February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV

[snow_wizard]

Once it starts the transition down south it will push through north fast.

 

No...the east wind wall will stop it.  The ECMWF clearly shows it.

[jcmcgaffey]

Most models show it transitioning quickly from OLM to around SEA. But much slower north of there.

 

And that's assuming they have a good handle.

Ya I am right on the line in north seattle and was hoping it would slow down south of me but I have a feeling it is going to push through north past my area.

[Blizzard777]

About a quarter of an inch from this heavy band

33.5*

[Front Ranger]

BLI still just 27.

[snow_wizard]

Thank god for the passes and river valleys.  The cold is just pouring in now.

[BLI snowman]

Looks like it's 34 and snowing again in Chehalis. Definitely a stubborn transition

 

[Front Ranger]

Looks like it's 34 and snowing again in Chehalis. Definitely a stubborn transition

 

chehalis21119.jpg

Sticking with your call of nothing below '700 except Whatcom?

[snow_wizard]

Why do people keep discounting the ECMWF?  It has proven to be superior in these cases time and time again.  Even it isn't quite cold enough for my area on this one.

[jcmcgaffey]

Thank god for the passes and river valleys.  The cold is just pouring in now.

Ya east side definitely looks to do better.  It is dumping snow but the snow is really starting to melt here faster than the snow that is falling.

[epiceast]

I really hope this WSW verifies for rate driven event in PDX tonight(and rest of Willamette valley later). Everybody would have something out of this epic blast, even if only for a few hours.

[jakerepp]

Phone is showing a temp drop here in  Tuk from 36 to 34 in the last 15 with the heaviest snow I've seen today coming through. 

[BLI snowman]

Sticking with your call of nothing below '700 except Whatcom?

 

Doesn't exactly look great for most areas, no. Lots of 33/34 degree stuff.

[snow_wizard]

Looks like it's 34 and snowing again in Chehalis. Definitely a stubborn transition

 

chehalis21119.jpg

 

Doesn't scream rain for Seattle.

[wxmet]

Dumping snow downtown.

[MossMan]

[Tenochtitlan]

Quarter sized flakes.

[snow_wizard]

Just insane here now.

[GHweatherChris]

32, E wind still here and heavy snowfall continues!

[snow_wizard]

Currently 32 with a NE wind just north of Centralia.

[BLI snowman]

I really hope this WSW verifies for rate driven event in PDX tonight(and rest of Willamette valley later). Everybody would have something out of this epic blast, even if only for a few hours.

 

It won't. There's basically no chance for sticking snow in the metro until late Tuesday evening, and models are pretty anemic with reigniting the precip band this far north aside from the NAM. Our NWS is just feeling a little down about being so left out of the snow party.

[overcast]

I'm in Enumclaw and Buckley today and it's now mostly rain both places.

[snow_wizard]

32, E wind still here and heavy snowfall continues!

 

Becoming increasingly obvious something has changed.

[snowbustcity]

Lots of nice snowfall in NE right now but not sticking for the most part. 

[chinook]

I really hope this WSW verifies for rate driven event in PDX tonight(and rest of Willamette valley later). Everybody would have something out of this epic blast, even if only for a few hours.

 

that would be great!

 

can't imagine this being an event for anyone west and south of Portland unless you are at elevation.  lot of promise for the eastern side.  reminds me of Christmas Eve of 2017.

[Front Ranger]

Doesn't exactly look great for most areas, no. Lots of 33/34 degree stuff.

 

Any place that is getting decent precip rates north of Chehalis is getting accumulation. At least for now.

[snow_wizard]

I'm in Enumclaw and Buckley today and it's now mostly rain both places.

 

Those places can be terrible in cases like this.

[Perturbed Member]

I really hope this WSW verifies for rate driven event in PDX tonight(and rest of Willamette valley later). Everybody would have something out of this epic blast, even if only for a few hours.

 

Sure would be nice to get one proper widespread event here, could very well be the last chance for this season. Think it will be mostly a hills only event though. NWS already busted this weekend so they decided to just go all in on this.

[snow_wizard]

Yellow radar echoes heading this way.

[Deweydog]

Any place that is getting decent precip rates north of Chehalis is getting accumulation. At least for now.

Sour grape forecasts have a 71% bust rate. It’s on page 152 of the weenie handbook (see appendix 3C).

[snowbustcity]

Dumping in NE Seattle.

[BLI snowman]

Any place that is getting decent precip rates north of Chehalis is getting accumulation. At least for now.

 

Yes, literally every model showed that early on, although some were definitely too quick to scour out the CLS to OLM corridor today. The issue is after 4pm or so, when the low makes its northern move. I would guess it's now just off Westport, given the sharp temp gradient around Grays Harbor.

[GHweatherChris]

And just like that, just light sleet coming down.

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  Places south of Olympia not only getting snow, but there is snow sticking to I-5.  A hat tip to the FV3.

[Prairiedog]

Remember at Band Camp last week and we were all sitting around with our instruments, just kinda jammin and we were talking about how Oregon was gonna get all the snow and not much for Washington?  Seems like a long time ago. 

[The Swamp]

heavy snow in the swamp but i suspect a change over is coming

[Deweydog]

Remember at Band Camp last week and we were all sitting around with our instruments, just kinda jammin and we were talking about how Oregon was gonna get all the snow and not much for Washington? Seems like a long time ago.

Somebody’s flute got stuck in the Euro which led to some of those wacky solutions.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Getting seriously deep here and i can here trees breaking. 4.5 inches new and 12 since yesterday at 3pm. This will be the most snow here in 24hrs since 1996. Go fv3!!

[snow_wizard]

Just about to go nuts here.  Just one degree colder would be awesome, but I'm not complaining.  Lester is currently 21 so there is plenty of cold air available to push in.

[GHweatherChris]

Transition complete, light rain now, 32.5 degrees.

 

5.25 inches of new snow today.

 

13.5 inches of snow the last 8 days, impressive for here!

[Fircrest]

Just dumping huge flakes here.  Watching the rain line creep up SE of me toward Graham and South Hill Puyallup and wondering if the end is near.