January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Geos]

Daffodils are coming up here...

Too warm for January.

[GHweatherChris]

Took down the outside Christmas lights today...while wearing shorts...

I have worn shorts every day this winter!

[Deweydog]

Indian Head Man has spoken.

Crucial nugget of optimism in a sea of populist weenie pessimism.

[Jesse]

Crucial nugget of optimism in a sea of populist weenie pessimism.

Humble too!

[Deweydog]

Humble too!

Just common sense. Nothing supernatural.

 

People can get hung up on the fact a three week -PNA/-EPO cataclysmic flow of climate throwback euphoria is unlikely but at the very least some decent blocking looks possible. I’ll take that over the indecisive onshore flow of the last several weeks. B+!!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice and sunny at least. I know we need the rain here but if we aren’t going to get snow much ever again down here then I just assume it be nice during the day. Can at least get outside and the kids can get energy out.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Took down the outside Christmas lights today...while wearing shorts...

 

I have been working in the yard in shorts too... Looks like I hit 41 earlier. 

[TT-SEA]

Nice and sunny at least. I know we need the rain here but if we aren’t going to get snow much ever again down here then I just assume it be nice during the day. Can at least get outside and the kids can get energy out.

Park was packed with kids this afternoon. So nice to have these breaks in the winter.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Jesse]

Just common sense. Nothing supernatural.

 

People can get hung up on the fact a three week -PNA/-EPO cataclysmic flow of climate throwback euphoria is unlikely but at the very least some decent blocking looks possible. I’ll take that over the indecisive onshore flow of the last several weeks. B+!!!

Never really saw anything that suggested otherwise. Don’t worry though, no one is going to take away your smartest guy in the room Burger King crown!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Park was packed with kids this afternoon. So nice to have these breaks in the winter.

 

Went to Mary's Peak west of Corvallis yesterday. Was incredibly beautiful. Not packed at all, but a steady stream of people taking the rare opportunity to drive to the top of the 4,097' peak in the dead of winter. Unbelievable views of the Willamette Valley and Cascades from Diamond Peak north to Mt. Rainier. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Went to Mary's Peak west of Corvallis yesterday. Was incredibly beautiful. Not packed at all, but a steady stream of people taking the rare opportunity to drive to the top of the 4,097' peak in the dead of winter. Unbelievable views of the Willamette Valley and Cascades from Diamond Peak north to Mt. Rainier.

Can you even see into central Oregon from there? I know it’s a fun and easy to access spot to see some snow in a lot of years.

[Deweydog]

Never really saw anything that suggested otherwise. Don’t worry though, no one is going to take away your smartest guy in the room Burger King crown!

Have it your way!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Can you even see into central Oregon from there? I know it’s a fun and easy to access spot to see some snow in a lot of years.

 

No you can't see over the Cascades, Mary's peak is only a little over 4,000' feet tall. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not again FV3

[Omegaraptor]

 

GFS through 1/20

 

 

ECMWF through 1/20

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

As promised Mary's Peak

 

This is Mt. Jefferson in the distance.

 

 

Three Sisters with Mt. Bachelor to the south.

 

My daughter and Mt. Hood in the distance.

 

 

Beazell Memorial Forest near Kings Valley. Was much cooler down here at about 600' in a calm protected valley.

 

 

Fort Hoskins

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Enjoyed seeing the old weather channel crew! Thanks for posting.

If that is the storm i am thinking of it dropped 32 inches at sea level in Hoodsport on the hood canal over a couple days. There was 60 inches at lake cushman and people had to bw rescued. There was over 3 feet in parts of western Kitsap county.

[El_Nina]

The way I understand it since the cold is less spread out it can sometimes cluster into geographically smaller but more intense pockets. See Baffin Island.

Yes exactly. And that cold kind of swings around sometimes, more now I bet, so places like the south end up setting snow records like last year or the year before.

[HighlandExperience]

If that is the storm i am thinking of it dropped 32 inches at sea level in Hoodsport on the hood canal over a couple days. There was 60 inches at lake cushman and people had to bw rescued. There was over 3 feet in parts of western Kitsap county.

