December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Deweydog]

COLDER RUNS 5 DAYS AGO!!!

[ShawniganLake]

Didn’t even know it was supposed to get windy tomorrow...

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/12/another-windstorm-tomorrow.html?m=1

I mentioned the possibility this morning. You must have missed it.

[Gradient Keeper]

COLDER RUNS 5 DAYS AGO!!!

Exactly. A 100% chance. 75% chance for colder runs 4 days ago.

 

6z GFS in 3 hours 4 minutes

[MossMan]

I mentioned the possibility this morning. You must have missed it.

I must have missed your post.

[van city]

It's been snowing here all day. Temp is still 29. There has not been a whisper of a breeze in the village since we got here. Everything is still perfectly coated like a postcard scene.

I won't be surprise is see some freezing rain tomorrow.

[Gradient Keeper]

Looks kind of breezy tomorrow

^

[Requiem]

Looks breezy to gusty ahead of front. Perhaps 25-35mph some isolated higher gusts.

 

Still much weaker than Seattle. But, I'll take what I can get.

[stuffradio]

I must have missed your post.

You must have missed his post.

[BLI snowman]

People may not like the pattern being shown, but what it is NOT is the typical January El Nino pattern of a huge ridge over us, with a lot of fog, very boring, and the East getting slammed with cold and snow.    At least not yet.

 

GFS looks very Nino like with the split flow, rudderless pattern, and abundance of mild onshore flow over us.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Of course when we refer to the Euro Weeklies, what we see is the ensemble mean. Sometimes someone posts them, sometimes we get the crayon interpretation by Brett Anderson. I found another crude interpretation from last nights run that mainly focuses on Canada, but does give some "clues".

 

Temps for the 1st week of January

Precip for the 1st week of January

 

2nd week Temps (no precip map given). Notice the very warm temps in Alaska

 

 

3rd week of January

 

BTW, the weeklies from 3 days ago showed colder temps for the 1st week of January for us, now showing warmer. These are always interesting, but they are clues and not great forecast.

 

Source: https://weatherloverblog.wordpress.com/

Thanks for sharing, I got the website bookmarked. In some instances, the EURO weeklies can be right on the MONEY. In mid-late January 2014, it showed a great pattern for an Arctic Blast in its week 3 forecast for February 4-10. Lo and behold, we got an Arctic Blast and PDX scored 3 consecutive days of snowstorms February 6-8. It doesn't get better than that. After that happened, I always take the EURO weeklies seriously when it shows a potentially great pattern for cold weather.

 

[ShawniganLake]

That system on. Wednesday and Thursday is looking like possibly a real soaker for Washington and southern BC.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7-8 *some* cooler backdoor air Gorge/east

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Looks like a Columbia Basin cold pool(or cool pool) on the 00z ECMWF

[ShawniganLake]

So... no NFL games on Sunday???

Nfl will be on. You should be able to scroll forward to Sunday on that Shaw cable page you posted a picture of. Find out what’s on

 

TSN

CTVBC

CTV2

KCPQ

KIRO

TSN3, 4 and 5

 

Start with those.

[seattleweatherguy]

Weird seattle has a wind advisory but bothell does not

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[MossMan]

Wow it has not stopped raining for over 24hrs straight here, just over 1.5” since this morning. Temp climbing slowly from the low point of 36 around 2pm. Currently 42 and still raining.

[ShawniganLake]

Wow it has not stopped raining for over 24hrs straight here, just over 1.5” since this morning. Temp climbing slowly from the low point of 36 around 2pm. Currently 42 and still raining.

Warm front hell. Similar to much of last February. Huge snow pattern for the BC interior. Even some of the valleys might end up with a foot or more.

[MossMan]

Warm front hell. Similar to much of last February. Huge snow pattern for the BC interior. Even some of the valleys might end up with a foot or more.

And I was rewarded for all of that misery with 13” of snow the second half of the month...hopefully a repeat is in progress!

[Phil]

People may not like the pattern being shown, but what it is NOT is the typical January El Nino pattern of a huge ridge over us, with a lot of fog, very boring, and the East getting slammed with cold and snow. At least not yet.

Us east coasters are f**ked until at least Jan 20th. We’ll probably get 90% of our winter in Feb/Mar like always.

[ShawniganLake]

Us east coasters are f**ked until at least Jan 20th. We’ll probably get 90% of our winter in Feb/Mar like always.

must be nice to have something to look forward to. Pretty decent chance we fukced until Next year.

[Phil]

Now this is more like it. Would be one of the longest wind reversals on record.

 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/hattard/realtime/u_65N_10hpa.png

 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/hattard/realtime/u_65N_10hpa_gefs.png

[Phil]

must be nice to have something to look forward to. Pretty decent chance we fukced until Next year.

