PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Impressive to see Aberdeen reporting snow.

[GHweatherChris]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Impressive to see Aberdeen reporting snow.

My buddy in Aberdeen proper said they have a solid dusting, while up here we got dicc... so far.

Edited March 4, 2023 by GHweatherChris

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, GHweatherChris said:

My buddy in Aberdeen proper said they have a solid dusting, while up here we got dicc... so far.

It’s coming.

[MikeInEverett]

My glasses broke last night and they’re getting fixed until tom I can’t read any posts and can barely make out what’s happening on the snow maps. If it’s over Puke react if it’s not over excited react pls and ty. I have learned to never take my vision for granted and I’m thankful I can type well without being able to see the keyboard

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It’s coming.

Nah, it's not, radar shows the moisture train running out the next couple hours, all we have now is hope and a prayer.

[Slushy Inch]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Big picture on the GEM... it drops that ULL hanging back right over the PNW.    Sometimes the ECMWF follows the GEM and actually does not seem too unrealistic.  

A deep trough finally moves inland. Our current pattern could have been so much better.

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

35 degrees with light drizzle and the moon visible in Issaquah. So weird.

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

35 degrees with light drizzle and the moon visible in Issaquah. So weird.

33.9 here. Really feel this next line of showers coming through might produce some fruit. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snow falling here now and temp falling

[BlvuSumit]

34F up here. Had moderate snow earlier. Will see what happpens with incoming moisture

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Offshore wind here now

[Ken in Wood Village]

I thought I would update on the lows I'm seeing on the satellite picture. As you can see, the low is getting better organized. As you can see, there is a lot of cold air with this system. I think we probably will see snow at some very low elevations but I think there is a good chance we could see a thunderstorm or two. The second satellite picture shows another low developing with a lot of cold air with it too. If we go off what the 00Z GFS, that low will be moving in along the South Oregon Coast but that could change. We just need to keep an eye on where it's going to go. 

 

Let's see how this all plays out

[High Desert Mat?]

11 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I thought I would update on the lows I'm seeing on the satellite picture. As you can see, the low is getting better organized. As you can see, there is a lot of cold air with this system. I think we probably will see snow at some very low elevations but I think there is a good chance we could see a thunderstorm or two. The second satellite picture shows another low developing with a lot of cold air with it too. If we go off what the 00Z GFS, that low will be moving in along the South Oregon Coast but that could change. We just need to keep an eye on where it's going to go. 

 

Let's see how this all plays out

 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Interesting look radar. It looks somewhat similar to the Monday night system, but I don't see any models showing this one pivoting the Olympics. Instead, it swings back offshore then just lingers out there.

[High Desert Mat?]

Just now, High Desert Mat? said:

 

Looks moist. Prove the dome wrong. 

[Perturbed Member]

Sticking to below 600ft in the coast range. 

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Interesting look radar. It looks somewhat similar to the Monday night system, but I don't see any models showing this one pivoting the Olympics. Instead, it swings back offshore then just lingers out there.

Darn, that was such a great event. 

[the_convergence_zone]

36.5 / 36.0, I’m at 150 ft. 

With the wind only weakly out of the east, that’s about as cold as I’ll get tonight, maybe down to about 35. 

Too bad because the radar looks great, lots of moisture heading in. Should be a good one for the foothills around Hood Canal. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Normally when I see this type of heavy precipitation on the radar, I would think it could be a thunderstorm.  Since we have really cold air overhead, I'm thinking it could be either hail, graupel or maybe snow. It's because those types of precipitation have a better cross section that the radar can pick up. If anyone lives in that area, maybe you could report what your seeing? 

[Ken in Wood Village]

There is already some thunderstorms along the Oregon Coast. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

There is already some thunderstorms along the Oregon Coast. 

Do you live in Wood Village, OR?

[Ken in Wood Village]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Do you live in Wood Village, OR?

I use to. I moved a little west of Wood Village. I'm close to 181st and Halsey now. I use this profile because it's the one I use on Mark Nelsen's blog. There are a few people here that know me by that profile. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I use to. I moved a little west of Wood Village. I'm close to 181st and Halsey now. I use this profile because it's the one I use on Mark Nelsen's blog. There are a few people here that know me by that profile. 

Nice, welcome to the forum!

[Ken in Wood Village]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Nice, welcome to the forum!

Thank you it's nice to hear everyone's input about the PNW weather I love the weather and love how everyone gets all enthusiastic when we have interesting weather 🌩

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

So far just a bunch of wet snow and only 1/2 on ground. Way to early to call it a bust  though.  

[Slushy Inch]

Starting look a bit like GEM. Ridging much better than last run.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I missed that!    Something to track.   

Good starting location, given that it will trend north.

[umadbro]

You can see what the NAM and GFS has been seeing. The euro is just smart enough to know the temps won’t fall enough. 37 with an E, sometimes N and sometimes S wind.

[Slushy Inch]

Ends up as more of a windstorm or atmospheric river pattern this Euro run.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Can we add this one to the lame list yet?

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Can we add this one to the lame list yet?

YES!

[Ken in Wood Village]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Can we add this one to the lame list yet?

I actually think there could be a few surprises with this storm. I think I'm seeing intensification in the satellite picture but I won't know in a few hours but I really need to go to bed soon...lol

[TT-SEA]

Radar shows moisture out here but there is barely anything falling... just some very light rain.    ECMWF shows the 925 temp is above 0C out here now and will be +2C by morning so without heavier precip I don't think there will be much snow in my area.

[umadbro]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Radar shows moisture out here but there is barely anything falling... just some very light rain.    ECMWF shows the 925 temp is above 0C out here now and will be +2C by morning so without heavier precip I don't think there will be much snow in my area.

Radar is accurate here.

[Ken in Wood Village]

I guess I should try to explain what I said with intensification. If you look at this satellite picture, you can see how the clouds are growing in front of the storm system. We'll see if the prescription will increase because of this. It could be reacting to the little warmth we got today. I could be wrong

[SnowWillarrive]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Radar shows moisture out here but there is barely anything falling... just some very light rain.    ECMWF shows the 925 temp is above 0C out here now and will be +2C by morning so without heavier precip I don't think there will be much snow in my area.

My temp just went up 1 degree. It’s over 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Lame! Lame! Lame! Lame!

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

My temp just went up 1 degree. It’s over 

SEA went up 1 degree as well.  

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF is definitely colder for next weekend compared to 12Z run... particularly for western WA.   And some hints of of an anafront situation with a sharp temperature gradient.  

[Ken in Wood Village]

Ok, last post for the night. You can see lightning over the Pacific. I tried to get a good picture from the satellite so you can estimate where the lightning is coming from. I'll see you all tomorrow morning