Hard to believe that’s possible considering how bad this winter has been.

[Deweydog]

Not again FV3

 

Must go to 24 hours later...

[snow_wizard]

At least for now I'm liking the way the models are looking for late in the month.  Nice to see some really cold ensemble members popping up.

[MossMan]

Already into mid January, the models are almost extending into February now...this season is truckin right along!

[Phil]

At least for now I'm liking the way the models are looking for late in the month. Nice to see some really cold ensemble members popping up.

This is an incredible pattern coming up. While not everyone will score, few will miss completely.

 

I still think 1978 is the best large scale analog, but that doesn’t mean it will match on the edges. A retrograde and backdoor blast is still a real possibility for you guys out west, even if a classic -PNA/1950s type pattern is off the table.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looking west from Seabeck.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking west from Seabeck.

 

Beautiful.

[Phil]

For anyone who enjoys tracking historic storms or wants to chase a blizzard and has time within the next 3-4 weeks:

 

- there’s the potential for a bomb in the Plains/Central US between the 22nd and the 25th of the month.

 

- there’s the potential nor’easter next weekend that could dump a bunch of snow on someone

 

- there’s the big kahuna..the “archambault event” grand finale nor’easter during the last few days of January and first few days of February, as the pattern climaxes. This one could be a monster

 

As a nerdy, obsessed weather weenie addict, amplified patterns like this get my blood pumping. I’ll drive to the most exciting stuff if it doesn’t come to me.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 34. At least it seems like winter. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

For anyone who enjoys tracking historic storms or wants to chase a blizzard and has time within the next 3-4 weeks:

- there’s the potential for a bomb in the Plains/Central US between the 22nd and the 25th of the month.

- there’s the potential nor’easter next weekend that could dump a bunch of snow on someone

- there’s the big kahuna..the “archambault event” grand finale nor’easter during the last few days of January and first few days of February, as the pattern climaxes. This one could be a monster

As a nerdy, obsessed weather weenie addict, amplified patterns like this get my blood pumping. I’ll drive to the most exciting stuff if it doesn’t come to me.

If i were to go out there where do you think would be the best place?

[umadbro]

Portland radar down indefinitely

[MossMan]

Portland radar down indefinitely

They shut it down since it no longer rains in that area.

[The Swamp]

Washed dad’s truck today and pulled weeds in the yard. Daffodils dad planted are coming up.

[BLI snowman]

Portland radar down indefinitely

How are we supposed to track the drought now!?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This is an incredible pattern coming up. While not everyone will score, few will miss completely.

 

I still think 1978 is the best large scale analog, but that doesn’t mean it will match on the edges. A retrograde and backdoor blast is still a real possibility for you guys out west, even if a classic -PNA/1950s type pattern is off the table.

50s-style patterns will never happen here again in our lifetimes.

[Shawn]

As promised Mary's Peak

 

This is Mt. Jefferson in the distance.

 

 

Three Sisters with Mt. Bachelor to the south.

 

My daughter and Mt. Hood in the distance.

 

 

Beazell Memorial Forest near Kings Valley. Was much cooler down here at about 600' in a calm protected valley.

 

 

Fort Hoskins

 

 

It kind of amazing that there is no snow up there for its elevation.

[Gradient Keeper]

Our window is coming. I like the potential ahead. Backdoor cold at the very least looks likely.

 

00z GFS in 1 hour 10 minutes

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It kind of amazing that there is no snow up there for its elevation.

 

There were a few patches here and there, but essentially none. I would imagine Mary's Peak doesn't get the type of snowpack you would see at a similar elevation in the Cascades as it is a bit more impacted by the effects of the Pacific. 

[Omegaraptor]

Looks like the sun will come out again next week after the rainy system passes.

[Blizzard777]

Park was packed with kids this afternoon. So nice to have these breaks in the winter.

Yep, we played tennis,. Kids all over the playground and soccer field was full of players !

[Phil]

If i were to go out there where do you think would be the best place?

Around here? The plateau area between Leesburg VA and Germantown/Damascus MD is a magnet for intense deformation banding. They often double-up our totals, and always seem to get more than the models predict.