Tom Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 And the SE trend begins....LRC and blocking gonna shine... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 2nd storm around the 28th-29th looks much weaker and S. Would make sense if the first cuts further E and S. ***Edit*** what storm?? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 CMC farther north with the low, basically rains on Central and Eastern Nebraska and all of Iowa. Low goes over my house. No thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Well, I don’t know. Glad to see the models showing a storm. But being in the 21” jackzone 7 days out is never a good thing. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Well, I don’t know. Glad to see the models showing a storm. But being in the 21” jackzone 7 days out is never a good thing.For one storm? Danggggg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 12Z GFS FV3 just exploding snow over Northern Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa through 180 hours. This thing will have moisture to work with, that's for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Wow fv3 run going bonkers but these models are kinda all over the place. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Wow fv3 run going bonkers but these models are kinda all over the place.It’s a week out. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 It’s a week out.Very true just was talking about the 6z Vs the 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 NWS offices in Hastings and North Platte have started to mention the potential for a storm next Wed./Thurs. in their Discos. Both said this could turn into a major storm with the Gulf wide open. Still a week away and as we have seen with models over the last few days their will be many changes to come imo. The great thing about such a wide sub-forum is early disco on anticipated storms coming inland from the west coast. The bad side of such a wide sub is when a storm focus is more the GL's. 75-80% of posters lose interest and "go mole", leaving just a few of us to post. It's really nice when all or at least most of the sub is in the game and there's a lot more tracking-n-posting. Just an obs. Hopefully we get one like that sooner than later. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Something tells me by next Tuesday i'll be rooting for the NW trend again after days of moving SE And the SE trend begins....LRC and blocking gonna shine... Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Something tells me by next Tuesday i'll be rooting for the NW trend again after days of moving SEI just thought the same thing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 And the SE trend begins....LRC and blocking gonna shine... As you called for amigo. Can it shine strong enough to get us in the game? That's the question imho.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 The last cutter tracked over my house. Today's 12z runs are doin the same with this. Luckily its a week out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Eastern Nebraska will be digging out for days according to the FV3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Looks like the gfs is starting to come southeast, which is a great thing! Icon and FV3 GFS were also really great model runs. Saddle up everyone! Gonna be a fun week of tracking this! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Looks like the little Christmas eve/day system has vanished. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Looks like the gfs is starting to come southeast, which is a great thing! Icon and FV3 GFS were also really great model runs. Saddle up everyone! Gonna be a fun week of tracking this!If the Euro follows suit then there is hope for many otherwise just a crazy run by the models but either way at least something to track Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Looks like the little Christmas eve/day system has vanished.Not so fast says the 12z Euro...I’m on the phone so no maps to post... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Wow, the 12 euro swoops south of Lincoln and Omaha on Christmas day of course lol, but blows up snow for western Nebraska and southeast Nebraska for that day. Might be something to watch. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 The euro 24-hr low position maps on Tidbits perked me up, but the precip maps show the snow band passing well south, in Missouri. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Could some post the euro map? Traveling that day and would like to see what it looks like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Ryan Maue tweeted an animation of the euro. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1075464030754615296 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Ryan Maue tweeted an animation of the euro. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1075464030754615296Thank you. And well that run definitely puts a damper on traveling. Short drive from North Central Missouri to St. Louis but I would rather not deal with I-70. Anywho might get a white Christmas which would be cool Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Haha I like how it stays just south of highway 20. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 C NE up to the Dakotas and C MN with a solid hit on the Euro post Christmas storm. 2” equivalent (snow) in C NE. Edit: some of that in NE is the Christmas system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Ryan Maue tweeted an animation of the euro. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1075464030754615296This would be a nice surprise if it continues to show on future runs. Euro has had it off and on but a bit healthier on this run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Euro has Nebraska hit with a Christmas Eve snow at least 6" for much of the state. What? Did I miss something? I have been looking at post Christmas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 If I am reading the Euro correctly from weather.us, it has 1-2' of snow over Central Nebraska from Dec. 24-28th. Would be a great Christmas present if this were to materialize. The good news is that all of the models are now seeing a storm. Will be fun, and agonizing, to see the model flips daily. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badgerwx Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 And SW Wisconsin loses again...lame. happy for the rest of you! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 I have a feeling this is gonna be another one that tracks over IA keeping the snow to the NW.#IowaLowMagnet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Beautiful day today w sunny skies and very pleasant temps. Currently in the upper 40s. Lets all enjoy this break we are having b4 Winter really arrives soon. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 I have a feeling this is gonna be another one that tracks over IA keeping the snow to the NW.#IowaLowMagnetAgreed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 NWS Hastings afternoon disco: The 12Z ECMWF brought the change (the 00Z run was dry),showing the potential for a potent shortwave disturbance to movethrough the Central Plains. Those who are hoping for any chance atany white this Christmas will be hoping that this trend continuesand catches on with other models...but until that happens it`shard to have more than 20 PoPs in the forecast. The currentforecast highs are warm, but if that 12Z ECMWF change hangs on,those highs would have to be lowered.Tuesday/Christmas Day is still looking to be dry, from both theGFS/ECMWF...which are showing southwesterly flow building in as astronger storm system digs south over the western CONUS/Rockies.Winds look to be on the lighter side of things, with highscurrently in the lower to mid 40s. It`s late Christmas night(after midnight) and on into Wednesday that things look moreinteresting. The GFS/ECMWF are both showing a strong upper levellow pressure system developing over the Rockies and swinging outacross the region. This is a week out, so hard to have muchconfidence in any particular track, but model agreement at thispoint isn`t too bad, showing the potential for some notable QPFsomewhere across the Plains. For us, how much, is it all rain, allsnow or a combo...all things that`ll have to be worked out overthe next week. Definitely something that bears watching. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Wow GFS is cranking out the moisture but staying warm. Although that rain snow line is crazy close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Even though I'm out of town for that time, that typical annoying track and cutoff on the GFS still makes me mad. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Wow,D**n lol. The gfs has a super razor sharp cut off line. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 GFS has no Christmas Eve snow that the Euro shows for this area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 18z GFS cranking out the snow. Mercy. There is that sharp cut off however. I would bet we get movement back and forth in the coming days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 19, 2018 Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 18z GFS cranking out the snow. Mercy. There is that sharp cut off however. I would bet we get movement back and forth in the coming days.kinda looks like that last storm with the sharp cutoff showing up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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