You guys have guaranteed perfect summer weather to look forward to every single year.

 

Can’t say that about any season here. In fact, we’re guaranteed at least one miserable season every year. You guys have it much better in the grand scheme of things.

[Requiem]

You guys have guaranteed perfect summer weather to look forward to every single year.

 

Can’t say that about any season here. In fact, we’re guaranteed at least one miserable season every year. You guys have it much better in the grand scheme of things.

 

I don't know, the smoky and dry Portland summers are not my fav.

[Phil]

I don't know, the smoky and dry Portland summers are not my fav.

Smoky/dry > hot/swampy. At least it actually cools down there at night.

 

IIRC, we had just 5 sub-70 lows through all of Jul/Aug last summer. And 55” of rain from May-Sep to make it extra swampy and disgusting.

 

I’m in Miami now and it’s triggering my dewpoint-PTSD.

[Perturbed Member]

I don't know, the smoky and dry Portland summers are not my fav.

 

 

I really dislike that smoky BS as well but all the fires recently are not typical. In general we have some of the very nicest summers around IMO. 

[Requiem]

Smoky/dry > hot/swampy. At least it actually cools down there at night.

 

IIRC, we had just 5 sub-70 lows through all of Jul/Aug last summer. And 55” of rain from May-Sep to make it extra swampy and disgusting.

 

I’m in Miami now and it’s triggering my dewpoint-PTSD.

 

But honestly I'd absolutely suffer through one of your summers to be almost guaranteed a shot at high winds, some snow, thunderstorms, and heavy rain. 

[El_Nina]

Very snowy evening in the Greater John Day Valley Metro Area.

 

http://tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/US395C%20at%20Canyon%20City_pid3515.JPG?rand=1546064029168

 

Burns/Hines looking snowy as well.

 

http://tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/US20%20at%20US395%20Burns%20EB_pid3991.JPG?rand=1546064121334

As far as I can remember, this is the most snow the Blue Mountains and the John Day area have had for a couple years.

[MossMan]

Just under 2” since Friday morning. That reminded me that I have a couple of drainage projects to work on when things dry out a bit. 50 degrees now. 40 and rain at Snoqualmie...that should drop snow depths fairy quickly.

[TT-SEA]

Just under 2” since Friday morning. That reminded me that I have a couple of drainage projects to work on when things dry out a bit. 50 degrees now. 40 and rain at Snoqualmie...that should drop snow depths fairy quickly.

 

They say in the snow report that its just drizzle up there this morning... and I still see snow on the trees at the Alpental and Central bases so I don't think ts been too bad yet.    And they should get hit again tonight and tomorrow with c-zone snow.  

 

But Wednesday and Thursday look really mess now as well.

[Blizzard777]

49*

Breezy south wind overnight.

Top gust so far according to willyweather 28.8

My machine behind the trees recorded 16

[Omegaraptor]

Am I the only one who actually likes spring here?

 

Mild temps with real heat waves very rare, no wildfires, sunshine on par with most east coast cities, some rain to keep things green, skiing still in the mountains, and it comes early compared to other places at our latitude. I don’t get what’s not to like.

[Blizzard777]

Am I the only one who actually likes spring here?

Mild temps with real heat waves very rare, no wildfires, sunshine on par with most east coast cities, some rain to keep things green, skiing still in the mountains, and it comes early compared to other places at our latitude. I don’t get what’s not to like.

Spring I look forward to the chance of rowdy thundershowers! I’ll take any I can get

[Farmboy]

[Omegaraptor]

.

You'll be hard pressed to find any agreement on this forum outside of a few of us. I'm in Arizona this winter, so spring for me starts in a couple weeks.

Yeah, enjoy your summers. I’m inside with the AC on whenever it’s above 95.

 

Higher elevation areas of AZ look great though. Sierra Vista still has the mild winters but the summers aren’t too hot.

 

But anyway, back to PNW discussion.

[MossMan]

Getting a little breezy here.

 

Checking the gradients this morning...

 

KPDX-KBLI: 8mb

KOLM-KBLI: 4mb

Just a slight breeze at the moment in Marysville while I wait for the Subaru to get serviced.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z GFS back to a pretty deep west coast trough next weekend.

[TT-SEA]

12z GFS back to a pretty deep west coast trough next weekend.

 

 

Looks pretty similar to the 00Z GFS run for next weekend.

[TT-SEA]

Raining and windy here this morning in Whistler Village... 37 degrees.     Most of the mountain is closed right now due to wind.

 

Front is moving quickly though... and it will start improving this afternoon.

 

The next 3 days look very nice with lots of sun and cooler weather.    Anxious to get back to skiing.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks pretty similar to the 00Z GFS run for next weekend.

 

12z is significantly cooler.