Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Mark said pretty likely we at least see snow in the air and just about guaranteed some snow in the hills. Bullish for Mark 5 days out. I might do well in this set-up but will still hope for more of a regional event so everybody can score. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I called it this afternoon, the smell of disappointment....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 What a bunch of pussys.We are going to get hammered! Why? Because Phil is MIA! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 ...To be fair some people will be disappointed no matter what. *cough*andrew*cough* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Living in the moment it is nice to see the temp outside down to 31, heading for another low in the 20s it seems. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 To be fair some people will be disappointed no matter what. *cough*andrew*cough* Oh please I am not disappointed. Just having fun viewing the models and commenting in real time. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I was validating you. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 That’s what makes this pretty impressive. It’s a February 1989 caliber air mass just without a massive, or even decent, -EPO pattern helping to drive it south and west.YET. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Pretty incredible how fast expectations escalate, in all seriousness. Bound to lead to disappointment. Classic...LEAVE JIM ALONE! You can be a total d*ck to everyone else though. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Oh please I am not disappointed. Just having fun viewing the models and commenting in real time.I can still remember what an absolute pill you were during the very respectable winter 2016-17. Got flashbacks tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 That’s what makes this pretty impressive. It’s a February 1989 caliber air mass just without a massive, or even decent, -EPO pattern helping to drive it south and west. The WPO tanks over the next few days. Classic precursor to a PNW Arctic blast. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I can still remember what an absolute pill you were during the very respectable winter 2016-17. Got flashbacks tonight. Yet I would tell you that was a great winter. If anything it got annoying having the snow on the ground pretty much from December 4 - March 8th. With a few brief interludes of bare ground. And I pimped that winter harder than anyone. I remember calling it 1992-93 lite many times. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 We might get very little snow going into the cold. Does not look like much for me either.Why do you continue to be an a*s at the peak of excitement? Why you're still allowed to freely post is beyond me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Why do you continue to be an a*s at the peak of excitement? Why you're still allowed to freely post is beyond me Honestly you both seem obsessed with each other. I thought my obsession for windstorms was big, but you two.... Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 What disappointed me about 2016-17 and what you are probably remembering Jesse, is for as good as it was, it left a lot on the table. It could have truly been something special and didn't quite get there. That early January (1-7th) was a real heartbreaker. Great setup, just not a lot of cold to tap into. Still ended up with some very cold weather and snow, but it had the potential to be truly historic and wasn't. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The WPO tanks over the next few days. Classic precursor to a PNW Arctic blast.Does it? Yep. That is often the calling card for one. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 What disappointed me about 2016-17 and what you are probably remembering Jesse, is for as good as it was, it left a lot on the table. It could have truly been something special and didn't quite get there. That early January (1-7th) was a real heartbreaker. Great setup, just not a lot of cold to tap into. Still ended up with some very cold weather and snow, but it had the potential to be truly historic and wasn't. 2016-17 was historically cloudy and rainy for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 What disappointed me about 2016-17 and what you are probably remembering Jesse, is for as good as it was, it left a lot on the table. It could have truly been something special and didn't quite get there. That early January (1-7th) was a real heartbreaker. Great setup, just not a lot of cold to tap into. Still ended up with some very cold weather and snow, but it had the potential to be truly historic and wasn't.You know what they say. When life gets you down just remember, it could always be better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Honestly you both seem obsessed with each other. I thought my obsession for windstorms was big, but you two....Anyone can post some model runs... only Tim will go out of his way to ruin the mood in here though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 2016-17 was historically cloudy and rainy for sure.December and January were basically sunny or snowy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Why do you continue to be an a*s at the peak of excitement? Why you're still allowed to freely post is beyond me Fred... he broke your rule. Side note... I have been very positive. Jesse was just mocking me for being too positive. Makes sense that you only post about me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 A negative WPO could shut down the Western Pacific Jet and lead to stronger blocking near 160-150 W. Just watch for this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Is this real life?Is this just fantasy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Fred... he broke your rule. Side note... I have been very positive. Jesse was just mocking me for being too positive. Makes sense that you only post about me. Don’t drag me into this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Anyone can post some model runs... only Tim will go out of his way to ruin the mood in here though. So you ignore Andrew's 20 negative posts tonight just to attack me again for one comment about snow totals on the ECMWF? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Hmmm, why is there rather constant bickering or arguing between some members here. Why. It's usually the same cluster of people. I've really ignored it for awhile, but.... Why. I know,I know, it's a long, complex issue with this n that and this other thing, and, and then, and then.... Why. 6z GFS in 2 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Fred... he broke your rule. Side note... I have been very positive. Jesse was just mocking me for being too positive. Makes sense that you only post about me. You literally cannot let us enjoy a few good model runs without pointing out every negative detail you can find. I don't mind being on mod preview, just as long as you come with me. We can do it together... would be a good bonding experience Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Been a long day. Had to be up at 4:30a for the 6 hour flight home via Tulsa-Houston-PDX. Actually took a nap after dinner so I could be up for these runs and still have something in the tank for work in the morning. Looking forward to seeing the 06z when I get up. Think heavy cold and snow enough. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The WPO tanks over the next few days. Classic precursor to a PNW Arctic blast.Does it? Yep. That is often the calling card for one.Good news! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Hmmm, why is there rather constant bickering or arguing between some members here. Why. It's usually the same cluster of people. I've really ignored it for awhile, but.... Why. I know,I know, it's a long, complex issue with this n that and this other thing, and, and then, and then.... Why. 6z GFS in 2 hoursSorry DJ. I appreciate your constant analysis and upbeat mood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Need to smoke... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Don’t drag me into this. Into what? There is one person on here launching personal attacks no matter what I do... does not post about anything else other than me. I am being respectful to everyone and positive. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 EPS should be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Does it? Yep. That is often the calling card for one. Yeah. This will do it. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 WINTER CANCEL!Wait, have we already passed that point or are we still arguing about small scale features 6 days out? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 You literally cannot let us enjoy a few good model runs without pointing out every negative detail you can find. I don't mind being on mod preview, just as long as you come with me. We can do it together... would be a good bonding experience That is your entire goal. But I am not attacking anyone... and you do nothing but attack me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Sorry DJ. I appreciate your constant analysis and upbeat mood. I know how easy it is to get sucked into it whether it's mocking someone, or being mocked, or arguing, or nitpicking the smallest details, it breeds negativity and every other member on this forum doesn't enjoy it, and shouldn't have to be subjected to it. So, I ask. WHY. I know this has been ongoing for a decade probably, but WHY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Give it 3 days see the models on friday. Hope it gets better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Yeah. This will do it. Screenshot_1.pngIf the WPO tanks that blocking with that level of amplitude may hold sturdier than is being modeled now, wouldn't you think? There would be no energy bumping into it to either weaken or flatten it down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 MJO over the Maritime Continent once again showing its significance. Best LR tool out there imo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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