St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 3KM NAM world of difference for many compared to recent runsYeah no joke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 looks like I get rain after sitting at 10 below this am. crazy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 LOT's snowfall map...1-2"+ north of I-88 before the slop/mix scenario...better than all rain I guess... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I once heard a wise saying years ago ; that when guidance sucks for consensus - go with the King. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12Z Icon stays steady for Central Nebraska. I know many don't trust it, I'm not sure about it myself, but it hasn't fluctuated much and looks very similar to the 12Z NAM models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 It’s absolutely laughable that the initial band of snow associated with this system is knocking on the door, and the models still have no clue. Skies are darkening. Time to figure it out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 It’s absolutely laughable that the initial band of snow associated with this system is knocking on the door, and the models still have no clue. Skies are darkening. Time to figure it out.I think we may be in for some surprises with this system especially on how much freezing drizzle may precede any snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I think we may be in for some surprises with this system especially on how much freezing drizzle may precede any snow.Yeah I am getting that feeling too. OAX is only going freezing drizzle and one inch of snow. If that actually plays out braf. But I get the feeling they are playing cautious because of last week's storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Blah Im glad I was jackpocketed with that storm in early December . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 GFS looks south so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Yeah I am getting that feeling too. OAX is only going freezing drizzle and one inch of snow. If that actually plays out braf. But I get the feeling they are playing cautious because of last week's storm.You hit it right on the head. I think Hastings is also playing down anything since we got no snow last Friday. They seem to be hitting the freezing drizzle hard but not snow. Even if we get a few inches of snow, with these strong winds there are going to be problems. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Small shift south. Looks like snow band in Iowa shifted south by like 10 miles or so. Cutting it close here. Hopefully this slight southward trend continues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Pretty steady as she goes on the 12z GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Good test for the new gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I think we may be in for some surprises with this system especially on how much freezing drizzle may precede any snow.Snow is just to my west and definitely won’t see any liquid precip here with the first band. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 The GFS has been extremely consistent run to run on the south edge of the snow band. Barely a deviation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Not sure I’m buying what the DVN is saying for this storm, but I’ll take it for now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Currently getting some beautiful light lake effect snow. Hopefully this storm doesn't ruin it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12z Ukmet is wayyy south. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 New GFS has not budged. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 EURO back south just like yesterdays 12z run at 24hrs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 New GFS has not budged.Yeah both GFS and FV3 have been remarkably consistent run to run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 EURO is officially identical to yesterdays 12z run and has storm tracking N/NE passing over KC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12z euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12z euroDo you have map for Iowa? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Do you have map for Iowa?done 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Euro definitely on the southern end of the models early on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 i like that Euro run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Come on King Euro... be right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 A tick S around here and even showing it starting as snow from I-90 on north, then to rain, then back to snow... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I like that run. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I'm right in the middle. Love it. Thinking this is prolly 10:1 system though. Profiles are messy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Good run... Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 A tick S around here and even showing it starting as snow from I-90 on north, then to rain, then back to snow...Don't really need a huge shift south for some of us to be in the good stuff. Expecting little and hoping for much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Kuchera fwiw 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 I'm right in the middle. Love it. Thinking this is prolly 10:1 system though. Profiles are messy.I was think earlier how you appear to be in a really good position on this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 That's as far south as the euro has been recently. I'm still not expecting much snow. 1-2" would be a bonus. I can't feel too down about missing the bulls-eye considering it's not exactly the storm of the century. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Good run...Indeed. This cutoff is so close. Kind of crazy that we potentially could get the same amount of snow as the last system. I’m not totally convinced that’ll happen, but it’s certainly possible. But given all the hype the last storm got, this one has gone under the radar a little. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Go euro go! Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Yes I was pleased with the final result. Man is it cold today..wind picking up. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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