Omegaraptor Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I would love to see something like the mid 1950s happen again. 1954 - 1956 only had 3 or 4 months average above normal. Not with those awful crummers I wouldn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Day 15 Ensemble model DISagreement! Roll the dice. The ECMWF handles the MJO much differently. That is why it stays colder for us. In fact the ECMWF shows the MJO potentially becoming very favorable again later in the month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Not with those awful crummers I wouldn't. Say what? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 This looks amazing... quite jealous I'm beyond being jealous of things like that. I am just going to play the hand I've been dealt on this stuff and live with it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Say what? 1954 didn't have a summer and 1955 had one month of summer. I would prefer to have an actual summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Full overrunning event here on the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Temp isn't dropping off as fast tonight with the high clouds. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I swear, if the Puget Sound gets another wind event after Thursday before we get one, I'll be J-E-A-L-O-U-S! Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Full overrunning event here on the GFS.That’s the type of setup that dumps like 12-16” up here then turns to rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 GFS shows a very interesting and dynamic storm almost in-line with what the EURO shows for this weekend. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Nothing earth shattering on the 00z. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Day 15 Ensemble model DISagreement! Roll the dice. I rolled some dice and this is what I got..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 The cold does hang around in the BC interior much longer on the 0z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Nothing earth shattering on the 00z. Hasn't finished running yet though. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 That’s the type of setup that dumps like 12-16” up here then turns to rain.How much for Vic? Feb 2017 featured one like that and we got 2 or 3 inches at my house. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 So close! The battle of North v.s. South has begun and it sure popped up on the models quickly if you ask me. That tends to happen rather suddenly. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 8 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 So close! The battle of North v.s. South has begun and it sure popped up on the models quickly if you ask me. That tends to happen rather suddenly. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 8 minutesA lot of potential being shown around hour 222 with lots of cold air coming down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Hasn't finished running yet though. I'm curious... a 384 hour forecast could show a massive windstorm for the Puget Sound, and even though you know a 384 hour map means nothing, you would still wish for it to trend south and tell us how jealous you'd be. Why? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I'm curious... a 384 hour forecast could show a massive windstorm for the Puget Sound, and even though you know a 384 hour map means nothing, you would still wish for it to trend south and tell us how jealous you'd be. Why?I wish the GFS ran out to 768 hours like the CFS. Just think of all the fun and hijinks to be had! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I wish the GFS ran out to 768 hours like the CFS. Just think of all the fun and hijinks to be had!We'd all spend so much more time model riding! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I wish the GFS ran out to 768 hours like the CFS. Just think of all the fun and hijinks to be had!Long live the CFS! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 How much for Vic? Feb 2017 featured one like that and we got 2 or 3 inches at my house.Reminds me a bit of January 2011. How’d you do with that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I'm sorry, an arctic what?An arctic front, the leading southern edge of an arctic air mass dropping south over us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I'm curious... a 384 hour forecast could show a massive windstorm for the Puget Sound, and even though you know a 384 hour map means nothing, you would still wish for it to trend south and tell us how jealous you'd be. Why? Please show me where I've done that on a storm past 200 hours and perhaps I'll take your statement into account Also, understand that I'm D**n tired of the wind advisories and wind warnings for Seattle. You can't complain or understand because you've had three separate storms in which wind gusts reached over 50 mph in December alone. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Reminds me a bit of January 2011. How’d you do with thatI lived in SD at that time...at the Vic airport there was about 13 cm. That winter delivered thou! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Oh D**n. A near miss in the long range! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Please show me where I've done that on a storm past 200 hours and perhaps I'll take your statement into account Also, understand that I'm d**n tired of the wind advisories and wind warnings for Seattle. You can't complain or understand because you've had three separate storms in which wind gusts reached over 50 mph in December alone.I think people in British Columbia, Skagit County, and Whatcom County who went days and weeks without power, lost all their food, had their Christmas ruined, etc. will gladly give you their next wind storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I think people in British Columbia, Skagit County, and Whatcom County who went days and weeks without power, lost all their food, had their Christmas ruined, etc. will gladly give you their next wind storm.My 85 year old grandma was out of power for two whole days. To say she was miserable is an understatement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Oh d**n. A near miss in the long range!Yeah... it sucks that these events are perfectly modeled through 384 hours every time now. Or maybe the eventual reality will be absolutely nothing even remotely resembling what it shows now? Maybe?? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I think people in British Columbia, Skagit County, and Whatcom County who went days and weeks without power, lost all their food, had their Christmas ruined, etc. will gladly give you their next wind storm. They can, just like all the people in New England and the Mid-Atlantic who have had accidents, freezing temperatures for days, no power, and loss of revenue to thousands of businesses every time they have a major snowstorm. Weather is a double-edged sword, and I understand that. There can never be "exciting" weather without consequences and effects. I don't enjoy them, and I sure as heck don't glorify them. The fun of a storm isn't about seeing juicy damage numbers for me. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Please show me where I've done that on a storm past 200 hours and perhaps I'll take your statement into account Also, understand that I'm d**n tired of the wind advisories and wind warnings for Seattle. You can't complain or understand because you've had three separate storms in which wind gusts reached over 50 mph in December alone.Time to temper your expectations, you will not always get what you want no matter what society says, weather events included obviously, yes, I went there.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 I lived in SD at that time...at the Vic airport there was about 13 cm. That winter delivered thou!South Dakota? The January 2011 storm was pretty marginal. I drive from downtown to Duncan around 11pm that night. Mixed rain and snow at Quadra and hillside. Heavy wet snow accumulation started around the Mackenzie overpass with several inches and poor road conditions in Langford. Whiteout conditions from Goldstream north. I lived in Duncan then and had about 13”. My parents in Shawnigan reported 17” IIRC. It was 50 and raining the next day though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Vancouver BC wet and mild in 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Time to temper your expectations, you will not always get what you want no matter what society says, weather events included onvoisly, yes, I went there.... Of course. Some day perhaps I can go to a climate where things actually happen. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Of course. Some day perhaps I can go to a climate where things actually happen. I lived in Oklahoma for about 4 years. It was much more interesting than here. Of course I also lived in Oklahoma which is punishment in itself. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 South Dakota? The January 2011 storm was pretty marginal. I drive from downtown to Duncan around 11pm that night. Mixed rain and snow at Quadra and hillside. Heavy wet snow accumulation started around the Mackenzie overpass with several inches and poor road conditions in Langford. Whiteout conditions from Goldstream north. I lived in Duncan then and had about 13”. My parents in Shawnigan reported 17” IIRC. It was 50 and raining the next day though.That’s insane! The wet bulb effect must have been making the difference for a lot of people. My dad got a job down in south Dakota between 2010 and 2012. So I missed out on a few good events. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Can already tell the FV-3 will be colder. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 1954 didn't have a summer and 1955 had one month of summer. I would prefer to have an actual summer.I’d take a repeat if it meant avoiding another smoke filled heatfest. Sadly a July 1954 repeat is probably just about as likely as a January 1950 repeat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 2, 2019 Report Share Posted January 2, 2019 Vancouver BC wet and mild in 2018 Screen Shot 2019-01-01 at 9.04.50 PM.png none of those numbers make any sense to me, but I’ll take your word for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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