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Didn't have time to peek at models all day, but I see the 6z GFS actually pulled together a nice system for us. Need the Euro to get on board with the colder outcome tho. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh144-162.gifLooks like some Possible LES for NWI on the backside as it heads East 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Wow the CMC 12z drops a snow bomb over northern KS and eastern Nebraska. The only one to do so, so I'll take it with a grain of salt. 20 inches wow, hard to believe but that would be awesome. LOL, just looped that 12z GEM and thought I'd clicked on last weekend's run. That's about as close to a deja-va copy cat storm as I've ever seen from any model, ever. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Looks like some Possible LES for NWI on the backside as it heads East Yeah, unfortunately attm it's a cold solution outlier. There's a lot of different possibilities still being painted at this range. The solutions that are more amped for us, actually want to wrap in too much warm air. We need a balanced approach as seen on that 6z GFS loop. Just that it was one run of one model that showed enough cold for a legit snow threat. Let's see how this trends. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 If it is going to continue to be a struggle just to get an inch of snow here, let's just move on from this winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 If it is going to continue to be a struggle just to get an inch of snow here, let's just move on from this winter. [/quote??] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 We received 3" of rain over the past 24 hrs. Imagine if that was snow. Rain still out west. Heavy overcast -800'Snow/Ice mix to the west as well about 70 miles where elevation begins to rise approx. 20 mi. West of Ft. Worth. 39* @ 2:30 pmDewpoint 36*. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 South n east the drum beat goes on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 LOL, just looped that 12z GEM and thought I'd clicked on last weekend's run. That's about as close to a deja-va copy cat storm as I've ever seen from any model, ever.I noticed that too. I would love it but all the other models keep the storm south and east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 8, 2018 Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Tom, keep hitting the nail on the head. Great stuff!! I'm going to take my losses with the current storm. I got overexcited about a storm that made nothing when I fully believed, regardless of modeling, that I had it pegged from a long way off. There should be plenty to make up for it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 While Ol' Man Winter takes its early season "winter break" for most of our sub, I've had a bit more time on my hands to study the long range pattern and where I feel we are heading. There are several storm systems that I'm eye balling after the late week system next week which will gear us up for the Christmas and New Year holidays. Gosh, I can't believe we are already firmly in the holiday season. So, as we get through this "warm spell" next week and into the following weekend, nature is setting the stage for Winter to return and I like what I'm seeing off the GEFS/EPS in the Week 2 period. Both models are seeing the active and potentially snowy pattern shaping up right around, or just before the Winter Solstice period. If we are to use the LRC as guidance, there is a storm system during the 18th-20th time frame that should come out of the SW and eject out of the Rockies and develop in the central Plains. From there, depending on how much blocking, if any, sets up across S Canada, it will either cut towards the GL's or take a more west/east storm track. IMO, this storm will be the one that snaps us out of the benign, warm "nino-ish" pattern we will have been in. Using the EAR, both the GFS/EURO have a storm tracking right through Japan on the 11th/12th which fits the timing of the aforementioned storm system and lines up with the LRC's timing as well. It doesn't stop there....following this system, leading us up towards the Winter Solstice period, coincidentally, I think there will be a vigorous NW PAC wave and/or a Clipper traversing the N Rockies and likely tracking across the northern tier of our sub, ushering the beginning of a long stretch of arctic cold and bonafide Winter-like conditions. This particular system should set the stage of what I believe will be a wild finish to the month of December. I won't be surprised if there are literally systems every other day that we are tracking across our sub. Obviously, not everyone is going to get hit by every storm but the opportunities during this 10-15 day stretch to close out December should really lift up the holiday spirit and snows will be flying. Finally, I will finish with this, which may end up being one of those holiday seasons, whereby, we will be tracking a major Christmas Day storm system...and, quite possibly, a NYE/New Year's Day storm. Interestingly, several long range tools I use "line up" on the days during both holidays. To provide you an idea for the Christmas period, using the BSR, we see a storm tracking west/east across the Aleutian Islands this weekend which correlates to a storm around the Christmas holiday and fits the dates using the LRC pattern. If you get a chance to watch weather bell’s Saturday summary JB is really bullish on cold weather coming back before Christmas and and a very cold winter with a ssw ushering in frigid temps. Nice work Tom. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Currently at 17F w clear skies. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Didn't have time to peek at models all day, but I see the 6z GFS actually pulled together a nice system for us. Need the Euro to get on board with the colder outcome tho. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh144-162.gifI'd take that scenario and run.... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Here is a webcam of Boone, N.C. Its in the mountains of western N.C. It has an elevation of 3300 ft. They are expecting over a foot of snow. Diego is leaving its mark there. Cantore from TWC is going there.http://www.resortcam...g-street-boone/ Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Currently at 17F w clear skies. Quite the free-fall here by Marshall stds..down to 16F already with bare ground no less. Sunshine and blue skies baby! That was so nice this afternoon I took a spin up to Hastings, the epicenter of our storm 12 days ago. The highways and countryside going there are really some of the nicest in SWMI. It was quite noticeable just about 15 miles north of here that they had much more snow. We have only plow piles while they still have some plow banks along the county roads. Plus, they were hit with that surprise 2" squall the other day which whitened up the ground. Quite a bit of that remains in shaded/wooded areas as well. I was surprised at how many drifts there were as well that survived the big rainer a week ago. Nice to see and under mid-20's it wasn't melting, nor the ice. It's actually quite cold by early December norms and I see my grid high for Sunday has been knocked down 4F and should get only to freezing or slightly above for a few hours. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Quite the free-fall here by Marshall stds..down to 16F already with bare ground no less. Sunshine and blue skies baby! That was so nice this afternoon I took a spin up to Hastings, the epicenter of our storm 12 days ago. The highways and countryside going there are really some of the nicest in SWMI. It was quite noticeable just about 15 miles north of here that they had much more snow. We have only plow piles while they still have some plow banks along the county roads. Plus, they were hit with that surprise 2" squall the other day which whitened up the ground. Quite a bit of that remains in shaded/wooded areas as well. I was surprised at how many drifts there were as well that survived the big rainer a week ago. Nice to see and under mid-20's it wasn't melting, nor the ice. It's actually quite cold by early December norms and I see my grid high for Sunday has been knocked down 4F and should get only to freezing or slightly above for a few hours.Hang in there buddy....eventually, a snowstorm has to happen in our neck of the woods. Its just a matter of time. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Brr!! Big Rapids sitting @ 11FCITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKSBATTLE CREEK FAIR 17 13 84 CALM 30.49FBENTON HARBOR FAIR 17 13 84 E3 30.50FBIG RAPIDS FAIR 11 9 90 CALM 30.45F Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Hang in there buddy....eventually, a snowstorm has to happen. Its just a matter of time. Even more so for you there amigo. At least I've scored one. Not that I won't take more anytime 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 00z Euro has several days above 40, with upper 40s to low 50s around here next weekend. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Nowadays it seems like there's no escape from lousy Decembers. Looking like a snoozer through at least December 20th at this point. Gonna need something to come save the day for a white christmas here. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Driving home last night after some shopping, I noticed plenty more houses that were decorated with Christmas lights and decor. The late stragglers had ideal weather this weekend to put up their decorations. Now you can say, my neighborhood is looking more like the holidays...all we need is a fresh blanket of snow. Speaking of snow, although there are minimal chances this coming week, I'm still encouraged to see the ensembles suggesting a favorable pattern just before the Winter Solstice. By the way, isn't it ironic, just as we transition into the official Winter season on the 21st, all the way across the Pole in Eurasia, a major disruption of the Polar Vortex will be underway and likely the cattle prod that sets off an onslaught of Ol' Man Winter on this side of the Pole to close out December. Check out both the GEPS/GEFS 10mb heights animations.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 Gorgeous morning w plenty of sunshine, but cold w temps in the teens Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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