SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 "Anyone" must mean only those in and around PDX. Those up north do indeed like the trends I guess you like 2 hours of snow followed by 50 degree rain? The problem is a more northern solution like this leads to a RAPID warm up. The southern lows keep the whole region cool through the end of the month, which could equal continued snow chances for everyone. So you would take the $1 bill today instead of waiting for the $10,000 payoff in a week? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yikes! Glad you guys got your northern trend. Enjoy the rain! Even the most aggressive EPS members didn't have anything quite this ridiculous. This thing is either brilliant or totally out to lunch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yikes! Glad you guys got your northern trend. Enjoy the rain! The ICON is finicky with both low placement and outflow temperatures. Has a hard time with both. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yikes! Glad you guys got your northern trend. Enjoy the rain!You're really going at it with the WA posters tonight! Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I guess you like 2 hours of snow followed by 50 degree rain? The problem is a more northern solution like this leads to a RAPID warm up. The southern lows keep the whole region cool through the end of the month, which could equal continued snow chances for everyone. So you would take the $1 bill today instead of waiting for the $10,000 payoff in a week? Warm up is bound to happen eventually, might as well get it over with! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 You're really going at it with the WA posters tonight! I suppose, but really just annoyed by the shortsightedness. People will trade one week of continued historic cold, which likely would contain more snow chances, for the opportunity to get an inch of slush that melts in an hour. As I also said, it doesn't really matter what any of us want. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Warm up is bound to happen eventually, might as well get it over with! That is true. People like Jesse and I just have fantasies about this just going on forever like 2011. But I guess we eventually paid the price in September 2011 . Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 The total lack of respect from some of our Washington posters for southern people like Washington Co residents and TWL is disappointing. But I guess in the end most of us who spend hours a day looking at weather models and posting on this forum are probably a bit socially delayed, my wife tells me I am , and our empathy or lack thereof has nothing to do with what will actually happen, so I guess there is no sense in worrying about it. Indeed, no point getting too worked up over what the guys up north want or don't want. It of course does nothing to change the likelihood of us scoring. However, I appreciate your support of us lowly low elevation bottom feeders of WA county, Eugene and other snow poverty stricken areas. Every little bit helps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Warm up is bound to happen eventually, might as well get it over with!downvote Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I don't know. I'm probably in the minority here (for WA posters) but I'm hoping this thing stays south. Mainly to let Portlanders/Oregonian's have their fair share of this already incredible month but also because of more practical reasons. Work, school, etc. Everything stops when you get 2ft of snow. Hell, Carnation didn't plow the main roads (the whole TWO of them) until 5 days after the main event and our hill took 3 tractors, 2 pickups, and 4 days to clear. While undoubtedly awesome, also a tad inconvenient. Not trying to sound whiny or ungrateful with the above - I love snow just as much as the next guy and wouldn't trade what happened up here for anything. But I don't mind sharing, especially when it looks like wherever this band sets up will get a pretty nice dumping. 1-2 inches? I'd take it. 8-14? Enjoy it Portland! I agree with you that I want Portland to score. I didn't get the monumental snow blast like you did (although I did well on the first two events) so I could still use another 4 to 6 inches. Mainly I want to see an exclamation point put on this month. We need some sharp cold or a decent snow at the end to round it out. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 The 00z NAVGEM hasn't updated yet on tropicaltidbits but I found it on another website. System takes a southern track. Here's the precipitation maps hours 96 and 108. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 What’s with people rooting for others to get more snow because they’ve had enough? #snocialism??? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 What’s with people rooting for others to get more snow because they’ve had enough? #snocialism???#snowlivesmatter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS pulling north with less of a supporting trough. No further frames yet, but I suspect that southern Washington/ northern Oregon gets the ballot with this one. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS pulling north with less of a supporting trough. No further frames yet, but I suspect that southern Washington/ northern Oregon gets the ballot with this one.The 06z GFS makes landfall along the Central Oregon Coast and then it heads due East. This would be a big snowmaker for PDX Metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 00z GFS landfall 06z GFS landfall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yeah, the landfall is further north, but the low essentially ends up in the same spot moving east. This allows cold air to pour in from the NW and areas even south of the landfalling low turn back to snow. THIS is why I really want the GFS solution to verify, with the low tracking east it doesn't matter as much where it landfalls, because we stay in a cool/cold pattern longer. So really a variation of low placement still does not support anything the ICON or EURO shows. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 The 06z FV3 looks similar to the GFS, maybe a little further South. Looks good for PDX Metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Still in a cool pattern Wednesday morning. Pattern still ends up producing snow down south (Not to mention maintains the chances Sunday), and provides additional chances for Puget Sound region later on... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 A close up view of the 06z FV3 making landfall and the snow accumulations through Monday 4pm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 FV-3 brings the low in at Reedsport and tracks it straight east. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Snow levels almost to the surface Thursday morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 FV-3 brings the low in at Reedsport and tracks it straight east.Yeah, great track for the WV. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Looks like widespread light snow for the Puget Sound Thursday morning on the GFS! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Great night shift. Onto the 12z model runs later this morning. ❄❄ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS was OUTSTANDING! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Getting some flurries now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 30 degrees with clouds overhead now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Getting some flurries now.Light snow with a dusting of white already. Hoping for more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 GFS was OUTSTANDING!Did you sleep at all? Currently 34 with a DP of 28. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 It’s awesome having a non working radar... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I don't know. I'm probably in the minority here (for WA posters) but I'm hoping this thing stays south. Mainly to let Portlanders/Oregonian's have their fair share of this already incredible month but also because of more practical reasons. Work, school, etc. Everything stops when you get 2ft of snow. Hell, Carnation didn't plow the main roads (the whole TWO of them) until 5 days after the main event and our hill took 3 tractors, 2 pickups, and 4 days to clear. While undoubtedly awesome, also a tad inconvenient. This is exactly how I feel. I think others would agree with us if they had been buried as well. I do understand wanting more if you did not get much though.... unfortunately if some of those people up here gets lots of snow than so do we. But life also has to go on and to have this happening again on the first day after mid-winter breaks seems almost impossibly crazy. Anyways... it does not matter what we want and I honestly think its going to bury King County again. What did the 06Z ECMWF show? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 It's happening. 12z NAM already gives us rain and Washington the snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Little bit of snow falling in Tacoma right now, won’t stick around long though, not great runs for Portland this morning low looks to be right at the line of rain or snow there...just on the edge, hopefully it all works out well for them and they can get some Easterlies from the gorge, so far looking like Seattle southward is still looking like it’s getting an increasing chance now for Monday Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Good morning. The 06z NAVGEM is well South. It takes the Monday system into Northern California. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 It's happening. 12z NAM already gives us rain and Washington the snow.Yeah almost gives me a wallop lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 This is exactly how I feel. I think others would agree with us if they had been buried as well. I do understand wanting more if you did not get much though.... unfortunately if some of those people up here gets lots of snow than so do we. But life also has to go on and to have this happening again on the first day after mid-winter breaks seems almost impossibly crazy. Anyways... it does not matter what we want and I honestly think its going to bury King County again. What did the 06Z ECMWF show?I got burried and wanted even more! A true snow lover like me never complains about to much!! Lol Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Feels like it will snow this morning. Dewpoint 28°, air 35° Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 Snowing moderate here and 31 degrees. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 22, 2019 Report Share Posted February 22, 2019 I got burried and wanted even more! A true snow lover like me never complains about to much!! Lol Yeah... and you make thousands of dollars every time it snows. That might influence my opinion too! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.